ARGENTINA PRIMERA NACIONAL
--.--.---- --:--
Estadio 20 de Octubre
Tristan Suarez
Match Timeline
Nueva Chicago
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🔄
41'
M. Vera ↔ T. Rodriguez
Nueva Chicago
🟨
42'
N. Sanchez
Tristan Suarez
🟨
43'
L. Jachfe
Nueva Chicago
54'
D. Becker · Assist: N. Sanchez
Tristan Suarez
🟨
60'
N. Del Priore
Tristan Suarez
🔄
63'
L. Ambrogio ↔ F. Castro
Nueva Chicago
🔄
63'
E. Cardozo ↔ M. Perez
Nueva Chicago
🟨
65'
R. E. Zalazar
Nueva Chicago
🔄
71'
D. Becker ↔ A. Molina
Tristan Suarez
🔄
71'
N. Sanchez ↔ K. Colli
Tristan Suarez
🔄
72'
A. Sanchez ↔ S. Aquino
Tristan Suarez
🔄
82'
E. Carrizo ↔ D. Barros
Nueva Chicago
🔄
82'
S. Cocimano ↔ R. Balbuena
Nueva Chicago
🔄
86'
S. Ramirez ↔ M. Luayza
Tristan Suarez
🔄
86'
A. Gallo ↔ M. Alvarez
Tristan Suarez
🟨
87'
K. Colli
Tristan Suarez

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 53.5%
Odds -
BTTS
No
Probability 65.8%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 80.5%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
53.5%
-
BTTS No
65.8%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
80.5%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 1-0
-
-
Probability Distribution
Tristan Suarez Win 53.5%
Draw 24.2%
Nueva Chicago Win 22.4%
Expected Goals (xG)
Tristan Suarez0.84
Nueva Chicago0.8
Recent Form (Last 5)
Tristan Suarez Tristan Suarez
WWDLW
16 GF / 12 GA
Nueva Chicago Nueva Chicago
WLDWL
17 GF / 16 GA
Key Stats
0.8
Average Goals Scored
0.94
0.6
Average Goals Conceded
0.89
6
BTTS Yes
6
5
Over 2.5
6
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Tristan Suarez Tristan Suarez 20 matches
Nueva Chicago Nueva Chicago 18 matches
Tristan Suarez Statistic Nueva Chicago
7 Wins 6
9 Draws 7
4 Losses 5
16 Goals For 17
12 Goals Against 16
0.8 Avg Goals Scored 0.94
0.6 Avg Goals Conceded 0.89
6 BTTS Yes 6
8 Over 1.5 11
5 Over 2.5 6
2 Over 3.5 3
12 Clean Sheets 9
9 Failed To Score 8
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by Tristan Suarez's more proactive style and Nueva Chicago's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Tristan Suarez arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 3 with 30 points compared to Nueva Chicago in 11 on 22, which underlines the gap in season consistency. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Nueva Chicago. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Nueva Chicago having the stronger overall control.

Tristan Suarez Analysis

Tristan Suarez come into this match from a strong league position, sitting 3 with 30 points from 18 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 7 wins, 9 draws, and 2 losses, while the 16:10 goal ratio supports the view of poor form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on their main attacking players, and defensively they have been very solid. At home, the record of 3 wins, 5 draws, and 1 losses points toward a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.

Nueva Chicago Analysis

So far, Nueva Chicago have built a campaign that leaves them 11 in the table on 22 points from 17 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 5 wins, 7 draws, and 5 losses, while the 15:16 goal ratio supports the view of poor form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on their main attacking players, and defensively they have been very solid. Away from home, the record of 3 wins, 1 draws, and 4 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 7 head-to-head meetings, Tristan Suarez won 2 times, Nueva Chicago won 3 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 7:9 from Tristan Suarez's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 2.29 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 1X (77.7%)
Predicted formations: Tristan Suarez 4-2-3-1 / Nueva Chicago 4-1-4-1
H2H summary: Tristan Suarez wins 2, draws 2, Nueva Chicago wins 3

Standings

Group 2
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 26 13 9 4 29:15 14 48
L W W W W
2 27 12 10 5 30:22 8 46
W W W L L
3 26 13 6 7 39:32 7 45
D W L L L
4 27 13 3 11 31:28 3 42
L L W L W
5 26 11 8 7 29:19 10 41
W L D W D
6 27 11 8 8 28:25 3 41
W L D W W
7 27 10 9 8 20:20 0 39
W D D W D
8 27 11 5 11 34:28 6 38
L W W L W
9 26 10 8 8 28:24 4 38
W W W D D
10 27 8 12 7 27:24 3 36
D W D D L
11 26 9 7 10 24:25 -1 34
W D L D W
12 27 9 7 11 22:29 -7 34
W D L D L
13 27 8 8 11 27:23 4 32
L L W D W
14 27 7 8 12 20:27 -7 29
L L L L L
15 26 7 8 11 22:30 -8 29
L W W L W
16 27 5 13 9 23:30 -7 28
L W D L D
17 27 7 6 14 19:29 -10 27
L L D L L
18 27 5 8 14 22:44 -22 23
D D D D L
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Super final)
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation