ICELAND ÚRVALSDEILD
--.--.---- --:--
Thorsvollur
Referee: I. O. Kristjansson
Thor Akureyri
Match Timeline
Valur Reykjavik
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
20'
M. Nakkim
Valur Reykjavik
🔄
28'
H. Gunnarsson ↔ B. Antonsson
Valur Reykjavik
38'
M. Nakkim · Assist: J. Jonsson
Valur Reykjavik
🔄
46'
B. Brynjolfsson ↔ I. Kristjansson
Thor Akureyri
🔄
46'
F. Gislason ↔ S. Gunnarsson
Thor Akureyri
🔄
57'
J. Jonsson ↔ J. Palsson
Valur Reykjavik
🟨
59'
I. Stole
Valur Reykjavik
🟨
66'
B. Antonsson
Valur Reykjavik
66'
I. Kristjansson · Assist: S. Gunnarsson
Thor Akureyri
70'
K. Kristjansson · Assist: C. Jakobsen
Thor Akureyri
🔄
77'
↔ R. Ragnarsson
Thor Akureyri
🔄
81'
I. Stole ↔ K. Arnarsson
Valur Reykjavik
🟨
82'
Y. Affi
Thor Akureyri
88'
A. Skoglund · Assist: B. Antonsson
Valur Reykjavik
🟨
90+3'
R. Ragnarsson
Thor Akureyri
90'
T. Haraldsson
Valur Reykjavik

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 70.1%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 71.2%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 77.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
70.1%
-
BTTS Yes
71.2%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
77.2%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
-
Correct Score 1-2
-
-
Probability Distribution
Thor Akureyri Win 22.6%
Draw 7.3%
Valur Reykjavik Win 70.1%
Expected Goals (xG)
Thor Akureyri1.4
Valur Reykjavik2
Recent Form (Last 5)
Thor Akureyri Thor Akureyri
WWDLW
12 GF / 30 GA
Valur Reykjavik Valur Reykjavik
WLDWL
20 GF / 24 GA
Key Stats
1
Average Goals Scored
1.67
2.5
Average Goals Conceded
2
7
BTTS Yes
9
8
Over 2.5
9
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Thor Akureyri Thor Akureyri 12 matches
Valur Reykjavik Valur Reykjavik 12 matches
Thor Akureyri Statistic Valur Reykjavik
3 Wins 5
1 Draws 1
8 Losses 6
12 Goals For 20
30 Goals Against 24
1 Avg Goals Scored 1.67
2.5 Avg Goals Conceded 2
7 BTTS Yes 9
9 Over 1.5 10
8 Over 2.5 9
6 Over 3.5 6
1 Clean Sheets 2
4 Failed To Score 1
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Valur Reykjavik carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 5 with 15 points while Thor Akureyri sit 10 on 6, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Valur Reykjavik. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Valur Reykjavik having the stronger overall control.

Thor Akureyri Analysis

Thor Akureyri sit 10 with 6 points after 9 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. The overall return of 2 wins, 0 draws, and 7 defeats with a 7:23 goal balance points toward poor form and are going through a difficult losing run. Going forward they depend heavily on A. Hlynsson (2 goals), I. Kristjansson (2 goals), A. Arnarsson (1 goals), with creative support from C. Jakobsen (2 assists), I. Kristjansson (1 assists), I. Atanga (1 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. At home, they have managed 1 wins, 0 draws, and 3 losses, a return that supports a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

Valur Reykjavik Analysis

Valur Reykjavik approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 5 with 15 points from 10 matches. Their record of 5 wins, 0 draws, and 5 losses, together with goals at 19:22, reflects mixed form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through T. Haraldsson (5 goals), A. Palsson (3 goals), D. Gardarson (2 goals), with creative support from T. Haraldsson (5 assists), L. Heimisson (3 assists), A. Palsson (1 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been very solid. Away from home, they have returned 2 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, which indicates a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 3 head-to-head meetings, Thor Akureyri won 2 times, Valur Reykjavik won 1 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 9:6 from Thor Akureyri's perspective. 3 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 3 matches, with an average of 5 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (92.7%)
Predicted formations: Thor Akureyri 4-1-4-1 / Valur Reykjavik 4-3-3
H2H summary: Thor Akureyri wins 2, draws 0, Valur Reykjavik wins 1

Standings

Úrvalsdeild
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 20 16 3 1 64:18 46 51
W W D D W
2 21 13 5 3 54:40 14 44
D W W L W
3 20 13 4 3 72:45 27 43
W D W D W
4 20 8 6 6 42:37 5 30
L D L L W
5 21 8 4 9 32:36 -4 28
L W W L W
6 21 7 6 8 36:40 -4 27
D D W W D
7 21 7 3 11 37:44 -7 24
D L D W L
8 20 7 3 10 38:48 -10 24
W L W W L
9 21 4 9 8 27:38 -11 21
W D L W D
10 21 5 3 13 21:50 -29 18
W L L L W
11 21 4 5 12 30:43 -13 17
L L L D L
12 21 4 5 12 33:47 -14 17
D L D L L
Play-offs
Relegation Playoffs