FRANCE LIGUE 1
22.08.2026 18:45
Stadium Municipal
Referee: Guillaume Paradis, France
Toulouse
Match Timeline
Lyon
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
31'
Niklas Schmidt
Toulouse
🟨
45'
Noah Nartey
Lyon
🔄
63'
Rémi Himbert ↔ Pavel Šulc
Lyon
🔄
63'
Julien Duranville ↔ Malick Fofana
Lyon
68'
Noah Nartey · Assist: Pavel Šulc
Lyon
🔄
69'
Noah Nartey ↔ Tyler Morton
Lyon
🔄
69'
Mathys de Carvalho ↔ Corentin Tolisso
Lyon
🔄
71'
Santiago Hidalgo ↔ Jacen Russell Rowe
Toulouse
🔄
71'
Ismail Diallo ↔ Rafik Messali
Toulouse
🔄
71'
Julian Vignolo ↔ Ilyas Azizi
Toulouse
🔄
80'
Yann Gboho ↔ Sion Oppong
Toulouse
🔄
80'
Mads Bidstrup ↔ Tanner Tessmann
Lyon
85'
Malick Fofana · Assist: Corentin Tolisso
Lyon
🔄
86'
Niklas Schmidt ↔ Mathis Saka
Toulouse
🟨
90+4'
Tanner Tessmann
Lyon

Toulouse vs Lyon Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 57.6%
Odds -
1 agree / 0 disagree
BTTS
Yes
Probability 78.8%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 77.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
57.6%
-
BTTS Yes
78.8%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
77.2%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Toulouse Win 57.6%
Draw 7%
Lyon Win 35.4%
Expected Goals (xG)
Toulouse1.47
Lyon1.86
Recent Form (Last 5)
Toulouse Toulouse
WWDLW
4 GF / 4 GA
Lyon Lyon
WLDWL
20 GF / 15 GA
Key Stats
1.33
Average Goals Scored
2.22
1.33
Average Goals Conceded
1.67
3
BTTS Yes
5
2
Over 2.5
6
0
Shots on Goal
6.67

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Toulouse Toulouse 3 matches
Lyon Lyon 9 matches
Toulouse Statistic Lyon
1 Wins 5
1 Draws 1
1 Losses 3
4 Goals For 20
4 Goals Against 15
1.33 Avg Goals Scored 2.22
1.33 Avg Goals Conceded 1.67
3 BTTS Yes 5
3 Over 1.5 9
2 Over 2.5 6
0 Over 3.5 3
0 Clean Sheets 2
0 Failed To Score 2
0 Shots On Goal 6.67
0 Total Shots 14
0 Corners 5.33
0% Ball Possession 50.7%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Toulouse won 2 times, Lyon won 10 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 15:34 from Toulouse's perspective. 11 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 10 matches, with an average of 3.27 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (93%)
Predicted formations: Toulouse 4-2-3-1 / Lyon 4-3-3
Missing players: Toulouse 3, Lyon 5
H2H summary: Toulouse wins 2, draws 3, Lyon wins 10

Standings

Ligue 1
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 5 4 1 0 8:3 5 13
W D W W W
2
Lyon Away
5 3 2 0 10:2 8 11
W D W D W
3 5 3 2 0 8:3 5 11
W D W W D
4 5 3 1 1 8:4 4 10
L W W D W
5 5 3 1 1 8:9 -1 10
L W W W D
6 5 2 2 1 8:7 1 8
W W L D D
7 5 2 1 2 6:5 1 7
W D L W L
8 5 2 1 2 10:10 0 7
L D W W L
9 5 1 3 1 9:9 0 6
W D D L D
10 5 2 0 3 7:12 -5 6
W W L L L
11 5 1 2 2 7:8 -1 5
L L W D D
12 5 1 2 2 5:6 -1 5
L D W L D
13 5 1 2 2 7:9 -2 5
W D L D L
14 5 1 2 2 3:6 -3 5
W L D L D
15 5 1 1 3 9:9 0 4
L D L L W
16 5 1 1 3 4:11 -7 4
L L L W D
17 5 1 0 4 7:8 -1 3
L L L L W
18 5 0 2 3 4:7 -3 2
L D L D L
Champions League league stage
Qualifying
Europa League league stage
Play-offs
Relegation Playoffs
Relegation