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FRANCE › LIGUE 1
--.--.---- --:--
Toulouse
FT
0 - 1
Marseille
Stadium de Toulouse
Referee: B. Dechepy
Toulouse
Match Timeline
Marseille
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
12'
Facundo Medina
Marseille
⚽
18'
M. Greenwood · Assist: I. Paixao
Marseille
🔄
46'
Emersonn ↔ S. Hidalgo
Toulouse
🟨
59'
Aron Dønnum
Toulouse
🟨
59'
Mason Greenwood
Marseille
🟨
60'
Timothy Weah
Marseille
🟨
64'
Mark McKenzie
Toulouse
🔄
66'
G. Kondogbia ↔ T. Nnadi
Marseille
🔄
66'
M. Greenwood ↔ A. Gouiri
Marseille
🔄
69'
C. Casseres ↔ A. Vossah
Toulouse
🔄
78'
W. Kamanzi ↔ J. Russell-Rowe
Toulouse
🔄
79'
D. Methalie ↔ J. Vignolo
Toulouse
🔄
82'
Q. Timber ↔ A. Vermeeren
Marseille
🔄
83'
P. Aubameyang ↔ Emerson
Marseille
🔄
84'
P. Demba ↔ M. Sauer
Toulouse

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
Probability Distribution
Toulouse Win 0%
Draw 0%
Marseille Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Toulouse1.38
Marseille1.82
Recent Form (Last 5)
Toulouse Toulouse
WWDLW
39 GF / 32 GA
Marseille Marseille
WLDWL
82 GF / 49 GA
Key Stats
1.39
Average Goals Scored
2.28
1.14
Average Goals Conceded
1.36
13
BTTS Yes
17
13
Over 2.5
27
4.79
Shots on Goal
5.86

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Toulouse Toulouse 28 matches
Marseille Marseille 36 matches
Toulouse Statistic Marseille
10 Wins 19
9 Draws 5
9 Losses 12
39 Goals For 82
32 Goals Against 49
1.39 Avg Goals Scored 2.28
1.14 Avg Goals Conceded 1.36
13 BTTS Yes 17
18 Over 1.5 29
13 Over 2.5 27
7 Over 3.5 17
9 Clean Sheets 10
8 Failed To Score 9
4.79 Shots On Goal 5.86
13.5 Total Shots 14.42
5.14 Corners 5.08
44% Ball Possession 58.1%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Toulouse won 0 times, Marseille won 11 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 15:38 from Toulouse's perspective. 10 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 9 matches, with an average of 3.53 goals per game.

Predicted formations: Toulouse 3-4-2-1 / Marseille 3-4-1-2
H2H summary: Toulouse wins 0, draws 4, Marseille wins 11
Stats
Toulouse Toulouse
Marseille Marseille
Shots on Goal
2
Shots on Goal
3
Shots off Goal
7
Shots off Goal
6
Blocked Shots
3
Blocked Shots
1
4 Corner Kicks 2
15 Fouls 14
3 Offsides 1
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Goal 3
7 Shots off Goal 6
3 Blocked Shots 1
9 Shots insidebox 7
3 Shots outsidebox 3
2 Goalkeeper Saves 2
438 Total passes 461
363 Passes accurate 386
0.91 expected_goals 1.13
🟨 2 Yellow Cards 3 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Toulouse
Formation
Marseille
G. Restes
G. Restes
D. Sidibe
D. Sidibe
R. Nicolaisen
R. Nicolaisen
M. McKenzie
M. McKenzie
W. Kamanzi
↓
W. Kamanzi
C. Casseres
↓
C. Casseres
P. Demba
↓
P. Demba
D. Methalie
↓
D. Methalie
A. Donnum
A. Donnum
Y. Gboho
Y. Gboho
Emersonn
↓
Emersonn
G. Rulli
G. Rulli
B. Pavard
B. Pavard
L. Balerdi
L. Balerdi
F. Medina
F. Medina
T. Weah
T. Weah
G. Kondogbia
↓
G. Kondogbia
P. Hojbjerg
P. Hojbjerg
I. Paixao
🎯
I. Paixao
Q. Timber
↓
Q. Timber
M. Greenwood
⚽ ↓
M. Greenwood
P. Aubameyang
↓
P. Aubameyang
Toulouse 3-4-2-1
Starting XI
1
G. Restes
G
19
D. Sidibe
D
2
R. Nicolaisen
D
3
M. McKenzie
🟨 64'
D
12
W. Kamanzi
↓ 78'
M
23
C. Casseres
↓ 69'
M
18
P. Demba
↓ 84'
M
24
D. Methalie
↓ 79'
M
15
A. Donnum
🟨 59'
F
10
Y. Gboho
F
20
Emersonn
↓ 46'
F
Substitutes
16
K. Haug
G
40
N. Said Mchindra
G
77
M. Sauer
↑ 84'
M
11
S. Hidalgo
↑ 46'
F
44
G. Bakhouche Piernas
D
13
J. Russell-Rowe
↑ 78'
F
35
S. Koumbassa
D
7
J. Vignolo
↑ 79'
F
45
A. Vossah
↑ 69'
M
Marseille 3-4-1-2
Starting XI
1
G. Rulli
G
28
B. Pavard
D
5
L. Balerdi
D
32
F. Medina
🟨 12'
D
22
T. Weah
🟨 60'
M
19
G. Kondogbia
↓ 66'
M
23
P. Hojbjerg
M
14
I. Paixao
🎯 18'
M
27
Q. Timber
↓ 82'
F
10
M. Greenwood
⚽ 18' ↓ 66' 🟨 59'
F
17
P. Aubameyang
↓ 83'
F
Substitutes
12
J. De Lange
G
33
Emerson
↑ 83'
D
4
C. Egan-Riley
D
11
E. Nwaneri
M
18
A. Vermeeren
↑ 82'
M
6
T. Nnadi
↑ 66'
M
35
E. Lago
F
9
A. Gouiri
↑ 66'
F
20
H. J. Traore
M
Last matches: Toulouse
31.07.26
Fri
Toulouse
Real Sociedad
2
1
W
25.07.26
Fri
Toulouse
Rodez
1
1
D
10.05.26
Lig
Toulouse
Lyon
2
1
W
03.05.26
Lig
Toulouse
Strasbourg
2
1
W
25.04.26
Lig
Toulouse
Monaco
2
2
D
21.04.26
Cou
Toulouse
Lens
1
4
L
17.04.26
Lig
Toulouse
Lens
2
3
L
12.04.26
Lig
Toulouse
Lille
0
4
L
03.04.26
Lig
Toulouse
Paris Saint Germain
1
3
L
21.03.26
Lig
Toulouse
Lorient
1
0
W
15.03.26
Lig
Toulouse
Metz
4
3
W
04.03.26
Cou
Toulouse
Marseille
2
2
D
28.02.26
Lig
Toulouse
Rennes
0
1
L
21.02.26
Lig
Toulouse
Paris FC
1
1
D
15.02.26
Lig
Toulouse
Le Havre
1
2
L
08.02.26
Lig
Toulouse
Angers
0
1
L
04.02.26
Cou
Toulouse
Amiens
1
0
W
01.02.26
Lig
Toulouse
Auxerre
0
0
D
25.01.26
Lig
Toulouse
Stade Brestois 29
2
0
W
17.01.26
Lig
Toulouse
Nice
5
1
W
Last matches: Marseille
09.08.26
Fri
Marseille
Athletic Club
3
1
W
30.07.26
Fri
Marseille
Nimes
2
1
W
25.07.26
Fri
Marseille
Nice
0
3
L
17.05.26
Lig
Marseille
Rennes
3
1
W
10.05.26
Lig
Marseille
Le Havre
1
0
W
02.05.26
Lig
Marseille
Nantes
0
3
L
26.04.26
Lig
Marseille
Nice
1
1
D
18.04.26
Lig
Marseille
Lorient
0
2
L
10.04.26
Lig
Marseille
Metz
3
1
W
05.04.26
Lig
Marseille
Monaco
1
2
L
22.03.26
Lig
Marseille
Lille
1
2
L
13.03.26
Lig
Marseille
Auxerre
1
0
W
04.03.26
Cou
Marseille
Toulouse
2
2
D
01.03.26
Lig
Marseille
Lyon
3
2
W
20.02.26
Lig
Marseille
Stade Brestois 29
0
2
L
14.02.26
Lig
Marseille
Strasbourg
2
2
D
08.02.26
Lig
Marseille
Paris Saint Germain
0
5
L
03.02.26
Cou
Marseille
Rennes
3
0
W
31.01.26
Lig
Marseille
Paris FC
2
2
D
28.01.26
UEF
Marseille
Club Brugge KV
0
3
L
H2H: Toulouse vs Marseille
07.03.26
H2H
Toulouse
Marseille
0
1
L
04.03.26
H2H
Marseille
Toulouse
2
2
D
29.11.25
H2H
Marseille
Toulouse
2
2
D
06.04.25
H2H
Marseille
Toulouse
3
2
L
31.08.24
H2H
Toulouse
Marseille
1
3
L
21.04.24
H2H
Toulouse
Marseille
2
2
D
17.09.23
H2H
Marseille
Toulouse
0
0
D
19.02.23
H2H
Toulouse
Marseille
2
3
L
29.12.22
H2H
Marseille
Toulouse
6
1
L
08.02.20
H2H
Marseille
Toulouse
1
0
L
24.11.19
H2H
Toulouse
Marseille
0
2
L
18.05.19
H2H
Toulouse
Marseille
2
5
L
10.08.18
H2H
Marseille
Toulouse
4
0
L
11.03.18
H2H
Toulouse
Marseille
1
2
L
24.09.17
H2H
Marseille
Toulouse
2
0
L
Last matches: Toulouse
31.07.26
Fri
Toulouse
Real Sociedad
2
1
W
25.07.26
Fri
Toulouse
Rodez
1
1
D
10.05.26
Lig
Toulouse
Lyon
2
1
W
25.04.26
Lig
Toulouse
Monaco
2
2
D
12.04.26
Lig
Toulouse
Lille
0
4
L
21.03.26
Lig
Toulouse
Lorient
1
0
W
21.02.26
Lig
Toulouse
Paris FC
1
1
D
04.02.26
Cou
Toulouse
Amiens
1
0
W
01.02.26
Lig
Toulouse
Auxerre
0
0
D
17.01.26
Lig
Toulouse
Nice
5
1
W
02.01.26
Lig
Toulouse
Lens
0
3
L
06.12.25
Lig
Toulouse
Strasbourg
1
0
W
23.11.25
Lig
Toulouse
Angers
0
1
L
02.11.25
Lig
Toulouse
Le Havre
0
0
D
29.10.25
Lig
Toulouse
Rennes
2
2
D
19.10.25
Lig
Toulouse
Metz
4
0
W
27.09.25
Lig
Toulouse
Nantes
2
2
D
30.08.25
Lig
Toulouse
Paris Saint Germain
3
6
L
24.08.25
Lig
Toulouse
Stade Brestois 29
2
0
W
10.05.25
Lig
Toulouse
Lens
1
1
D
H2H at home: Toulouse
07.03.26
H2H
Toulouse
Marseille
0
1
L
31.08.24
H2H
Toulouse
Marseille
1
3
L
21.04.24
H2H
Toulouse
Marseille
2
2
D
19.02.23
H2H
Toulouse
Marseille
2
3
L
24.11.19
H2H
Toulouse
Marseille
0
2
L
18.05.19
H2H
Toulouse
Marseille
2
5
L
11.03.18
H2H
Toulouse
Marseille
1
2
L
Last matches: Marseille
10.05.26
Lig
Marseille
Le Havre
1
0
W
02.05.26
Lig
Marseille
Nantes
0
3
L
18.04.26
Lig
Marseille
Lorient
0
2
L
05.04.26
Lig
Marseille
Monaco
1
2
L
20.02.26
Lig
Marseille
Stade Brestois 29
0
2
L
08.02.26
Lig
Marseille
Paris Saint Germain
0
5
L
31.01.26
Lig
Marseille
Paris FC
2
2
D
28.01.26
UEF
Marseille
Club Brugge KV
0
3
L
17.01.26
Lig
Marseille
Angers
5
2
W
13.01.26
Cou
Marseille
Bayeux
9
0
W
21.12.25
Cou
Marseille
Bourg-en-bresse 01
6
0
W
09.12.25
UEF
Marseille
Union St. Gilloise
3
2
W
05.12.25
Lig
Marseille
Lille
0
1
L
21.11.25
Lig
Marseille
Nice
5
1
W
01.11.25
Lig
Marseille
Auxerre
1
0
W
25.10.25
Lig
Marseille
Lens
1
2
L
22.10.25
UEF
Marseille
Sporting CP
1
2
L
04.10.25
Lig
Marseille
Metz
3
0
W
26.09.25
Lig
Marseille
Strasbourg
2
1
W
16.09.25
UEF
Marseille
Real Madrid
1
2
L
H2H away: Marseille
07.03.26
H2H
Toulouse
Marseille
0
1
W
31.08.24
H2H
Toulouse
Marseille
1
3
W
21.04.24
H2H
Toulouse
Marseille
2
2
D
19.02.23
H2H
Toulouse
Marseille
2
3
W
24.11.19
H2H
Toulouse
Marseille
0
2
W
18.05.19
H2H
Toulouse
Marseille
2
5
W
11.03.18
H2H
Toulouse
Marseille
1
2
W

Standings

Ligue 1
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1
Paris Saint Germain
34 24 4 6 74:29 45 76
L W W D W
2
Lens
34 22 4 8 66:35 31 70
W L W D D
3
Lille
34 18 7 9 52:37 15 61
L W D W D
4
Lyon
34 18 6 10 53:40 13 60
L L W W W
5
Marseille Away
34 18 5 11 63:45 18 59
W W L D L
6
Rennes
34 17 8 9 59:50 9 59
L W L W W
7
Monaco
34 16 6 12 60:54 6 54
L L W D D
8
Strasbourg
34 15 8 11 58:47 11 53
W W D L W
9
Lorient
34 11 12 11 48:51 -3 45
L W D L W
10
Toulouse Home
33 12 8 13 47:46 1 44
W W D L L
11
Paris FC
34 11 11 12 47:50 -3 44
W L W L W
12
Stade Brestois 29
34 10 9 15 43:55 -12 39
D L L L D
13
Angers
34 9 9 16 29:48 -19 36
D D L L D
14
Le Havre
34 7 14 13 32:44 -12 35
W L D D D
15
Auxerre
34 8 10 16 34:44 -10 34
W W W L D
16
Nice
34 7 11 16 37:60 -23 32
W D D L D
17
Nantes
33 5 8 20 29:52 -23 23
L W L L D
18
Metz
34 3 8 23 32:76 -44 17
D L L D L
Champions League
Champions League Qualification
UEFA Europa League
Conference League Qualification
Relegation Playoffs
Relegation