Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
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| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|
Probability Distribution
Toluca Win 0%
Draw 0%
Monterrey Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Toluca1.83
Monterrey1.57
Recent Form (Last 5)
Toluca
WWDLW
81 GF / 45 GA
Monterrey
WLDWL
78 GF / 55 GA
Key Stats
2.19
Average Goals Scored
1.81
1.22
Average Goals Conceded
1.28
22
BTTS Yes
29
26
Over 2.5
26
0
Shots on Goal
0
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Toluca
37 matches
Monterrey
43 matches
| Toluca | Statistic | Monterrey |
|---|---|---|
| 21 | Wins | 22 |
| 9 | Draws | 9 |
| 7 | Losses | 12 |
| 81 | Goals For | 78 |
| 45 | Goals Against | 55 |
| 2.19 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.81 |
| 1.22 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.28 |
| 22 | BTTS Yes | 29 |
| 33 | Over 1.5 | 34 |
| 26 | Over 2.5 | 26 |
| 17 | Over 3.5 | 15 |
| 11 | Clean Sheets | 11 |
| 5 | Failed To Score | 5 |
| 0 | Shots On Goal | 0 |
| 0 | Total Shots | 0 |
| 0 | Corners | 0 |
| 0% | Ball Possession | 0% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
H2H Analysis
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Toluca won 6 times, Monterrey won 5 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 23:20 from Toluca's perspective. 8 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 10 matches, with an average of 2.87 goals per game.
Predicted formations: Toluca 4-2-3-1 / Monterrey 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Toluca wins 6, draws 4, Monterrey wins 5
Last matches: Toluca
22.08.26
Lig
Toluca
Club Queretaro
0
0
D
15.08.26
Lig
Toluca
Atlante FC
0
0
D
03.08.26
Lig
Toluca
Necaxa
3
1
W
22.07.26
Lig
Toluca
U.N.A.M. - Pumas
1
2
L
19.07.26
Lig
Toluca
Guadalajara Chivas
2
0
W
10.07.26
Fri
Toluca
Atlante FC
3
3
D
04.07.26
Fri
Toluca
Cancún
0
1
L
31.05.26
CON
Toluca
Tigres UANL
1
1
D
10.05.26
Lig
Toluca
CF Pachuca
0
2
L
07.05.26
CON
Toluca
Los Angeles FC
4
0
W
04.05.26
Lig
Toluca
CF Pachuca
0
1
L
30.04.26
CON
Toluca
Los Angeles FC
1
2
L
26.04.26
Lig
Toluca
Leon
4
1
W
23.04.26
Lig
Toluca
Mazatlán
3
4
L
19.04.26
Lig
Toluca
Club America
1
2
L
16.04.26
CON
Toluca
Los Angeles Galaxy
3
0
W
13.04.26
Lig
Toluca
Atletico San Luis
1
1
D
09.04.26
CON
Toluca
Los Angeles Galaxy
4
2
W
04.04.26
Lig
Toluca
Club Queretaro
0
1
L
22.03.26
Lig
Toluca
CF Pachuca
1
1
D
Last matches: Monterrey
22.08.26
Lig
Monterrey
Leon
0
1
L
16.08.26
Lig
Monterrey
FC Juarez
6
1
W
02.08.26
Lig
Monterrey
Atlas
2
0
W
26.07.26
Lig
Monterrey
Necaxa
1
2
L
19.07.26
Lig
Monterrey
Santos Laguna
3
2
W
04.07.26
Fri
Monterrey
Atlante FC
1
1
D
21.06.26
Fri
Monterrey
Cancún
4
1
W
26.04.26
Lig
Monterrey
Santos Laguna
0
3
L
22.04.26
Lig
Monterrey
Puebla
2
1
W
19.04.26
Lig
Monterrey
CF Pachuca
1
3
L
12.04.26
Lig
Monterrey
Atlas
0
0
D
04.04.26
Lig
Monterrey
Atletico San Luis
1
2
L
22.03.26
Lig
Monterrey
Guadalajara Chivas
2
3
L
18.03.26
CON
Monterrey
Cruz Azul
1
1
D
14.03.26
Lig
Monterrey
FC Juarez
2
2
D
11.03.26
CON
Monterrey
Cruz Azul
2
3
L
08.03.26
Lig
Monterrey
Tigres UANL
0
1
L
05.03.26
Lig
Monterrey
Club Queretaro
4
0
W
01.03.26
Lig
Monterrey
Cruz Azul
0
2
L
22.02.26
Lig
Monterrey
U.N.A.M. - Pumas
0
2
L
H2H: Toluca vs Monterrey
11.01.26
H2H
Monterrey
Toluca
0
1
W
07.12.25
H2H
Toluca
Monterrey
3
2
W
04.12.25
H2H
Monterrey
Toluca
1
0
L
25.09.25
H2H
Toluca
Monterrey
6
2
W
11.05.25
H2H
Toluca
Monterrey
2
1
W
08.05.25
H2H
Monterrey
Toluca
3
2
L
19.01.25
H2H
Toluca
Monterrey
1
1
D
01.09.24
H2H
Monterrey
Toluca
1
2
W
19.02.24
H2H
Monterrey
Toluca
0
0
D
31.08.23
H2H
Toluca
Monterrey
1
0
W
06.02.23
H2H
Monterrey
Toluca
2
1
L
18.08.22
H2H
Toluca
Monterrey
1
1
D
07.04.22
H2H
Toluca
Monterrey
2
2
D
23.09.21
H2H
Monterrey
Toluca
2
0
L
11.04.21
H2H
Toluca
Monterrey
1
2
L
Last matches: Toluca
03.08.26
Lig
Toluca
Necaxa
3
1
W
22.07.26
Lig
Toluca
U.N.A.M. - Pumas
1
2
L
31.05.26
CON
Toluca
Tigres UANL
1
1
D
07.05.26
CON
Toluca
Los Angeles FC
4
0
W
04.05.26
Lig
Toluca
CF Pachuca
0
1
L
26.04.26
Lig
Toluca
Leon
4
1
W
13.04.26
Lig
Toluca
Atletico San Luis
1
1
D
09.04.26
CON
Toluca
Los Angeles Galaxy
4
2
W
19.03.26
CON
Toluca
San Diego
4
0
W
15.03.26
Lig
Toluca
Atlas
1
1
D
08.03.26
Lig
Toluca
FC Juarez
3
1
W
28.02.26
Lig
Toluca
Guadalajara Chivas
2
0
W
14.02.26
Lig
Toluca
Club Tijuana
1
0
W
07.02.26
Lig
Toluca
Cruz Azul
1
1
D
15.01.26
Lig
Toluca
Santos Laguna
3
1
W
15.12.25
Lig
Toluca
Tigres UANL
2
1
W
07.12.25
Lig
Toluca
Monterrey
3
2
W
30.11.25
Lig
Toluca
FC Juarez
0
0
D
09.11.25
Lig
Toluca
Club America
2
0
W
27.10.25
Lig
Toluca
CF Pachuca
2
2
D
H2H at home: Toluca
07.12.25
H2H
Toluca
Monterrey
3
2
W
25.09.25
H2H
Toluca
Monterrey
6
2
W
11.05.25
H2H
Toluca
Monterrey
2
1
W
19.01.25
H2H
Toluca
Monterrey
1
1
D
31.08.23
H2H
Toluca
Monterrey
1
0
W
18.08.22
H2H
Toluca
Monterrey
1
1
D
07.04.22
H2H
Toluca
Monterrey
2
2
D
11.04.21
H2H
Toluca
Monterrey
1
2
L
Last matches: Monterrey
22.08.26
Lig
Monterrey
Leon
0
1
L
02.08.26
Lig
Monterrey
Atlas
2
0
W
26.07.26
Lig
Monterrey
Necaxa
1
2
L
04.07.26
Fri
Monterrey
Atlante FC
1
1
D
21.06.26
Fri
Monterrey
Cancún
4
1
W
26.04.26
Lig
Monterrey
Santos Laguna
0
3
L
12.04.26
Lig
Monterrey
Atlas
0
0
D
18.03.26
CON
Monterrey
Cruz Azul
1
1
D
14.03.26
Lig
Monterrey
FC Juarez
2
2
D
08.03.26
Lig
Monterrey
Tigres UANL
0
1
L
22.02.26
Lig
Monterrey
U.N.A.M. - Pumas
0
2
L
08.02.26
Lig
Monterrey
Club America
0
1
L
05.02.26
CON
Monterrey
Xelajú
1
1
D
17.01.26
Lig
Monterrey
Mazatlán
5
1
W
14.01.26
Lig
Monterrey
Necaxa
2
0
W
05.01.26
Fri
Monterrey
Atlas
2
1
W
04.01.26
Fri
Monterrey
Leones Negros UDG
3
0
W
07.12.25
Lig
Monterrey
Toluca
2
3
L
29.11.25
Lig
Monterrey
Club America
1
2
L
08.11.25
Lig
Monterrey
Guadalajara Chivas
2
4
L
H2H away: Monterrey
07.12.25
H2H
Toluca
Monterrey
3
2
L
25.09.25
H2H
Toluca
Monterrey
6
2
L
11.05.25
H2H
Toluca
Monterrey
2
1
L
19.01.25
H2H
Toluca
Monterrey
1
1
D
31.08.23
H2H
Toluca
Monterrey
1
0
L
18.08.22
H2H
Toluca
Monterrey
1
1
D
07.04.22
H2H
Toluca
Monterrey
2
2
D
11.04.21
H2H
Toluca
Monterrey
1
2
W
Standings
Liga MX: Apertura
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 17 | 13 | 3 | 1 | 39:12 | 27 | 42 |
D
D
W
W
W
|
|
| 2 |
Toluca
Home
|
17 | 10 | 5 | 2 | 38:16 | 22 | 35 |
W
L
D
W
W
|
| 3 | 17 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 25:15 | 10 | 34 |
D
W
W
W
L
|
|
| 4 | 17 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 21:13 | 8 | 31 |
W
W
D
L
D
|
|
| 5 |
Monterrey
Away
|
17 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 26:19 | 7 | 31 |
W
W
L
D
W
|
| 6 | 17 | 9 | 3 | 5 | 27:19 | 8 | 30 |
W
D
W
W
L
|
|
| 7 | 17 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 24:25 | -1 | 29 |
W
D
L
D
D
|
|
| 8 | 17 | 8 | 3 | 6 | 27:21 | 6 | 27 |
L
W
W
W
D
|
|
| 9 | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 24:15 | 9 | 25 |
L
W
D
L
W
|
|
| 10 | 17 | 5 | 7 | 5 | 17:23 | -6 | 22 |
D
D
L
D
D
|
|
| 11 | 17 | 3 | 9 | 5 | 21:23 | -2 | 18 |
L
D
D
W
D
|
|
| 12 | 17 | 5 | 2 | 10 | 22:36 | -14 | 17 |
W
D
W
L
L
|
|
| 13 | 17 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 20:26 | -6 | 15 |
D
D
L
L
L
|
|
| 14 | 17 | 2 | 8 | 7 | 10:19 | -9 | 14 |
L
D
L
D
W
|
|
| 15 | 17 | 4 | 2 | 11 | 17:31 | -14 | 14 |
L
L
W
L
L
|
|
| 16 | 17 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 20:29 | -9 | 13 |
L
L
W
L
D
|
|
| 17 | 17 | 3 | 3 | 11 | 13:31 | -18 | 12 |
W
L
L
L
L
|
|
| 18 | 17 | 2 | 4 | 11 | 12:30 | -18 | 10 |
L
L
L
D
D
|
Final Series
Final Series Play-offs