SWEDEN ELITETTAN
--.--.---- --:--
Umea Energi Arena
Umeå W
Match Timeline
Jitex W
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
14'
L. M. Westbom
Umeå W
🟨
50'
E. Fjallstrom
Umeå W
🔄
61'
E. Fjallstrom ↔ T. Heikkinen
Umeå W
🔄
61'
H. Andreasson ↔ L. Kennethsson
Jitex W
🔄
61'
T. Hoglund ↔ S. Berhe
Jitex W
🔄
72'
C. Larsson ↔ T. Ahlen
Umeå W
🔄
80'
M. Sipilainen ↔ T. Duphorn
Jitex W
81'
A. Nygren
Umeå W
🔄
85'
F. Torstensson ↔ S. Johansson
Jitex W
🔄
85'
A. Roholt ↔ F. Lindstedt
Jitex W
🔄
85'
I. Goldmann ↔ T. Sahlman
Umeå W
🟨
87'
A. Forss
Umeå W

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home or Draw
Probability 67.9%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 67.1%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 58.6%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home or Draw
67.9%
-
BTTS Yes
67.1%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
58.6%
-
Corners O/U Under 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Umeå W Win 43.7%
Draw 24.2%
Jitex W Win 32.1%
Expected Goals (xG)
Umeå W1.5
Jitex W1.27
Recent Form (Last 5)
Umeå W Umeå W
WWDLW
21 GF / 19 GA
Jitex W Jitex W
WLDWL
15 GF / 17 GA
Key Stats
1.62
Average Goals Scored
1.15
1.46
Average Goals Conceded
1.31
8
BTTS Yes
5
7
Over 2.5
6
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Umeå W Umeå W 13 matches
Jitex W Jitex W 13 matches
Umeå W Statistic Jitex W
5 Wins 5
3 Draws 3
5 Losses 5
21 Goals For 15
19 Goals Against 17
1.62 Avg Goals Scored 1.15
1.46 Avg Goals Conceded 1.31
8 BTTS Yes 5
12 Over 1.5 9
7 Over 2.5 6
5 Over 3.5 3
2 Clean Sheets 4
3 Failed To Score 5
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This contest looks finely balanced, with Umeå W's more proactive style and Jitex W's more cautious structure suggesting a close tactical battle. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Even if this develops into a close game, the analytical lean still edges toward Away Win, with a cautious clean-sheet angle toward Jitex W. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Jitex W having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Umeå W have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors.

Umeå W Analysis

Umeå W approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 9 with 15 points from 12 matches. The overall return of 4 wins, 3 draws, and 5 defeats with a 19:18 goal balance points toward poor form with results showing a clear downward trend. Going forward they depend heavily on their main attacking players, while defensively they have looked very solid. At home, they have returned 2 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses, which indicates a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they tend to play with balanced attacking football.

Jitex W Analysis

Jitex W sit 7 with 18 points after 13 league matches. The record of 5 wins, 3 draws, and 5 defeats, together with a 15:17 goal balance, points toward good form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through their main attacking players, while at the back they have looked very solid. Away from home, their split return of 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 losses fits a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 10 head-to-head meetings, Umeå W won 6 times, Jitex W won 3 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 26:13 from Umeå W's perspective. 8 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 4 matches, with an average of 3.9 goals per game.

1X2: Home or Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (75.8%)
H2H summary: Umeå W wins 6, draws 1, Jitex W wins 3
Last matches: Umeå W
29.08.26
Eli
Umeå W
KIF Örebro W
1
2
L
22.08.26
Eli
Umeå W
Gamla Upsala W
1
0
W
08.08.26
Eli
Umeå W
Husqvarna W
2
1
W
01.08.26
Eli
Umeå W
Göteborg W
1
1
D
25.07.26
Eli
Umeå W
Elfsborg W
1
4
L
21.06.26
Eli
Umeå W
Örebro SK W
0
1
L
14.06.26
Eli
Umeå W
Linköping W
1
2
L
30.05.26
Eli
Umeå W
Trelleborg W
0
2
L
23.05.26
Eli
Umeå W
Alingsås W
0
2
L
16.05.26
Eli
Umeå W
Sandviken W
2
0
W
09.05.26
Eli
Umeå W
Gamla Upsala W
3
2
W
02.05.26
Eli
Umeå W
Enskede W
1
1
D
25.04.26
Eli
Umeå W
Häcken II W
4
1
W
06.04.26
Eli
Umeå W
KIF Örebro W
2
2
D
28.03.26
Eli
Umeå W
Jitex W
4
0
W
Last matches: Jitex W
20.09.26
Eli
Jitex W
Örebro SK W
2
3
L
22.08.26
Eli
Jitex W
Alingsås W
1
2
L
07.08.26
Eli
Jitex W
Häcken II W
1
0
W
02.08.26
Eli
Jitex W
Gamla Upsala W
1
0
W
25.07.26
Eli
Jitex W
Örebro SK W
3
2
W
18.06.26
Eli
Jitex W
KIF Örebro W
0
1
L
14.06.26
Eli
Jitex W
Enskede W
1
2
L
30.05.26
Eli
Jitex W
Sandviken W
0
0
D
22.05.26
Eli
Jitex W
Göteborg W
0
3
L
16.05.26
Eli
Jitex W
Trelleborg W
4
1
W
07.05.26
Eli
Jitex W
Elfsborg W
0
2
L
01.05.26
Eli
Jitex W
Husqvarna W
1
1
D
25.04.26
Eli
Jitex W
Linköping W
1
1
D
03.04.26
Eli
Jitex W
Alingsås W
3
0
W
28.03.26
Eli
Jitex W
Umeå W
0
4
L
H2H: Umeå W vs Jitex W
15.08.26
H2H
Umeå W
Jitex W
2
0
W
28.03.26
H2H
Jitex W
Umeå W
0
4
W
18.10.25
H2H
Umeå W
Jitex W
3
3
D
09.08.25
H2H
Jitex W
Umeå W
0
4
W
28.09.24
H2H
Umeå W
Jitex W
2
3
L
29.06.24
H2H
Jitex W
Umeå W
2
3
W
02.09.23
H2H
Umeå W
Jitex W
1
2
L
06.05.23
H2H
Jitex W
Umeå W
3
0
L
16.10.21
H2H
Jitex W
Umeå W
0
2
W
01.05.21
H2H
Umeå W
Jitex W
5
0
W
Last matches: Umeå W
22.08.26
Eli
Umeå W
Gamla Upsala W
1
0
W
01.08.26
Eli
Umeå W
Göteborg W
1
1
D
14.06.26
Eli
Umeå W
Linköping W
1
2
L
30.05.26
Eli
Umeå W
Trelleborg W
0
2
L
16.05.26
Eli
Umeå W
Sandviken W
2
0
W
25.04.26
Eli
Umeå W
Häcken II W
4
1
W
06.04.26
Eli
Umeå W
KIF Örebro W
2
2
D
H2H at home: Umeå W
15.08.26
H2H
Umeå W
Jitex W
2
0
W
18.10.25
H2H
Umeå W
Jitex W
3
3
D
28.09.24
H2H
Umeå W
Jitex W
2
3
L
02.09.23
H2H
Umeå W
Jitex W
1
2
L
01.05.21
H2H
Umeå W
Jitex W
5
0
W
Last matches: Jitex W
20.09.26
Eli
Jitex W
Örebro SK W
2
3
L
02.08.26
Eli
Jitex W
Gamla Upsala W
1
0
W
30.05.26
Eli
Jitex W
Sandviken W
0
0
D
07.05.26
Eli
Jitex W
Elfsborg W
0
2
L
25.04.26
Eli
Jitex W
Linköping W
1
1
D
03.04.26
Eli
Jitex W
Alingsås W
3
0
W
H2H away: Jitex W
15.08.26
H2H
Umeå W
Jitex W
2
0
L
18.10.25
H2H
Umeå W
Jitex W
3
3
D
28.09.24
H2H
Umeå W
Jitex W
2
3
W
02.09.23
H2H
Umeå W
Jitex W
1
2
W
01.05.21
H2H
Umeå W
Jitex W
5
0
L

Standings

Elitettan
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 16 11 4 1 31:6 25 37
W L W W D
2 16 12 1 3 33:19 14 37
W W W L W
3 15 11 3 1 31:15 16 36
W W W L D
4 15 10 4 1 41:14 27 34
W W W D D
5 16 7 3 6 25:21 4 24
L W W W D
6 16 7 3 6 23:25 -2 24
L L W D D
7 16 6 4 6 23:25 -2 22
W W W L L
8 15 5 3 7 23:26 -3 18
L L L D D
9 15 5 3 7 18:23 -5 18
W L L D W
10 15 5 3 7 16:21 -5 18
L L L W W
11 15 3 5 7 13:22 -9 14
W L D D D
12 16 2 4 10 17:30 -13 10
L L L D L
13 16 2 3 11 18:45 -27 9
W L L L W
14 16 1 1 14 16:36 -20 4
L W L L L
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