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FRANCE › LIGUE 1
22.08.2026 18:45
Stadium Municipal
Referee: Guillaume Paradis, France
Toulouse
Match Timeline
Lyon
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
31'
Niklas Schmidt
Toulouse
🟨
45'
Noah Nartey
Lyon
🔄
63'
R. Himbert ↔ P. Sulc
Lyon
🔄
63'
J. Duranville ↔ M. Fofana
Lyon
⚽
68'
N. Nartey · Assist: P. Sulc
Lyon
🔄
69'
M. de Carvalho ↔ C. Tolisso
Lyon
🔄
69'
N. Nartey ↔ T. Morton
Lyon
🔄
71'
I. Diallo ↔ R. Messali
Toulouse
🔄
71'
J. Vignolo ↔ I. Azizi
Toulouse
🔄
71'
S. Hidalgo ↔ J. Russell-Rowe
Toulouse
🔄
80'
Y. Gboho ↔ S. Oppong
Toulouse
🔄
80'
M. Bidstrup ↔ T. Tessmann
Lyon
⚽
85'
M. Fofana · Assist: C. Tolisso
Lyon
🔄
86'
N. Schmidt ↔ M. Saka
Toulouse
🟨
90+4'
Tanner Tessmann
Lyon

Toulouse vs Lyon Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 57.6%
Odds -
1 agree / 0 disagree
BTTS
Yes
Probability 78.8%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 77.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
57.6%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
78.8%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
77.2%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Toulouse Win 57.6%
Draw 7%
Lyon Win 35.4%
Expected Goals (xG)
Toulouse1.47
Lyon1.86
Recent Form (Last 5)
Toulouse Toulouse
WWDLW
4 GF / 4 GA
Lyon Lyon
WLDWL
20 GF / 15 GA
Key Stats
1.33
Average Goals Scored
2.22
1.33
Average Goals Conceded
1.67
3
BTTS Yes
5
2
Over 2.5
6
0
Shots on Goal
6.67

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Toulouse Toulouse 3 matches
Lyon Lyon 9 matches
Toulouse Statistic Lyon
1 Wins 5
1 Draws 1
1 Losses 3
4 Goals For 20
4 Goals Against 15
1.33 Avg Goals Scored 2.22
1.33 Avg Goals Conceded 1.67
3 BTTS Yes 5
3 Over 1.5 9
2 Over 2.5 6
0 Over 3.5 3
0 Clean Sheets 2
0 Failed To Score 2
0 Shots On Goal 6.67
0 Total Shots 14
0 Corners 5.33
0% Ball Possession 50.7%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Toulouse won 2 times, Lyon won 10 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 15:34 from Toulouse's perspective. 11 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 10 matches, with an average of 3.27 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (93%)
Predicted formations: Toulouse 4-2-3-1 / Lyon 4-3-3
Missing players: Toulouse 3, Lyon 5
H2H summary: Toulouse wins 2, draws 3, Lyon wins 10

Standings

Ligue 1
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 6 4 2 0 10:5 5 14
D W D W W
2 6 4 1 1 9:4 5 13
W L W W D
3 6 4 1 1 12:10 2 13
W L W W W
4
Lyon Away
6 3 2 1 11:4 7 11
L W D W D
5 6 3 2 1 8:4 4 11
L W D W W
6 6 3 2 1 11:8 3 11
W W W L D
7 6 2 2 2 12:9 3 8
W L L W D
8 6 2 2 2 6:6 0 8
W L D W L
9 6 2 2 2 5:7 -2 8
W W L D L
10 6 2 1 3 11:10 1 7
W L D L L
11 6 2 1 3 11:12 -1 7
L L D W W
12 6 2 1 3 7:10 -3 7
L W D L W
13 6 2 0 4 9:8 1 6
W L L L L
14 6 1 3 2 10:12 -2 6
L W D D L
15 6 1 3 2 9:11 -2 6
D W D L D
16 6 2 0 4 8:16 -8 6
L W W L L
17 6 1 1 4 4:13 -9 4
L L L L W
18 6 0 2 4 4:8 -4 2
L L D L D
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Play-offs
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