Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
All Markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|
Probability Distribution
Toluca Win 0%
Draw 0%
Necaxa Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Toluca1.85
Necaxa1.39
Recent Form (Last 5)
Toluca
WWDLW
60 GF / 33 GA
Necaxa
WLDWL
42 GF / 41 GA
Key Stats
2.07
Average Goals Scored
1.56
1.14
Average Goals Conceded
1.52
16
BTTS Yes
16
19
Over 2.5
17
0
Shots on Goal
0
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Toluca
29 matches
Necaxa
27 matches
| Toluca | Statistic | Necaxa |
|---|---|---|
| 15 | Wins | 9 |
| 8 | Draws | 6 |
| 6 | Losses | 12 |
| 60 | Goals For | 42 |
| 33 | Goals Against | 41 |
| 2.07 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.56 |
| 1.14 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.52 |
| 16 | BTTS Yes | 16 |
| 26 | Over 1.5 | 21 |
| 19 | Over 2.5 | 17 |
| 12 | Over 3.5 | 11 |
| 9 | Clean Sheets | 7 |
| 5 | Failed To Score | 7 |
| 0 | Shots On Goal | 0 |
| 0 | Total Shots | 0 |
| 0 | Corners | 0 |
| 0% | Ball Possession | 0% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
H2H Analysis
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Toluca won 10 times, Necaxa won 2 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 35:16 from Toluca's perspective. 10 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 9 matches, with an average of 3.4 goals per game.
Predicted formations: Toluca 4-2-3-1 / Necaxa 3-4-2-1
H2H summary: Toluca wins 10, draws 3, Necaxa wins 2
Last matches: Toluca
22.08.26
Lig
Toluca
Club Queretaro
0
0
D
15.08.26
Lig
Toluca
Atlante FC
0
0
D
03.08.26
Lig
Toluca
Necaxa
3
1
W
22.07.26
Lig
Toluca
U.N.A.M. - Pumas
1
2
L
19.07.26
Lig
Toluca
Guadalajara Chivas
2
0
W
10.07.26
Fri
Toluca
Atlante FC
3
3
D
04.07.26
Fri
Toluca
Cancún
0
1
L
31.05.26
CON
Toluca
Tigres UANL
1
1
D
10.05.26
Lig
Toluca
CF Pachuca
0
2
L
07.05.26
CON
Toluca
Los Angeles FC
4
0
W
04.05.26
Lig
Toluca
CF Pachuca
0
1
L
30.04.26
CON
Toluca
Los Angeles FC
1
2
L
26.04.26
Lig
Toluca
Leon
4
1
W
23.04.26
Lig
Toluca
Mazatlán
3
4
L
19.04.26
Lig
Toluca
Club America
1
2
L
16.04.26
CON
Toluca
Los Angeles Galaxy
3
0
W
13.04.26
Lig
Toluca
Atletico San Luis
1
1
D
09.04.26
CON
Toluca
Los Angeles Galaxy
4
2
W
04.04.26
Lig
Toluca
Club Queretaro
0
1
L
22.03.26
Lig
Toluca
CF Pachuca
1
1
D
Last matches: Necaxa
24.08.26
Lig
Necaxa
U.N.A.M. - Pumas
1
1
D
18.08.26
Lig
Necaxa
Leon
1
2
L
03.08.26
Lig
Necaxa
Toluca
1
3
L
26.07.26
Lig
Necaxa
Monterrey
2
1
W
17.07.26
Lig
Necaxa
Atlante FC
2
1
W
11.07.26
Fri
Necaxa
Leon
0
0
D
04.07.26
Fri
Necaxa
Atlas
0
0
D
01.07.26
Fri
Necaxa
Correcaminos Uat
6
3
W
20.06.26
Fri
Necaxa
Monarcas
1
0
W
27.04.26
Lig
Necaxa
Cruz Azul
1
4
L
23.04.26
Lig
Necaxa
Guadalajara Chivas
0
0
D
18.04.26
Lig
Necaxa
Tigres UANL
1
1
D
11.04.26
Lig
Necaxa
Club Queretaro
1
3
L
04.04.26
Lig
Necaxa
Mazatlán
2
1
W
21.03.26
Lig
Necaxa
Club Tijuana
3
0
W
14.03.26
Lig
Necaxa
Puebla
0
0
D
07.03.26
Lig
Necaxa
U.N.A.M. - Pumas
0
1
L
04.03.26
Lig
Necaxa
CF Pachuca
1
2
L
01.03.26
Lig
Necaxa
Leon
1
2
L
22.02.26
Lig
Necaxa
Toluca
0
3
L
H2H: Toluca vs Necaxa
03.08.26
H2H
Toluca
Necaxa
3
1
W
22.02.26
H2H
Necaxa
Toluca
0
3
W
13.07.25
H2H
Toluca
Necaxa
3
1
W
08.03.25
H2H
Toluca
Necaxa
5
2
W
28.10.24
H2H
Necaxa
Toluca
1
3
W
10.02.24
H2H
Necaxa
Toluca
3
3
D
02.07.23
H2H
Toluca
Necaxa
0
0
D
30.04.23
H2H
Toluca
Necaxa
3
0
W
27.12.22
H2H
Toluca
Necaxa
1
0
W
02.07.22
H2H
Necaxa
Toluca
1
3
W
05.03.22
H2H
Necaxa
Toluca
0
1
W
21.10.21
H2H
Toluca
Necaxa
1
1
D
24.01.21
H2H
Toluca
Necaxa
2
0
W
31.10.20
H2H
Necaxa
Toluca
3
2
L
19.01.20
H2H
Toluca
Necaxa
2
3
L
Last matches: Toluca
03.08.26
Lig
Toluca
Necaxa
3
1
W
22.07.26
Lig
Toluca
U.N.A.M. - Pumas
1
2
L
31.05.26
CON
Toluca
Tigres UANL
1
1
D
07.05.26
CON
Toluca
Los Angeles FC
4
0
W
04.05.26
Lig
Toluca
CF Pachuca
0
1
L
26.04.26
Lig
Toluca
Leon
4
1
W
13.04.26
Lig
Toluca
Atletico San Luis
1
1
D
09.04.26
CON
Toluca
Los Angeles Galaxy
4
2
W
19.03.26
CON
Toluca
San Diego
4
0
W
15.03.26
Lig
Toluca
Atlas
1
1
D
08.03.26
Lig
Toluca
FC Juarez
3
1
W
28.02.26
Lig
Toluca
Guadalajara Chivas
2
0
W
14.02.26
Lig
Toluca
Club Tijuana
1
0
W
07.02.26
Lig
Toluca
Cruz Azul
1
1
D
15.01.26
Lig
Toluca
Santos Laguna
3
1
W
15.12.25
Lig
Toluca
Tigres UANL
2
1
W
07.12.25
Lig
Toluca
Monterrey
3
2
W
30.11.25
Lig
Toluca
FC Juarez
0
0
D
09.11.25
Lig
Toluca
Club America
2
0
W
27.10.25
Lig
Toluca
CF Pachuca
2
2
D
H2H at home: Toluca
03.08.26
H2H
Toluca
Necaxa
3
1
W
13.07.25
H2H
Toluca
Necaxa
3
1
W
08.03.25
H2H
Toluca
Necaxa
5
2
W
02.07.23
H2H
Toluca
Necaxa
0
0
D
30.04.23
H2H
Toluca
Necaxa
3
0
W
27.12.22
H2H
Toluca
Necaxa
1
0
W
21.10.21
H2H
Toluca
Necaxa
1
1
D
24.01.21
H2H
Toluca
Necaxa
2
0
W
19.01.20
H2H
Toluca
Necaxa
2
3
L
Last matches: Necaxa
24.08.26
Lig
Necaxa
U.N.A.M. - Pumas
1
1
D
03.08.26
Lig
Necaxa
Toluca
1
3
L
11.07.26
Fri
Necaxa
Leon
0
0
D
04.07.26
Fri
Necaxa
Atlas
0
0
D
01.07.26
Fri
Necaxa
Correcaminos Uat
6
3
W
27.04.26
Lig
Necaxa
Cruz Azul
1
4
L
11.04.26
Lig
Necaxa
Club Queretaro
1
3
L
14.03.26
Lig
Necaxa
Puebla
0
0
D
04.03.26
Lig
Necaxa
CF Pachuca
1
2
L
01.03.26
Lig
Necaxa
Leon
1
2
L
15.02.26
Lig
Necaxa
FC Juarez
2
1
W
31.01.26
Lig
Necaxa
Club America
0
2
L
11.01.26
Lig
Necaxa
Santos Laguna
3
1
W
03.01.26
Fri
Necaxa
Leon
2
1
W
08.11.25
Lig
Necaxa
Mazatlán
1
1
D
27.10.25
Lig
Necaxa
Atletico San Luis
4
3
W
18.10.25
Lig
Necaxa
Tigres UANL
3
5
L
27.09.25
Lig
Necaxa
Atlas
2
3
L
24.09.25
Lig
Necaxa
Guadalajara Chivas
1
3
L
01.09.25
Lig
Necaxa
Club Tijuana
0
3
L
H2H away: Necaxa
03.08.26
H2H
Toluca
Necaxa
3
1
L
13.07.25
H2H
Toluca
Necaxa
3
1
L
08.03.25
H2H
Toluca
Necaxa
5
2
L
02.07.23
H2H
Toluca
Necaxa
0
0
D
30.04.23
H2H
Toluca
Necaxa
3
0
L
27.12.22
H2H
Toluca
Necaxa
1
0
L
21.10.21
H2H
Toluca
Necaxa
1
1
D
24.01.21
H2H
Toluca
Necaxa
2
0
L
19.01.20
H2H
Toluca
Necaxa
2
3
W
Standings
Liga MX: Apertura
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 17 | 13 | 3 | 1 | 39:12 | 27 | 42 |
D
D
W
W
W
|
|
| 2 |
Toluca
Home
|
17 | 10 | 5 | 2 | 38:16 | 22 | 35 |
W
L
D
W
W
|
| 3 | 17 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 25:15 | 10 | 34 |
D
W
W
W
L
|
|
| 4 | 17 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 21:13 | 8 | 31 |
W
W
D
L
D
|
|
| 5 | 17 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 26:19 | 7 | 31 |
W
W
L
D
W
|
|
| 6 | 17 | 9 | 3 | 5 | 27:19 | 8 | 30 |
W
D
W
W
L
|
|
| 7 | 17 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 24:25 | -1 | 29 |
W
D
L
D
D
|
|
| 8 | 17 | 8 | 3 | 6 | 27:21 | 6 | 27 |
L
W
W
W
D
|
|
| 9 | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 24:15 | 9 | 25 |
L
W
D
L
W
|
|
| 10 | 17 | 5 | 7 | 5 | 17:23 | -6 | 22 |
D
D
L
D
D
|
|
| 11 | 17 | 3 | 9 | 5 | 21:23 | -2 | 18 |
L
D
D
W
D
|
|
| 12 | 17 | 5 | 2 | 10 | 22:36 | -14 | 17 |
W
D
W
L
L
|
|
| 13 |
Necaxa
Away
|
17 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 20:26 | -6 | 15 |
D
D
L
L
L
|
| 14 | 17 | 2 | 8 | 7 | 10:19 | -9 | 14 |
L
D
L
D
W
|
|
| 15 | 17 | 4 | 2 | 11 | 17:31 | -14 | 14 |
L
L
W
L
L
|
|
| 16 | 17 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 20:29 | -9 | 13 |
L
L
W
L
D
|
|
| 17 | 17 | 3 | 3 | 11 | 13:31 | -18 | 12 |
W
L
L
L
L
|
|
| 18 | 17 | 2 | 4 | 11 | 12:30 | -18 | 10 |
L
L
L
D
D
|
Final Series
Final Series Play-offs