ICELAND ÚRVALSDEILD
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Thorsvollur

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home or Draw
Probability 73.1%
Odds 1.53
BTTS
Yes
Probability 67.1%
Odds 1.44
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 72%
Odds 1.50
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home or Draw
73.1%
1.53
BTTS Yes
67.1%
1.44
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
72%
1.50
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
1.83
HT / FT Home / Home
-
4.00
Correct Score 2-1
-
11.00
Probability Distribution
Thor Akureyri Win 40.8%
Draw 32.4%
IBV Vestmannaeyjar Win 26.9%
Expected Goals (xG)
Thor Akureyri1.56
IBV Vestmannaeyjar1.96
Recent Form (Last 5)
Thor Akureyri Thor Akureyri
WWDLW
10 GF / 25 GA
IBV Vestmannaeyjar IBV Vestmannaeyjar
WLDWL
16 GF / 24 GA
Key Stats
1
Average Goals Scored
1.6
2.5
Average Goals Conceded
2.4
5
BTTS Yes
8
7
Over 2.5
7
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Thor Akureyri Thor Akureyri 10 matches
IBV Vestmannaeyjar IBV Vestmannaeyjar 10 matches
Thor Akureyri Statistic IBV Vestmannaeyjar
3 Wins 2
0 Draws 2
7 Losses 6
10 Goals For 16
25 Goals Against 24
1 Avg Goals Scored 1.6
2.5 Avg Goals Conceded 2.4
5 BTTS Yes 8
7 Over 1.5 10
7 Over 2.5 7
5 Over 3.5 4
1 Clean Sheets 0
4 Failed To Score 2
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

There is very little separating these two teams on paper, and two sides with a fairly similar football identity points toward a competitive game. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward IBV Vestmannaeyjar having the stronger overall control. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring IBV Vestmannaeyjar.

Thor Akureyri Analysis

Thor Akureyri sit 10 with 6 points after 9 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Their record of 2 wins, 0 draws, and 7 losses, together with goals at 7:23, reflects poor form and are going through a difficult losing run. Much of their threat comes through I. Kristjansson (2 goals), A. Hlynsson (1 goals), C. Jakobsen (1 goals), with creative support from C. Jakobsen (2 assists), I. Kristjansson (1 assists), I. Atanga (1 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been very solid. At home, they have returned 1 wins, 0 draws, and 3 losses, which indicates a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

IBV Vestmannaeyjar Analysis

With 5 points from 9 games and a place of 11, IBV Vestmannaeyjar still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Their record of 1 wins, 2 draws, and 6 losses, together with goals at 14:23, reflects poor form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through R. Hlynsson (4 goals), F. Fridriksson (2 goals), H. Thordarson (2 goals), with creative support from B. Gunnarsson (3 assists), H. Thordarson (2 assists), A. Hilmarsson (2 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been very solid. Away from home, the split record of 0 wins, 1 draws, and 3 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 6 head-to-head meetings, Thor Akureyri won 0 times, IBV Vestmannaeyjar won 3 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 5:10 from Thor Akureyri's perspective. 3 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 4 matches, with an average of 2.5 goals per game.

1X2: Home or Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 1X (73.1%)
H2H summary: Thor Akureyri wins 0, draws 3, IBV Vestmannaeyjar wins 3
Last matches: Thor Akureyri
31.05.26
Úrv
Thor Akureyri
Stjarnan
1
3
L
22.05.26
Úrv
Thor Akureyri
Keflavik
0
1
L
17.05.26
Úrv
Thor Akureyri
IA Akranes
1
2
L
08.05.26
Úrv
Thor Akureyri
Vikingur Reykjavik
0
6
L
02.05.26
Úrv
Thor Akureyri
KA Akureyri
0
1
L
27.04.26
Úrv
Thor Akureyri
Breidablik
0
4
L
23.04.26
Úrv
Thor Akureyri
Fram Reykjavik
1
0
W
17.04.26
Úrv
Thor Akureyri
KR Reykjavik
2
5
L
12.04.26
Úrv
Thor Akureyri
Valur Reykjavik
2
1
W
04.03.26
Fri
Thor Akureyri
Moss
3
2
W
Last matches: IBV Vestmannaeyjar
31.05.26
Úrv
IBV Vestmannaeyjar
Keflavik
6
1
W
21.05.26
Úrv
IBV Vestmannaeyjar
IA Akranes
2
2
D
17.05.26
Úrv
IBV Vestmannaeyjar
Vikingur Reykjavik
0
2
L
10.05.26
Úrv
IBV Vestmannaeyjar
KA Akureyri
0
2
L
03.05.26
Úrv
IBV Vestmannaeyjar
Breidablik
1
2
L
27.04.26
Úrv
IBV Vestmannaeyjar
Fram Reykjavik
1
5
L
23.04.26
Úrv
IBV Vestmannaeyjar
KR Reykjavik
2
6
L
17.04.26
Úrv
IBV Vestmannaeyjar
Valur Reykjavik
1
2
L
12.04.26
Úrv
IBV Vestmannaeyjar
FH hafnarfjordur
1
1
D
16.02.26
Fri
IBV Vestmannaeyjar
Aalborg
2
1
W
H2H: Thor Akureyri vs IBV Vestmannaeyjar
27.07.24
H2H
Thor Akureyri
IBV Vestmannaeyjar
0
3
L
20.05.24
H2H
IBV Vestmannaeyjar
Thor Akureyri
1
1
D
31.08.21
H2H
Thor Akureyri
IBV Vestmannaeyjar
0
1
L
14.06.21
H2H
IBV Vestmannaeyjar
Thor Akureyri
2
1
L
21.09.20
H2H
IBV Vestmannaeyjar
Thor Akureyri
2
2
D
18.07.20
H2H
Thor Akureyri
IBV Vestmannaeyjar
1
1
D
Last matches: Thor Akureyri
31.05.26
Úrv
Thor Akureyri
Stjarnan
1
3
L
17.05.26
Úrv
Thor Akureyri
IA Akranes
1
2
L
02.05.26
Úrv
Thor Akureyri
KA Akureyri
0
1
L
23.04.26
Úrv
Thor Akureyri
Fram Reykjavik
1
0
W
04.03.26
Fri
Thor Akureyri
Moss
3
2
W
H2H at home: Thor Akureyri
27.07.24
H2H
Thor Akureyri
IBV Vestmannaeyjar
0
3
L
31.08.21
H2H
Thor Akureyri
IBV Vestmannaeyjar
0
1
L
18.07.20
H2H
Thor Akureyri
IBV Vestmannaeyjar
1
1
D
Last matches: IBV Vestmannaeyjar
21.05.26
Úrv
IBV Vestmannaeyjar
IA Akranes
2
2
D
10.05.26
Úrv
IBV Vestmannaeyjar
KA Akureyri
0
2
L
27.04.26
Úrv
IBV Vestmannaeyjar
Fram Reykjavik
1
5
L
17.04.26
Úrv
IBV Vestmannaeyjar
Valur Reykjavik
1
2
L
16.02.26
Fri
IBV Vestmannaeyjar
Aalborg
2
1
W
H2H away: IBV Vestmannaeyjar
27.07.24
H2H
Thor Akureyri
IBV Vestmannaeyjar
0
3
W
31.08.21
H2H
Thor Akureyri
IBV Vestmannaeyjar
0
1
W
18.07.20
H2H
Thor Akureyri
IBV Vestmannaeyjar
1
1
D
Showing odds from: 1xBet
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 2.36
Draw 3.87
Home 2.60
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 2.87
Draw 2.51
Home 3.10
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 1.5 1.15
Over 2.5 1.50
Over 2.75 1.61
Over 3.0 1.76
Over 3.25 1.99
Over 3.5 2.20
Over 3.75 2.50
Over 4.5 3.54
Over 5.5 6.42
Under 1.5 5.09
Under 2.5 2.50
Under 2.75 2.27
Under 3.0 2.02
Under 3.25 1.80
Under 3.5 1.65
Under 3.75 1.51
Under 4.5 1.27
Under 5.5 1.10
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 2.25
Draw 3.60
Home 2.50
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 2.75
Draw 2.40
Home 3.00
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 2.60
Draw 2.75
Home 2.75
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 0.5 1.00
Over 1.5 1.14
Over 2.5 1.50
Over 3.5 2.20
Over 4.5 3.75
Over 5.5 6.50
Over 6.5 10.00
Over 7.5 15.00
Over 8.5 21.00
Under 0.5 19.00
Under 1.5 5.00
Under 2.5 2.50
Under 3.5 1.62
Under 4.5 1.25
Under 5.5 1.10
Under 6.5 1.03
Under 7.5 1.01
Under 8.5 1.00
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 2.35
Draw 3.74
Home 2.59
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 2.77
Draw 2.38
Home 3.04
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 2.58
Draw 2.76
Home 2.76
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 0.5 1.02
Over 1.0 1.03
Over 1.5 1.09
Over 1.75 1.11
Over 2.0 1.14
Over 2.25 1.28
Over 2.5 1.42
Over 2.75 1.53
Over 3.0 1.68
Over 3.25 1.95
Over 3.5 2.17
Over 3.75 2.43
Over 4.0 2.96
Over 4.25 3.23
Over 4.5 3.50
Over 4.75 4.39
Over 5.0 5.90
Over 5.25 6.25
Over 5.5 6.60
Over 6.5 10.00
Over 7.5 15.00
Over 8.5 21.00
Under 0.5 15.00
Under 1.0 11.00
Under 1.5 5.35
Under 1.75 4.89
Under 2.0 4.40
Under 2.25 3.08
Under 2.5 2.49
Under 2.75 2.26
Under 3.0 2.00
Under 3.25 1.81
Under 3.5 1.65
Under 3.75 1.46
Under 4.0 1.32
Under 4.25 1.26
Under 4.5 1.22
Under 4.75 1.14
Under 5.0 1.07
Under 5.25 1.06
Under 5.5 1.05
Under 6.5 1.03
Under 7.5 1.01
Under 8.5 1.00
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 2.55
Draw 3.60
Home 2.25
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 2.95
Draw 2.55
Home 2.63
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 2.75
Draw 2.85
Home 2.50
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 1.5 1.10
Over 2.5 1.37
Over 3.5 1.97
Over 4.5 3.20
Over 5.5 5.30
Under 1.5 5.25
Under 2.5 2.70
Under 3.5 1.68
Under 4.5 1.27
Under 5.5 1.10

Standings

Besta deild 2026
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 9 1 0 34:6 28 28
W W W W W
2 10 8 1 1 38:23 15 25
W W L D W
3 9 6 2 1 25:16 9 20
W W D W W
4 9 4 3 2 22:15 7 15
L W L D W
5 10 5 0 5 19:22 -3 15
L L W W L
6 9 3 3 3 12:16 -4 12
W D W L W
7 9 3 2 4 12:18 -6 11
L W D W L
8 9 3 1 5 12:15 -3 10
L L W W W
9 10 3 1 6 18:22 -4 10
W L L D L
10 9 2 0 7 7:23 -16 6
L L L L L
11 9 1 2 6 14:23 -9 5
W D L L L
12 9 0 2 7 12:26 -14 2
L L L D L