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23.10.2026 18:45
Park Hall

The New Saints vs Ammanford AFC Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 81.7%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 71.2%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 87%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
81.7%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
71.2%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
87%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
The New Saints Win 81.7%
Draw 3.1%
Ammanford AFC Win 15.3%
Expected Goals (xG)
The New Saints2.53
Ammanford AFC0.73
Recent Form (Last 5)
The New Saints The New Saints
WWDLW
49 GF / 13 GA
Ammanford AFC Ammanford AFC
WLDWL
10 GF / 32 GA
Key Stats
2.58
Average Goals Scored
0.77
0.68
Average Goals Conceded
2.46
8
BTTS Yes
6
10
Over 2.5
8
1.25
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

The New Saints The New Saints 19 matches
Ammanford AFC Ammanford AFC 13 matches
The New Saints Statistic Ammanford AFC
14 Wins 2
2 Draws 3
3 Losses 8
49 Goals For 10
13 Goals Against 32
2.58 Avg Goals Scored 0.77
0.68 Avg Goals Conceded 2.46
8 BTTS Yes 6
14 Over 1.5 12
10 Over 2.5 8
7 Over 3.5 5
9 Clean Sheets 1
3 Failed To Score 6
1.25 Shots On Goal 0
2.75 Total Shots 0
1.25 Corners 0
17.8% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around The New Saints's more proactive style and Ammanford AFC's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Ammanford AFC. The New Saints come in with stronger recent momentum, which could help them control the rhythm for longer periods. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Ammanford AFC having the stronger overall control. The New Saints arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 1 with 37 points compared to Ammanford AFC in 13 on 9, which underlines the gap in season consistency.

The New Saints Analysis

The New Saints come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 1 place with 37 points after 13 matches. With 12 wins, 1 draws, and 0 defeats plus a goal balance of 44:6, they continue to show very strong form and are on a winning streak. Their attacking quality is driven by their main attacking players, and at the back they have appeared very solid. At home, the split of 7 wins, 0 draws, and 0 losses supports the view of a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their football identity still points toward balanced attacking football.

Ammanford AFC Analysis

Ammanford AFC are currently 13 in the standings with 9 points from 13 matches. Their overall return of 2 wins, 3 draws, and 8 losses with goals at 10:32 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by their main attacking players, while defensively they have appeared fairly stable. Away from home, the record of 1 wins, 2 draws, and 4 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (97%)

Standings

Premier League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 13 12 1 0 44:6 38 37
W W W W W
2 13 10 1 2 30:9 21 31
W W W W W
3 13 9 3 1 25:11 14 30
W L W W W
4 13 8 2 3 37:15 22 26
W L D W D
5 13 8 1 4 22:15 7 25
W L W W W
6 13 8 1 4 28:23 5 25
L W L L D
7 13 6 3 4 24:16 8 21
L W W D L
8 13 7 0 6 25:18 7 21
W W L W L
9 13 5 3 5 21:33 -12 18
L L W L W
10 13 5 1 7 22:23 -1 16
L L L L D
11 13 3 3 7 12:22 -10 12
L W D D L
12 13 3 1 9 8:19 -11 10
L L L L W
13 13 2 3 8 10:32 -22 9
W W L L D
14 13 2 2 9 12:25 -13 8
L W W L L
15 13 1 3 9 8:31 -23 6
W L L D L
16 13 0 2 11 14:44 -30 2
L L D L L
Promotion - Cymru Premier (Championship Group)
Promotion - Cymru Premier (Conference League Group)
Cymru Premier (Relegation Group)