Tukums vs FS Jelgava Prediction & Match Analysis
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
51.1%
|
2.80 | |
| BTTS | No |
50.8%
|
2.10 | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
64.5%
|
1.80 | |
| Corners O/U | Under 7.5 Corners |
92%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
4.40 | |
| Correct Score | 3-0 |
-
|
29.00 |
Tukums
FS Jelgava
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Tukums
30 matches
FS Jelgava
32 matches
| Tukums | Statistic | FS Jelgava |
|---|---|---|
| 4 | Wins | 8 |
| 10 | Draws | 7 |
| 16 | Losses | 17 |
| 45 | Goals For | 33 |
| 60 | Goals Against | 54 |
| 1.5 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.03 |
| 2 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.69 |
| 25 | BTTS Yes | 14 |
| 29 | Over 1.5 | 23 |
| 23 | Over 2.5 | 13 |
| 13 | Over 3.5 | 9 |
| 1 | Clean Sheets | 4 |
| 4 | Failed To Score | 15 |
| 0 | Shots On Goal | 0 |
| 0 | Total Shots | 0 |
| 0 | Corners | 0 |
| 0% | Ball Possession | 0% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
This fixture has the profile of a tight matchup, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity likely to keep the contest close. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward FS Jelgava having the stronger overall control. Even if this develops into a close game, the analytical lean still edges toward Away Win, with a cautious clean-sheet angle toward FS Jelgava. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest.
Tukums approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 9 with 20 points from 27 matches. Across the season they have posted 4 wins, 8 draws, and 15 defeats, and the 40:54 goal record continues to suggest poor form with results showing a clear downward trend. Their attacking burden often falls on their main attacking players, while at the back they have been quite vulnerable. At home, the split record of 4 wins, 4 draws, and 5 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.
FS Jelgava sit 7 with 25 points after 26 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Across the season they have posted 6 wins, 7 draws, and 13 defeats, and the 25:44 goal record continues to suggest poor form and are going through a difficult losing run. Their attacking burden often falls on their main attacking players, while at the back they have been quite vulnerable. Away from home, the split record of 2 wins, 5 draws, and 5 losses points to a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Tukums won 4 times, FS Jelgava won 4 times, while 7 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 23:21 from Tukums's perspective. 8 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 10 matches, with an average of 2.93 goals per game.
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 29 | 23 | 4 | 2 | 70:21 | 49 | 73 |
W
D
W
D
W
|
|
| 2 | 29 | 20 | 7 | 2 | 84:30 | 54 | 67 |
D
D
L
D
W
|
|
| 3 | 29 | 17 | 6 | 6 | 47:29 | 18 | 57 |
D
W
D
W
W
|
|
| 4 | 30 | 12 | 6 | 12 | 41:43 | -2 | 42 |
D
D
W
L
W
|
|
| 5 | 30 | 10 | 8 | 12 | 35:35 | 0 | 38 |
L
D
L
D
W
|
|
| 6 | 28 | 10 | 5 | 13 | 29:38 | -9 | 35 |
W
W
D
D
L
|
|
| 7 |
FS Jelgava
Away
|
30 | 8 | 8 | 14 | 32:48 | -16 | 32 |
D
L
W
W
L
|
| 8 | 30 | 5 | 10 | 15 | 20:51 | -31 | 25 |
D
L
W
L
L
|
|
| 9 |
Tukums
Home
|
30 | 5 | 8 | 17 | 43:60 | -17 | 23 |
L
W
L
L
L
|
| 10 | 29 | 3 | 6 | 20 | 29:75 | -46 | 15 |
D
L
L
L
L
|