Predictions & Statistics
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| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|
Probability Distribution
Tukums Win 0%
Draw 0%
FS Jelgava Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Tukums1.69
FS Jelgava1.44
Recent Form (Last 5)
Tukums
WWDLW
42 GF / 50 GA
FS Jelgava
WLDWL
29 GF / 46 GA
Key Stats
1.68
Average Goals Scored
1.07
2
Average Goals Conceded
1.7
23
BTTS Yes
12
20
Over 2.5
11
0
Shots on Goal
0
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Tukums
25 matches
FS Jelgava
27 matches
| Tukums | Statistic | FS Jelgava |
|---|---|---|
| 3 | Wins | 7 |
| 10 | Draws | 7 |
| 12 | Losses | 13 |
| 42 | Goals For | 29 |
| 50 | Goals Against | 46 |
| 1.68 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.07 |
| 2 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.7 |
| 23 | BTTS Yes | 12 |
| 25 | Over 1.5 | 20 |
| 20 | Over 2.5 | 11 |
| 12 | Over 3.5 | 8 |
| 1 | Clean Sheets | 4 |
| 1 | Failed To Score | 12 |
| 0 | Shots On Goal | 0 |
| 0 | Total Shots | 0 |
| 0 | Corners | 0 |
| 0% | Ball Possession | 0% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
H2H Analysis
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Tukums won 4 times, FS Jelgava won 4 times, while 7 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 23:21 from Tukums's perspective. 8 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 10 matches, with an average of 2.93 goals per game.
Predicted formations: Tukums - / FS Jelgava 5-4-1
H2H summary: Tukums wins 4, draws 7, FS Jelgava wins 4
Last matches: Tukums
05.07.26
Vir
Tukums
Grobiņa
1
3
L
01.07.26
Vir
Tukums
Super Nova
1
2
L
26.06.26
Vir
Tukums
Ogre United
2
3
L
21.06.26
Vir
Tukums
FS Jelgava
1
4
L
17.06.26
Vir
Tukums
Auda
2
1
W
12.06.26
Vir
Tukums
BFC Daugavpils
1
1
D
30.05.26
Vir
Tukums
FK Liepaja
0
3
L
25.05.26
Vir
Tukums
Rīgas FS
1
3
L
20.05.26
Vir
Tukums
Riga
1
3
L
15.05.26
Vir
Tukums
Grobiņa
3
3
D
11.05.26
Vir
Tukums
Super Nova
1
1
D
07.05.26
Vir
Tukums
Ogre United
6
1
W
01.05.26
Vir
Tukums
FS Jelgava
5
0
W
26.04.26
Vir
Tukums
Auda
1
2
L
21.04.26
Vir
Tukums
BFC Daugavpils
1
1
D
17.04.26
Vir
Tukums
FK Liepaja
2
2
D
13.04.26
Vir
Tukums
Rīgas FS
1
2
L
09.04.26
Vir
Tukums
Riga
3
3
D
05.04.26
Vir
Tukums
Grobiņa
1
1
D
22.03.26
Vir
Tukums
Super Nova
1
2
L
Last matches: FS Jelgava
03.07.26
Vir
FS Jelgava
Riga
0
3
L
29.06.26
Vir
FS Jelgava
Grobiņa
2
0
W
25.06.26
Vir
FS Jelgava
Super Nova
5
1
W
21.06.26
Vir
FS Jelgava
Tukums
4
1
W
17.06.26
Vir
FS Jelgava
Ogre United
0
2
L
13.06.26
Vir
FS Jelgava
Auda
1
1
D
31.05.26
Vir
FS Jelgava
BFC Daugavpils
1
1
D
26.05.26
Vir
FS Jelgava
FK Liepaja
1
1
D
21.05.26
Vir
FS Jelgava
Rīgas FS
0
4
L
16.05.26
Vir
FS Jelgava
Riga
2
2
D
11.05.26
Vir
FS Jelgava
Grobiņa
0
0
D
06.05.26
Vir
FS Jelgava
Super Nova
1
0
W
01.05.26
Vir
FS Jelgava
Tukums
0
5
L
27.04.26
Vir
FS Jelgava
Ogre United
1
0
W
21.04.26
Vir
FS Jelgava
Auda
2
3
L
16.04.26
Vir
FS Jelgava
BFC Daugavpils
0
1
L
12.04.26
Vir
FS Jelgava
FK Liepaja
1
1
D
08.04.26
Vir
FS Jelgava
Rīgas FS
0
1
L
04.04.26
Vir
FS Jelgava
Riga
0
8
L
21.03.26
Vir
FS Jelgava
Grobiņa
0
1
L
H2H: Tukums vs FS Jelgava
21.06.26
H2H
FS Jelgava
Tukums
4
1
L
01.05.26
H2H
Tukums
FS Jelgava
5
0
W
08.03.26
H2H
FS Jelgava
Tukums
2
1
L
09.11.25
H2H
Tukums
FS Jelgava
1
1
D
23.08.25
H2H
FS Jelgava
Tukums
1
1
D
17.06.25
H2H
Tukums
FS Jelgava
1
1
D
23.04.25
H2H
FS Jelgava
Tukums
2
1
L
15.09.24
H2H
Tukums
FS Jelgava
3
3
D
26.06.24
H2H
FS Jelgava
Tukums
0
0
D
07.05.24
H2H
Tukums
FS Jelgava
2
1
W
17.03.24
H2H
FS Jelgava
Tukums
2
3
W
11.11.23
H2H
Tukums
FS Jelgava
0
0
D
26.08.23
H2H
FS Jelgava
Tukums
2
0
L
10.06.23
H2H
Tukums
FS Jelgava
2
0
W
29.04.23
H2H
FS Jelgava
Tukums
2
2
D
Last matches: Tukums
01.07.26
Vir
Tukums
Super Nova
1
2
L
17.06.26
Vir
Tukums
Auda
2
1
W
12.06.26
Vir
Tukums
BFC Daugavpils
1
1
D
20.05.26
Vir
Tukums
Riga
1
3
L
07.05.26
Vir
Tukums
Ogre United
6
1
W
01.05.26
Vir
Tukums
FS Jelgava
5
0
W
21.04.26
Vir
Tukums
BFC Daugavpils
1
1
D
17.04.26
Vir
Tukums
FK Liepaja
2
2
D
13.04.26
Vir
Tukums
Rīgas FS
1
2
L
05.04.26
Vir
Tukums
Grobiņa
1
1
D
22.03.26
Vir
Tukums
Super Nova
1
2
L
07.02.26
Fri
Tukums
Džiugas Telšiai
2
2
D
H2H at home: Tukums
01.05.26
H2H
Tukums
FS Jelgava
5
0
W
09.11.25
H2H
Tukums
FS Jelgava
1
1
D
17.06.25
H2H
Tukums
FS Jelgava
1
1
D
15.09.24
H2H
Tukums
FS Jelgava
3
3
D
07.05.24
H2H
Tukums
FS Jelgava
2
1
W
11.11.23
H2H
Tukums
FS Jelgava
0
0
D
10.06.23
H2H
Tukums
FS Jelgava
2
0
W
Last matches: FS Jelgava
03.07.26
Vir
FS Jelgava
Riga
0
3
L
25.06.26
Vir
FS Jelgava
Super Nova
5
1
W
13.06.26
Vir
FS Jelgava
Auda
1
1
D
21.05.26
Vir
FS Jelgava
Rīgas FS
0
4
L
16.05.26
Vir
FS Jelgava
Riga
2
2
D
11.05.26
Vir
FS Jelgava
Grobiņa
0
0
D
01.05.26
Vir
FS Jelgava
Tukums
0
5
L
27.04.26
Vir
FS Jelgava
Ogre United
1
0
W
16.04.26
Vir
FS Jelgava
BFC Daugavpils
0
1
L
12.04.26
Vir
FS Jelgava
FK Liepaja
1
1
D
15.03.26
Vir
FS Jelgava
Super Nova
1
1
D
27.02.26
Fri
FS Jelgava
FK Liepaja
1
2
L
14.02.26
Fri
FS Jelgava
Šiauliai
0
1
L
01.02.26
Fri
FS Jelgava
Nõmme United
4
1
W
24.01.26
Fri
FS Jelgava
Panevėžys
0
2
L
H2H away: FS Jelgava
01.05.26
H2H
Tukums
FS Jelgava
5
0
L
09.11.25
H2H
Tukums
FS Jelgava
1
1
D
17.06.25
H2H
Tukums
FS Jelgava
1
1
D
15.09.24
H2H
Tukums
FS Jelgava
3
3
D
07.05.24
H2H
Tukums
FS Jelgava
2
1
L
11.11.23
H2H
Tukums
FS Jelgava
0
0
D
10.06.23
H2H
Tukums
FS Jelgava
2
0
L
Standings
Virsliga
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 22 | 18 | 2 | 2 | 54:16 | 38 | 56 |
D
W
W
W
L
|
|
| 2 | 22 | 17 | 4 | 1 | 65:19 | 46 | 55 |
W
W
D
W
W
|
|
| 3 | 22 | 12 | 4 | 6 | 37:26 | 11 | 40 |
D
L
D
W
L
|
|
| 4 | 22 | 8 | 4 | 10 | 28:34 | -6 | 28 |
L
W
L
L
L
|
|
| 5 | 22 | 7 | 6 | 9 | 25:29 | -4 | 27 |
W
L
D
W
D
|
|
| 6 |
FS Jelgava
Away
|
22 | 6 | 7 | 9 | 24:38 | -14 | 25 |
L
W
W
W
L
|
| 7 | 22 | 7 | 3 | 12 | 23:35 | -12 | 24 |
L
W
L
L
D
|
|
| 8 | 22 | 4 | 8 | 10 | 15:33 | -18 | 20 |
W
L
D
L
W
|
|
| 9 |
Tukums
Home
|
22 | 3 | 8 | 11 | 37:44 | -7 | 17 |
L
L
L
L
W
|
| 10 | 22 | 3 | 4 | 15 | 21:55 | -34 | 13 |
W
L
W
L
W
|
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Virsliga (Relegation)
Relegation - Nakotnes liga