Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
68.2%
|
- | |
| BTTS | Yes |
71.2%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
77.2%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
87.7%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 2-1 |
-
|
- |
Tukums
Super Nova
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Tukums
23 matches
Super Nova
24 matches
| Tukums | Statistic | Super Nova |
|---|---|---|
| 3 | Wins | 7 |
| 10 | Draws | 4 |
| 10 | Losses | 13 |
| 40 | Goals For | 26 |
| 45 | Goals Against | 40 |
| 1.74 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.08 |
| 1.96 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.67 |
| 21 | BTTS Yes | 15 |
| 23 | Over 1.5 | 19 |
| 18 | Over 2.5 | 13 |
| 11 | Over 3.5 | 5 |
| 1 | Clean Sheets | 4 |
| 1 | Failed To Score | 6 |
| 0 | Shots On Goal | 0 |
| 0 | Total Shots | 0 |
| 0 | Corners | 0 |
| 0% | Ball Possession | 0% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
This fixture has the profile of a tight matchup, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity likely to keep the contest close. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Super Nova having the stronger overall control. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Super Nova. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely.
Tukums approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 8 with 17 points from 19 matches. Their record of 3 wins, 8 draws, and 8 losses, together with goals at 33:36, reflects poor form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through their main attacking players, while the defensive numbers suggest they have been fairly stable. At home, the split record of 3 wins, 4 draws, and 3 losses points to a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.
With 21 points from 19 games and a place of 6, Super Nova still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. The overall return of 6 wins, 3 draws, and 10 defeats with a 19:27 goal balance points toward poor form with results showing a clear downward trend. Going forward they depend heavily on their main attacking players, while defensively they have looked fairly stable. Away from home, they have returned 5 wins, 1 draws, and 5 losses, which indicates a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Tukums won 6 times, Super Nova won 6 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 23:20 from Tukums's perspective. 8 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 10 matches, with an average of 2.87 goals per game.
Lineups
Tukums
BFC Daugavpils
Tukums
FK Liepaja
Tukums
Rīgas FS
Tukums
Riga
Tukums
Grobiņa
Tukums
Ogre United
Tukums
FS Jelgava
Tukums
Auda
Tukums
BFC Daugavpils
Tukums
FK Liepaja
Tukums
Rīgas FS
Tukums
Riga
Tukums
Grobiņa
Tukums
Super Nova
Tukums
Ogre United
Tukums
FS Jelgava
Tukums
Auda
Tukums
BFC Daugavpils
Tukums
FK Liepaja
Tukums
Rīgas FS
Super Nova
FK Liepaja
Super Nova
Grobiņa
Super Nova
Ogre United
Super Nova
FS Jelgava
Super Nova
Auda
Super Nova
BFC Daugavpils
Super Nova
FK Liepaja
Super Nova
Rīgas FS
Super Nova
Riga
Super Nova
Grobiņa
Super Nova
Ogre United
Super Nova
Tukums
Super Nova
FS Jelgava
Super Nova
Auda
Super Nova
BFC Daugavpils
Super Nova
FK Liepaja
Super Nova
Rīgas FS
Super Nova
Riga
Super Nova
Grobiņa
Super Nova
Ogre United
Tukums
FK Liepaja
Tukums
Rīgas FS
Tukums
Auda
Tukums
BFC Daugavpils
Tukums
Riga
Tukums
Ogre United
Tukums
FS Jelgava
Tukums
BFC Daugavpils
Tukums
FK Liepaja
Tukums
Rīgas FS
Tukums
Grobiņa
Tukums
Super Nova
Tukums
Džiugas Telšiai
Super Nova
BFC Daugavpils
Super Nova
FK Liepaja
Super Nova
Riga
Super Nova
Grobiņa
Super Nova
FS Jelgava
Super Nova
BFC Daugavpils
Super Nova
Rīgas FS
Super Nova
Grobiņa
Super Nova
Ogre United
Super Nova
Tukums
Super Nova
Auda
Super Nova
Paide
Super Nova
Kalju Nomme
Super Nova
Trans Narva
Super Nova
Rīgas FS
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 25 | 20 | 4 | 1 | 76:21 | 55 | 64 |
W
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 2 | 24 | 20 | 2 | 2 | 56:16 | 40 | 62 |
W
W
D
W
W
|
|
| 3 | 24 | 14 | 4 | 6 | 39:26 | 13 | 46 |
W
W
D
L
D
|
|
| 4 | 26 | 10 | 6 | 10 | 33:31 | 2 | 36 |
W
W
L
W
W
|
|
| 5 | 25 | 10 | 4 | 11 | 33:37 | -4 | 34 |
W
L
W
L
W
|
|
| 6 |
Super Nova
Away
|
24 | 8 | 3 | 13 | 26:37 | -11 | 27 |
L
W
L
W
L
|
| 7 | 26 | 6 | 7 | 13 | 25:44 | -19 | 25 |
L
L
L
L
L
|
|
| 8 | 25 | 4 | 9 | 12 | 17:41 | -24 | 21 |
L
D
L
W
L
|
|
| 9 |
Tukums
Home
|
26 | 4 | 8 | 14 | 40:51 | -11 | 20 |
L
W
L
L
L
|
| 10 | 25 | 3 | 5 | 17 | 24:65 | -41 | 14 |
L
D
L
W
L
|