Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away Win |
89%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS No |
35%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
59.9%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
92%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Draw / Away |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 0-2 |
-
|
- |
TSV Hartberg
Sturm Graz
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
TSV Hartberg
33 matches
Sturm Graz
44 matches
| TSV Hartberg | Statistic | Sturm Graz |
|---|---|---|
| 11 | Wins | 19 |
| 13 | Draws | 10 |
| 9 | Losses | 15 |
| 44 | Goals For | 60 |
| 38 | Goals Against | 54 |
| 1.33 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.36 |
| 1.15 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.23 |
| 17 | BTTS Yes | 23 |
| 21 | Over 1.5 | 34 |
| 15 | Over 2.5 | 20 |
| 9 | Over 3.5 | 11 |
| 11 | Clean Sheets | 15 |
| 10 | Failed To Score | 8 |
| 3.23 | Shots On Goal | 4.3 |
| 9.03 | Total Shots | 14 |
| 3.13 | Corners | 4.7 |
| 38.6% | Ball Possession | 51.7% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
From a tactical perspective, this fixture features two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Sturm Graz. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with TSV Hartberg expected to line up in 5-3-2 and Sturm Graz in 3-4-2-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Sturm Graz having the stronger overall control. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.
TSV Hartberg sit 6 with 33 points after 22 league matches. Their overall return of 8 wins, 9 draws, and 5 losses with goals at 29:24 reflects poor form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by E. Havel (13 goals), L. Fridrikas (3 goals), M. Hoffmann (3 goals), with creative support from Maximilian Hennig (4 assists), Tobias Kainz (4 assists), E. Havel (3 assists), while defensively they have appeared very solid. At home, they have returned 4 wins, 4 draws, and 3 losses, a split that suggests a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.
Sturm Graz arrive from the upper part of the table, holding 1 place with 38 points after 22 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 12 wins, 2 draws, and 8 losses, while the 33:26 goal ratio supports the view of poor form and have been stuck in a sequence of draws. Going forward they rely heavily on O. Kiteishvili (14 goals), S. Jatta (4 goals), B. Beganovic (3 goals), with creative support from T. Horvat (5 assists), O. Kiteishvili (4 assists), W. Boving (3 assists), and defensively they have been fairly stable. Away from home, their split return of 7 wins, 1 draws, and 3 losses fits a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, TSV Hartberg won 1 times, Sturm Graz won 10 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 12:26 from TSV Hartberg's perspective. 8 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 9 matches, with an average of 2.53 goals per game.
TSV Hartberg
6
8
6
11
1
7
Lineups
TSV Hartberg
Voitsberg
TSV Hartberg
First Vienna
TSV Hartberg
Příbram
TSV Hartberg
Zbrojovka Brno
TSV Hartberg
Ujpest
TSV Hartberg
Weiz
TSV Hartberg
Admira Wacker
TSV Hartberg
Red Bull Salzburg
TSV Hartberg
Austria Vienna
TSV Hartberg
Lask Linz
TSV Hartberg
Rapid Vienna
TSV Hartberg
Rapid Vienna
TSV Hartberg
Sturm Graz
TSV Hartberg
Red Bull Salzburg
TSV Hartberg
Austria Vienna
TSV Hartberg
Lask Linz
TSV Hartberg
FC BW Linz
TSV Hartberg
Red Bull Salzburg
TSV Hartberg
Grazer AK
TSV Hartberg
SCR Altach
Sturm Graz
Seekirchen
Sturm Graz
Heart Of Midlothian
Sturm Graz
Pogon Szczecin
Sturm Graz
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
Sturm Graz
Kalsdorf
Sturm Graz
FK Košice
Sturm Graz
LNZ Cherkasy
Sturm Graz
Mura
Sturm Graz
Rapid Vienna
Sturm Graz
Red Bull Salzburg
Sturm Graz
Austria Vienna
Sturm Graz
Lask Linz
Sturm Graz
Lask Linz
Sturm Graz
TSV Hartberg
Sturm Graz
Rapid Vienna
Sturm Graz
First Vienna
Sturm Graz
Red Bull Salzburg
Sturm Graz
Austria Vienna
Sturm Graz
SCR Altach
Sturm Graz
Wolfsberger AC
TSV Hartberg
Voitsberg
TSV Hartberg
First Vienna
TSV Hartberg
Příbram
TSV Hartberg
Zbrojovka Brno
TSV Hartberg
Ujpest
TSV Hartberg
Admira Wacker
TSV Hartberg
Lask Linz
TSV Hartberg
Rapid Vienna
TSV Hartberg
Red Bull Salzburg
TSV Hartberg
Austria Vienna
TSV Hartberg
FC BW Linz
TSV Hartberg
Grazer AK
TSV Hartberg
SCR Altach
TSV Hartberg
SV Lafnitz
TSV Hartberg
Brinje-Grosuplje
TSV Hartberg
WSG Wattens
TSV Hartberg
Lask Linz
TSV Hartberg
Sturm Graz
TSV Hartberg
Ried
TSV Hartberg
Austria Vienna
Sturm Graz
Seekirchen
Sturm Graz
Red Bull Salzburg
Sturm Graz
Lask Linz
Sturm Graz
Rapid Vienna
Sturm Graz
Austria Vienna
Sturm Graz
Wolfsberger AC
Sturm Graz
WSG Wattens
Sturm Graz
SCR Altach
Sturm Graz
Feyenoord
Sturm Graz
Club Brugge KV
Sturm Graz
Austria Vienna
Sturm Graz
TSV Hartberg
Sturm Graz
Panathinaikos
Sturm Graz
Rapid Vienna
Sturm Graz
Admira Wacker
Sturm Graz
Celtic
Sturm Graz
FC BW Linz
Sturm Graz
SCR Altach
Sturm Graz
FC Midtjylland
Sturm Graz
Red Bull Salzburg
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Sturm Graz
Away
|
22 | 12 | 2 | 8 | 33:26 | 7 | 38 |
?
|
| 2 | 22 | 10 | 7 | 5 | 42:26 | 16 | 37 |
?
|
|
| 3 | 22 | 11 | 4 | 7 | 32:30 | 2 | 37 |
?
|
|
| 4 | 22 | 11 | 3 | 8 | 34:30 | 4 | 36 |
?
|
|
| 5 | 22 | 9 | 6 | 7 | 26:25 | 1 | 33 |
?
|
|
| 6 |
TSV Hartberg
Home
|
22 | 8 | 9 | 5 | 29:24 | 5 | 33 |
?
|
| 7 | 22 | 8 | 7 | 7 | 31:30 | 1 | 31 |
?
|
|
| 8 | 22 | 7 | 8 | 7 | 22:23 | -1 | 29 |
?
|
|
| 9 | 22 | 8 | 4 | 10 | 26:30 | -4 | 28 |
?
|
|
| 10 | 22 | 7 | 5 | 10 | 31:32 | -1 | 26 |
?
|
|
| 11 | 22 | 4 | 8 | 10 | 22:36 | -14 | 20 |
?
|
|
| 12 | 22 | 4 | 3 | 15 | 20:36 | -16 | 15 |
?
|