FRANCE LIGUE 1
--.--.---- --:--
Stadium de Toulouse
Referee: Guillaume Paradis, France
Toulouse
Match Timeline
Lyon
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
31'
Niklas Schmidt
Toulouse
🟨
45'
Noah Nartey
Lyon
🔄
63'
R. Himbert ↔ P. Sulc
Lyon
🔄
63'
J. Duranville ↔ M. Fofana
Lyon
68'
N. Nartey · Assist: P. Sulc
Lyon
🔄
69'
M. de Carvalho ↔ C. Tolisso
Lyon
🔄
69'
N. Nartey ↔ T. Morton
Lyon
🔄
71'
I. Diallo ↔ R. Messali
Toulouse
🔄
71'
J. Vignolo ↔ I. Azizi
Toulouse
🔄
71'
S. Hidalgo ↔ J. Russell-Rowe
Toulouse
🔄
80'
Y. Gboho ↔ S. Oppong
Toulouse
🔄
80'
M. Bidstrup ↔ T. Tessmann
Lyon
85'
M. Fofana · Assist: C. Tolisso
Lyon
🔄
86'
N. Schmidt ↔ M. Saka
Toulouse
🟨
90+4'
Tanner Tessmann
Lyon

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 57.6%
Odds 2.92
1 agree / 0 disagree
BTTS
Yes
Probability 78.8%
Odds 1.67
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 77.2%
Odds 1.86
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
57.6%
2.92
BTTS Yes
78.8%
1.67
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
77.2%
1.86
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
1.23
HT / FT Home / Home
-
4.50
Correct Score 2-1
-
11.00
Probability Distribution
Toulouse Win 57.6%
Draw 7%
Lyon Win 35.4%
Expected Goals (xG)
Toulouse1.47
Lyon1.86
Recent Form (Last 5)
Toulouse Toulouse
WWDLW
4 GF / 4 GA
Lyon Lyon
WLDWL
20 GF / 15 GA
Key Stats
1.33
Average Goals Scored
2.22
1.33
Average Goals Conceded
1.67
3
BTTS Yes
5
2
Over 2.5
6
0
Shots on Goal
6.67

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Toulouse Toulouse 3 matches
Lyon Lyon 9 matches
Toulouse Statistic Lyon
1 Wins 5
1 Draws 1
1 Losses 3
4 Goals For 20
4 Goals Against 15
1.33 Avg Goals Scored 2.22
1.33 Avg Goals Conceded 1.67
3 BTTS Yes 5
3 Over 1.5 9
2 Over 2.5 6
0 Over 3.5 3
0 Clean Sheets 2
0 Failed To Score 2
0 Shots On Goal 6.67
0 Total Shots 14
0 Corners 5.33
0% Ball Possession 50.7%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Toulouse won 2 times, Lyon won 10 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 15:34 from Toulouse's perspective. 11 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 10 matches, with an average of 3.27 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (93%)
Predicted formations: Toulouse 4-2-3-1 / Lyon 4-3-3
Missing players: Toulouse 3, Lyon 5
H2H summary: Toulouse wins 2, draws 3, Lyon wins 10
Stats
Toulouse Toulouse
Lyon Lyon
Shots on Goal
2
Shots on Goal
3
Shots off Goal
12
Shots off Goal
5
Blocked Shots
3
Blocked Shots
3
6 Corner Kicks 5
15 Fouls 15
2 Offsides 0
48% Ball Possession 52%
17 Total Shots 11
2 Shots on Goal 3
12 Shots off Goal 5
3 Blocked Shots 3
12 Shots insidebox 7
5 Shots outsidebox 4
1 Goalkeeper Saves 2
435 Total passes 479
371 Passes accurate 416
2.77 expected_goals 0.70
🟨 1 Yellow Cards 2 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Toulouse
Formation
Lyon
G. Restes
G. Restes
I. Diallo
I. Diallo
M. McKenzie
M. McKenzie
R. Nicolaisen
R. Nicolaisen
C. Tape
C. Tape
C. Casseres
C. Casseres
N. Schmidt
N. Schmidt
J. Vignolo
J. Vignolo
T. Jorgensen
T. Jorgensen
Y. Gboho
Y. Gboho
S. Hidalgo
S. Hidalgo
R. Descamps
R. Descamps
Z. Athekame
Z. Athekame
F. Bacher
F. Bacher
C. Mata
C. Mata
M. Ouedraogo
M. Ouedraogo
M. Bidstrup
M. Bidstrup
M. de Carvalho
M. de Carvalho
N. Nartey
N. Nartey
K. Boudache
K. Boudache
R. Himbert
R. Himbert
J. Duranville
J. Duranville
Toulouse 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
16
G. Restes
G
94
I. Diallo
↓ 71'
D
3
M. McKenzie
D
2
R. Nicolaisen
D
12
C. Tape
D
23
C. Casseres
M
31
N. Schmidt
↓ 86' 🟨 31'
M
7
J. Vignolo
↓ 71'
M
8
T. Jorgensen
M
10
Y. Gboho
↓ 80'
M
9
S. Hidalgo
↓ 71'
F
Substitutes
60
M. Niflore
G
19
D. Odogu
D
5
S. Koumbassa
D
77
M. Sauer
M
22
R. Messali
↑ 71'
M
28
M. Saka
↑ 86'
M
37
I. Azizi
↑ 71'
F
11
S. Oppong
↑ 80'
F
13
J. Russell-Rowe
↑ 71'
F
Lyon 4-3-3
Starting XI
40
R. Descamps
G
13
Z. Athekame
D
20
F. Bacher
D
22
C. Mata
D
76
M. Ouedraogo
D
2
M. Bidstrup
↓ 80'
M
39
M. de Carvalho
↓ 69'
M
99
N. Nartey
⚽ 68' ↓ 69' 🟨 45'
M
26
K. Boudache
F
45
R. Himbert
↓ 63'
F
24
J. Duranville
↓ 63'
F
Substitutes
1
D. Greif
G
3
N. Tagliafico
D
8
C. Tolisso
🎯 85' ↑ 69'
M
23
T. Morton
↑ 69'
M
6
T. Tessmann
↑ 80' 🟨 90+4'
M
10
P. Sulc
🎯 68' ↑ 63'
M
11
M. Fofana
⚽ 85' ↑ 63'
F
7
E. Nuamah
F
17
L. Openda
F
Last matches: Toulouse
15.08.26
Fri
Toulouse
Hamburger SV
1
2
L
31.07.26
Fri
Toulouse
Real Sociedad
2
1
W
25.07.26
Fri
Toulouse
Rodez
1
1
D
10.05.26
Lig
Toulouse
Lyon
2
1
W
03.05.26
Lig
Toulouse
Strasbourg
2
1
W
25.04.26
Lig
Toulouse
Monaco
2
2
D
21.04.26
Cou
Toulouse
Lens
1
4
L
17.04.26
Lig
Toulouse
Lens
2
3
L
12.04.26
Lig
Toulouse
Lille
0
4
L
03.04.26
Lig
Toulouse
Paris Saint Germain
1
3
L
21.03.26
Lig
Toulouse
Lorient
1
0
W
15.03.26
Lig
Toulouse
Metz
4
3
W
07.03.26
Lig
Toulouse
Marseille
0
1
L
04.03.26
Cou
Toulouse
Marseille
2
2
D
28.02.26
Lig
Toulouse
Rennes
0
1
L
21.02.26
Lig
Toulouse
Paris FC
1
1
D
15.02.26
Lig
Toulouse
Le Havre
1
2
L
08.02.26
Lig
Toulouse
Angers
0
1
L
04.02.26
Cou
Toulouse
Amiens
1
0
W
01.02.26
Lig
Toulouse
Auxerre
0
0
D
Last matches: Lyon
26.08.26
UEF
Lyon
Fenerbahçe
1
2
L
18.08.26
UEF
Lyon
Fenerbahçe
1
1
D
11.08.26
UEF
Lyon
Sparta Praha
3
0
W
04.08.26
UEF
Lyon
Sparta Praha
1
2
L
29.07.26
Fri
Lyon
Real Betis
0
4
L
24.07.26
Fri
Lyon
VfL Wolfsburg
2
0
W
18.07.26
Fri
Lyon
Slavia Praha
0
2
L
15.07.26
Fri
Lyon
Servette FC
2
1
W
11.07.26
Fri
Lyon
FC ST. Gallen
6
3
W
08.07.26
Fri
Lyon
Mâcon
5
2
W
17.05.26
Lig
Lyon
Lens
0
4
L
10.05.26
Lig
Lyon
Toulouse
1
2
L
03.05.26
Lig
Lyon
Rennes
4
2
W
25.04.26
Lig
Lyon
Auxerre
3
2
W
19.04.26
Lig
Lyon
Paris Saint Germain
2
1
W
12.04.26
Lig
Lyon
Lorient
2
0
W
05.04.26
Lig
Lyon
Angers
0
0
D
22.03.26
Lig
Lyon
Monaco
1
2
L
19.03.26
UEF
Lyon
Celta Vigo
0
2
L
15.03.26
Lig
Lyon
Le Havre
0
0
D
H2H: Toulouse vs Lyon
22.08.26
H2H
Toulouse
Lyon
0
2
L
10.05.26
H2H
Toulouse
Lyon
2
1
W
05.10.25
H2H
Lyon
Toulouse
1
2
W
18.01.25
H2H
Lyon
Toulouse
0
0
D
29.09.24
H2H
Toulouse
Lyon
1
2
L
15.03.24
H2H
Toulouse
Lyon
2
3
L
10.12.23
H2H
Lyon
Toulouse
3
0
L
14.04.23
H2H
Toulouse
Lyon
1
2
L
07.10.22
H2H
Lyon
Toulouse
1
1
D
26.01.20
H2H
Lyon
Toulouse
3
0
L
18.12.19
H2H
Lyon
Toulouse
4
1
L
02.11.19
H2H
Toulouse
Lyon
2
3
L
03.03.19
H2H
Lyon
Toulouse
5
1
L
16.01.19
H2H
Toulouse
Lyon
2
2
D
01.04.18
H2H
Lyon
Toulouse
2
0
L
Last matches: Toulouse
15.08.26
Fri
Toulouse
Hamburger SV
1
2
L
31.07.26
Fri
Toulouse
Real Sociedad
2
1
W
25.07.26
Fri
Toulouse
Rodez
1
1
D
10.05.26
Lig
Toulouse
Lyon
2
1
W
25.04.26
Lig
Toulouse
Monaco
2
2
D
12.04.26
Lig
Toulouse
Lille
0
4
L
21.03.26
Lig
Toulouse
Lorient
1
0
W
07.03.26
Lig
Toulouse
Marseille
0
1
L
21.02.26
Lig
Toulouse
Paris FC
1
1
D
04.02.26
Cou
Toulouse
Amiens
1
0
W
01.02.26
Lig
Toulouse
Auxerre
0
0
D
17.01.26
Lig
Toulouse
Nice
5
1
W
02.01.26
Lig
Toulouse
Lens
0
3
L
06.12.25
Lig
Toulouse
Strasbourg
1
0
W
23.11.25
Lig
Toulouse
Angers
0
1
L
02.11.25
Lig
Toulouse
Le Havre
0
0
D
29.10.25
Lig
Toulouse
Rennes
2
2
D
19.10.25
Lig
Toulouse
Metz
4
0
W
27.09.25
Lig
Toulouse
Nantes
2
2
D
30.08.25
Lig
Toulouse
Paris Saint Germain
3
6
L
H2H at home: Toulouse
22.08.26
H2H
Toulouse
Lyon
0
2
L
10.05.26
H2H
Toulouse
Lyon
2
1
W
29.09.24
H2H
Toulouse
Lyon
1
2
L
15.03.24
H2H
Toulouse
Lyon
2
3
L
14.04.23
H2H
Toulouse
Lyon
1
2
L
02.11.19
H2H
Toulouse
Lyon
2
3
L
16.01.19
H2H
Toulouse
Lyon
2
2
D
Last matches: Lyon
18.08.26
UEF
Lyon
Fenerbahçe
1
1
D
04.08.26
UEF
Lyon
Sparta Praha
1
2
L
29.07.26
Fri
Lyon
Real Betis
0
4
L
24.07.26
Fri
Lyon
VfL Wolfsburg
2
0
W
18.07.26
Fri
Lyon
Slavia Praha
0
2
L
10.05.26
Lig
Lyon
Toulouse
1
2
L
19.04.26
Lig
Lyon
Paris Saint Germain
2
1
W
05.04.26
Lig
Lyon
Angers
0
0
D
15.03.26
Lig
Lyon
Le Havre
0
0
D
12.03.26
UEF
Lyon
Celta Vigo
1
1
D
01.03.26
Lig
Lyon
Marseille
2
3
L
22.02.26
Lig
Lyon
Strasbourg
1
3
L
07.02.26
Lig
Lyon
Nantes
1
0
W
25.01.26
Lig
Lyon
Metz
5
2
W
22.01.26
UEF
Lyon
BSC Young Boys
1
0
W
11.01.26
Cou
Lyon
Lille
2
1
W
03.01.26
Lig
Lyon
Monaco
3
1
W
07.12.25
Lig
Lyon
Lorient
0
1
L
27.11.25
UEF
Lyon
Maccabi Tel Aviv
6
0
W
23.11.25
Lig
Lyon
Auxerre
0
0
D
H2H away: Lyon
22.08.26
H2H
Toulouse
Lyon
0
2
W
10.05.26
H2H
Toulouse
Lyon
2
1
L
29.09.24
H2H
Toulouse
Lyon
1
2
W
15.03.24
H2H
Toulouse
Lyon
2
3
W
14.04.23
H2H
Toulouse
Lyon
1
2
W
02.11.19
H2H
Toulouse
Lyon
2
3
W
16.01.19
H2H
Toulouse
Lyon
2
2
D
Showing odds from: 1xBet
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 2.47
Draw 3.50
Home 2.92
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 3.09
Draw 2.33
Home 3.49
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 1.5 1.26
Over 1.75 1.32
Over 2.0 1.40
Over 2.25 1.63
Over 2.5 1.86
Over 2.75 2.08
Over 3.0 2.45
Over 3.25 2.76
Over 3.5 3.07
Over 3.75 3.52
Under 1.5 4.01
Under 1.75 3.55
Under 2.0 3.10
Under 2.25 2.38
Under 2.5 2.03
Under 2.75 1.81
Under 3.0 1.59
Under 3.25 1.47
Under 3.5 1.40
Under 3.75 1.32
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 2.45
Draw 3.50
Home 2.80
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 3.00
Draw 2.25
Home 3.25
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 2.75
Draw 2.50
Home 2.88
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 0.5 1.04
Over 1.5 1.25
Over 2.5 1.80
Over 3.5 3.00
Over 4.5 5.50
Over 5.5 11.00
Over 6.5 23.00
Over 7.5 51.00
Under 0.5 12.00
Under 1.5 4.00
Under 2.5 2.00
Under 3.5 1.40
Under 4.5 1.14
Under 5.5 1.05
Under 6.5 1.01
Under 7.5 1.00
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 2.48
Draw 3.70
Home 2.92
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 2.94
Draw 2.21
Home 3.40
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 2.67
Draw 2.57
Home 3.10
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 0.5 1.01
Over 0.75 1.01
Over 1.0 1.01
Over 1.25 1.12
Over 1.5 1.22
Over 1.75 1.29
Over 2.0 1.36
Over 2.25 1.65
Over 2.5 1.87
Over 2.75 2.08
Over 3.0 2.30
Over 3.25 2.57
Over 3.5 2.88
Over 3.75 3.46
Over 4.0 4.60
Over 4.25 4.90
Over 4.5 5.30
Over 4.75 7.65
Over 5.0 9.00
Over 5.5 11.00
Over 6.5 23.00
Over 7.5 50.00
Under 0.5 11.90
Under 0.75 9.10
Under 1.0 9.40
Under 1.25 5.22
Under 1.5 3.74
Under 1.75 3.36
Under 2.0 2.94
Under 2.25 2.43
Under 2.5 2.08
Under 2.75 1.88
Under 3.0 1.56
Under 3.25 1.43
Under 3.5 1.35
Under 3.75 1.23
Under 4.0 1.13
Under 4.25 1.11
Under 4.5 1.09
Under 4.75 1.05
Under 5.0 1.03
Under 5.5 1.01
Under 6.5 1.01
Under 7.5 1.00
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 2.38
Draw 3.40
Home 2.80
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 2.85
Draw 2.20
Home 3.10
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 2.60
Draw 2.65
Home 3.00
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 0.5 1.02
Over 1.5 1.22
Over 2.0 1.35
Over 2.25 1.55
Over 2.5 1.75
Over 2.75 1.95
Over 3.0 2.28
Over 3.25 2.55
Over 3.5 2.85
Over 3.75 3.40
Over 4.5 5.50
Over 5.5 11.00
Under 0.5 12.00
Under 1.5 4.10
Under 2.0 3.15
Under 2.25 2.43
Under 2.5 2.06
Under 2.75 1.85
Under 3.0 1.62
Under 3.25 1.50
Under 3.5 1.41
Under 3.75 1.30
Under 4.5 1.14
Under 5.5 1.03

Standings

Ligue 1
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 2 1 1 0 4:2 2 4
D W
2 1 1 0 0 4:0 4 3
W
3 1 1 0 0 5:2 3 3
W
4
Lyon Away
1 1 0 0 2:0 2 3
W
5 1 1 0 0 1:0 1 3
W
6 2 0 2 0 4:4 0 2
D D
7 1 0 1 0 2:2 0 1
D
8 1 0 1 0 2:2 0 1
D
9 1 0 1 0 2:2 0 1
D
10 1 0 1 0 0:0 0 1
D
11 1 0 1 0 0:0 0 1
D
12 1 0 1 0 0:0 0 1
D
13 1 0 1 0 0:0 0 1
D
14 1 0 0 1 0:1 -1 0
L
15 1 0 0 1 0:2 -2 0
L
16 1 0 0 1 0:2 -2 0
L
17 1 0 0 1 2:5 -3 0
L
18 1 0 0 1 0:4 -4 0
L
Champions League league stage
Qualifying
Europa League league stage
Play-offs
Relegation Playoffs
Relegation

Missing Players

Toulouse 3 missing
-
A. Donnum
Missing Fixture Inactive
OUT
-
A. Francis
Missing Fixture Inactive
OUT
-
A. Vossah
Missing Fixture Yellow Cards
OUT
Lyon 5 missing
-
Abner Vinicius
Missing Fixture Inactive
OUT
-
R. Kluivert
Missing Fixture Inactive
OUT
-
A. Maitland-Niles
Missing Fixture Inactive
OUT
-
M. Niakhate
Missing Fixture Inactive
OUT
-
K. Merah
Missing Fixture Ankle Injury
OUT