Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
All Markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|
Probability Distribution
Toluca Win 0%
Draw 0%
Necaxa Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Toluca1.86
Necaxa1.88
Recent Form (Last 5)
Toluca
WWDLW
22 GF / 12 GA
Necaxa
WLDWL
9 GF / 4 GA
Key Stats
2.44
Average Goals Scored
2.25
1.33
Average Goals Conceded
1
5
BTTS Yes
2
7
Over 2.5
2
7.14
Shots on Goal
0
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Toluca
9 matches
Necaxa
4 matches
| Toluca | Statistic | Necaxa |
|---|---|---|
| 4 | Wins | 3 |
| 2 | Draws | 1 |
| 3 | Losses | 0 |
| 22 | Goals For | 9 |
| 12 | Goals Against | 4 |
| 2.44 | Avg Goals Scored | 2.25 |
| 1.33 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1 |
| 5 | BTTS Yes | 2 |
| 8 | Over 1.5 | 2 |
| 7 | Over 2.5 | 2 |
| 5 | Over 3.5 | 1 |
| 3 | Clean Sheets | 2 |
| 1 | Failed To Score | 1 |
| 7.14 | Shots On Goal | 0 |
| 18.71 | Total Shots | 0 |
| 4.14 | Corners | 0 |
| 58.7% | Ball Possession | 0% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
H2H Analysis
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Toluca won 9 times, Necaxa won 2 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 33:16 from Toluca's perspective. 9 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 9 matches, with an average of 3.27 goals per game.
Predicted formations: Toluca 4-1-4-1 / Necaxa 3-4-3
H2H summary: Toluca wins 9, draws 4, Necaxa wins 2
Last matches: Toluca
10.07.26
Fri
Toluca
Atlante FC
3
3
D
04.07.26
Fri
Toluca
Cancún
0
1
L
31.05.26
CON
Toluca
Tigres UANL
1
1
D
10.05.26
Lig
Toluca
CF Pachuca
0
2
L
07.05.26
CON
Toluca
Los Angeles FC
4
0
W
04.05.26
Lig
Toluca
CF Pachuca
0
1
L
30.04.26
CON
Toluca
Los Angeles FC
1
2
L
26.04.26
Lig
Toluca
Leon
4
1
W
23.04.26
Lig
Toluca
Mazatlán
3
4
L
19.04.26
Lig
Toluca
Club America
1
2
L
16.04.26
CON
Toluca
Los Angeles Galaxy
3
0
W
13.04.26
Lig
Toluca
Atletico San Luis
1
1
D
09.04.26
CON
Toluca
Los Angeles Galaxy
4
2
W
04.04.26
Lig
Toluca
Club Queretaro
0
1
L
22.03.26
Lig
Toluca
CF Pachuca
1
1
D
19.03.26
CON
Toluca
San Diego
4
0
W
15.03.26
Lig
Toluca
Atlas
1
1
D
12.03.26
CON
Toluca
San Diego
2
3
L
08.03.26
Lig
Toluca
FC Juarez
3
1
W
04.03.26
Lig
Toluca
U.N.A.M. - Pumas
3
2
W
Last matches: Necaxa
04.07.26
Fri
Necaxa
Atlas
0
0
D
01.07.26
Fri
Necaxa
Correcaminos Uat
6
3
W
20.06.26
Fri
Necaxa
Monarcas
1
0
W
27.04.26
Lig
Necaxa
Cruz Azul
1
4
L
23.04.26
Lig
Necaxa
Guadalajara Chivas
0
0
D
18.04.26
Lig
Necaxa
Tigres UANL
1
1
D
11.04.26
Lig
Necaxa
Club Queretaro
1
3
L
04.04.26
Lig
Necaxa
Mazatlán
2
1
W
21.03.26
Lig
Necaxa
Club Tijuana
3
0
W
14.03.26
Lig
Necaxa
Puebla
0
0
D
07.03.26
Lig
Necaxa
U.N.A.M. - Pumas
0
1
L
04.03.26
Lig
Necaxa
CF Pachuca
1
2
L
01.03.26
Lig
Necaxa
Leon
1
2
L
22.02.26
Lig
Necaxa
Toluca
0
3
L
15.02.26
Lig
Necaxa
FC Juarez
2
1
W
07.02.26
Lig
Necaxa
Atletico San Luis
4
1
W
31.01.26
Lig
Necaxa
Club America
0
2
L
17.01.26
Lig
Necaxa
Atlas
0
1
L
14.01.26
Lig
Necaxa
Monterrey
0
2
L
11.01.26
Lig
Necaxa
Santos Laguna
3
1
W
H2H: Toluca vs Necaxa
22.02.26
H2H
Necaxa
Toluca
0
3
W
13.07.25
H2H
Toluca
Necaxa
3
1
W
08.03.25
H2H
Toluca
Necaxa
5
2
W
28.10.24
H2H
Necaxa
Toluca
1
3
W
10.02.24
H2H
Necaxa
Toluca
3
3
D
02.07.23
H2H
Toluca
Necaxa
0
0
D
30.04.23
H2H
Toluca
Necaxa
3
0
W
27.12.22
H2H
Toluca
Necaxa
1
0
W
02.07.22
H2H
Necaxa
Toluca
1
3
W
05.03.22
H2H
Necaxa
Toluca
0
1
W
21.10.21
H2H
Toluca
Necaxa
1
1
D
24.01.21
H2H
Toluca
Necaxa
2
0
W
31.10.20
H2H
Necaxa
Toluca
3
2
L
19.01.20
H2H
Toluca
Necaxa
2
3
L
29.08.19
H2H
Necaxa
Toluca
1
1
D
Last matches: Toluca
31.05.26
CON
Toluca
Tigres UANL
1
1
D
07.05.26
CON
Toluca
Los Angeles FC
4
0
W
04.05.26
Lig
Toluca
CF Pachuca
0
1
L
26.04.26
Lig
Toluca
Leon
4
1
W
13.04.26
Lig
Toluca
Atletico San Luis
1
1
D
09.04.26
CON
Toluca
Los Angeles Galaxy
4
2
W
19.03.26
CON
Toluca
San Diego
4
0
W
15.03.26
Lig
Toluca
Atlas
1
1
D
08.03.26
Lig
Toluca
FC Juarez
3
1
W
28.02.26
Lig
Toluca
Guadalajara Chivas
2
0
W
14.02.26
Lig
Toluca
Club Tijuana
1
0
W
07.02.26
Lig
Toluca
Cruz Azul
1
1
D
15.01.26
Lig
Toluca
Santos Laguna
3
1
W
15.12.25
Lig
Toluca
Tigres UANL
2
1
W
07.12.25
Lig
Toluca
Monterrey
3
2
W
30.11.25
Lig
Toluca
FC Juarez
0
0
D
09.11.25
Lig
Toluca
Club America
2
0
W
27.10.25
Lig
Toluca
CF Pachuca
2
2
D
18.10.25
Lig
Toluca
Club Queretaro
4
0
W
28.09.25
Lig
Toluca
Mazatlán
3
1
W
H2H at home: Toluca
13.07.25
H2H
Toluca
Necaxa
3
1
W
08.03.25
H2H
Toluca
Necaxa
5
2
W
02.07.23
H2H
Toluca
Necaxa
0
0
D
30.04.23
H2H
Toluca
Necaxa
3
0
W
27.12.22
H2H
Toluca
Necaxa
1
0
W
21.10.21
H2H
Toluca
Necaxa
1
1
D
24.01.21
H2H
Toluca
Necaxa
2
0
W
19.01.20
H2H
Toluca
Necaxa
2
3
L
Last matches: Necaxa
04.07.26
Fri
Necaxa
Atlas
0
0
D
01.07.26
Fri
Necaxa
Correcaminos Uat
6
3
W
27.04.26
Lig
Necaxa
Cruz Azul
1
4
L
11.04.26
Lig
Necaxa
Club Queretaro
1
3
L
14.03.26
Lig
Necaxa
Puebla
0
0
D
04.03.26
Lig
Necaxa
CF Pachuca
1
2
L
01.03.26
Lig
Necaxa
Leon
1
2
L
15.02.26
Lig
Necaxa
FC Juarez
2
1
W
31.01.26
Lig
Necaxa
Club America
0
2
L
11.01.26
Lig
Necaxa
Santos Laguna
3
1
W
03.01.26
Fri
Necaxa
Leon
2
1
W
08.11.25
Lig
Necaxa
Mazatlán
1
1
D
27.10.25
Lig
Necaxa
Atletico San Luis
4
3
W
18.10.25
Lig
Necaxa
Tigres UANL
3
5
L
27.09.25
Lig
Necaxa
Atlas
2
3
L
24.09.25
Lig
Necaxa
Guadalajara Chivas
1
3
L
01.09.25
Lig
Necaxa
Club Tijuana
0
3
L
24.08.25
Lig
Necaxa
Monterrey
0
3
L
11.08.25
Lig
Necaxa
U.N.A.M. - Pumas
1
1
D
13.07.25
Lig
Necaxa
Toluca
1
3
L
H2H away: Necaxa
13.07.25
H2H
Toluca
Necaxa
3
1
L
08.03.25
H2H
Toluca
Necaxa
5
2
L
02.07.23
H2H
Toluca
Necaxa
0
0
D
30.04.23
H2H
Toluca
Necaxa
3
0
L
27.12.22
H2H
Toluca
Necaxa
1
0
L
21.10.21
H2H
Toluca
Necaxa
1
1
D
24.01.21
H2H
Toluca
Necaxa
2
0
L
19.01.20
H2H
Toluca
Necaxa
2
3
W