ENGLAND FA CUP
22.09.2026 18:45

Truro City vs Merthyr Town Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home or Draw
Probability 82.6%
Odds -
BTTS
No
Probability 54%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 57.5%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home or Draw
82.6%
-
BTTS No
54%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
57.5%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 1-0
-
-
Probability Distribution
Truro City Win 49.8%
Draw 32.8%
Merthyr Town Win 17.4%
Expected Goals (xG)
Truro City0.86
Merthyr Town1.47
Recent Form (Last 5)
Truro City Truro City
WWDLW
2 GF / 2 GA
Merthyr Town Merthyr Town
WLDWL
14 GF / 8 GA
Key Stats
0.67
Average Goals Scored
2
0.67
Average Goals Conceded
1.14
1
BTTS Yes
4
0
Over 2.5
5
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Truro City Truro City 3 matches
Merthyr Town Merthyr Town 7 matches
Truro City Statistic Merthyr Town
1 Wins 3
1 Draws 2
1 Losses 2
2 Goals For 14
2 Goals Against 8
0.67 Avg Goals Scored 2
0.67 Avg Goals Conceded 1.14
1 BTTS Yes 4
1 Over 1.5 6
0 Over 2.5 5
0 Over 3.5 2
1 Clean Sheets 2
1 Failed To Score 1
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 5 head-to-head meetings, Truro City won 1 times, Merthyr Town won 2 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 7:9 from Truro City's perspective. 3 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 4 matches, with an average of 3.2 goals per game.

1X2: Home or Draw
BTTS: No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 1X (82.6%)
H2H summary: Truro City wins 1, draws 2, Merthyr Town wins 2