26.09.2026 13:30

Trefelin vs The New Saints Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 88%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 58.8%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 66.7%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
88%
-
BTTS Yes
58.8%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
66.7%
-
Corners O/U Under 11.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
-
Correct Score 1-2
-
-
Probability Distribution
Trefelin Win 6%
Draw 6%
The New Saints Win 88%
Expected Goals (xG)
Trefelin0.58
The New Saints2.36
Recent Form (Last 5)
Trefelin Trefelin
WWDLW
6 GF / 36 GA
The New Saints The New Saints
WLDWL
31 GF / 11 GA
Key Stats
0.5
Average Goals Scored
1.94
3
Average Goals Conceded
0.69
5
BTTS Yes
6
6
Over 2.5
7
0
Shots on Goal
0.8

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Trefelin Trefelin 12 matches
The New Saints The New Saints 16 matches
Trefelin Statistic The New Saints
0 Wins 11
3 Draws 2
9 Losses 3
6 Goals For 31
36 Goals Against 11
0.5 Avg Goals Scored 1.94
3 Avg Goals Conceded 0.69
5 BTTS Yes 6
11 Over 1.5 11
6 Over 2.5 7
5 Over 3.5 4
0 Clean Sheets 8
7 Failed To Score 3
0 Shots On Goal 0.8
0 Total Shots 2
0 Corners 0.6
0% Ball Possession 9.2%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by The New Saints's more proactive style and Trefelin's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The New Saints carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 1 with 25 points while Trefelin sit 13 on 3, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. The New Saints look sharper on recent form, and that momentum could be important in key phases of the match. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors The New Saints. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward The New Saints having the stronger overall control.

Trefelin Analysis

Trefelin sit 13 with 3 points after 10 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Their record of 0 wins, 3 draws, and 7 losses, together with goals at 4:24, reflects poor form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through their main attacking players, while the defensive numbers suggest they have been very solid. At home, the split record of 0 wins, 1 draws, and 4 losses points to a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

The New Saints Analysis

The New Saints approach this game with the confidence of a side sitting 1 on 25 points after 9 outings. The return of 8 wins, 1 draws, and 0 defeats, together with goals at 24:3, reflects very strong form and are on a winning streak. Much of their attacking edge comes through their main attacking players, while their defending has remained very solid. Away from home, their record of 3 wins, 1 draws, and 0 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their overall playing style can be described as balanced attacking football.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: X2 (94%)

Standings

Premier League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 9 1 0 26:4 22 28
W W W W W
2 10 7 3 0 20:8 12 24
W W W W D
3 10 7 1 2 33:11 22 22
W D W W L
4 10 7 1 2 23:7 16 22
W W L D W
5 10 7 1 2 25:16 9 22
L D W L W
6 10 6 1 3 20:14 6 19
W W W L W
7 10 5 1 4 18:14 4 16
L D L W L
8 10 5 0 5 17:15 2 15
W L L W W
9 10 4 3 3 17:20 -3 15
L W W D D
10 9 4 2 3 19:11 8 14
L D D W W
11 9 3 1 5 7:14 -7 10
W W D W L
12 10 2 2 6 9:19 -10 8
D L L L L
13 10 0 3 7 4:24 -20 3
D L L D L
14 10 0 3 7 7:28 -21 3
L D L L L
15 10 0 2 8 8:24 -16 2
L L D L L
16 10 0 1 9 11:35 -24 1
L L L D L
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