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BRAZIL › SERIE B
20.10.2026 22:30
Estadio do Cafe
Referee: Rafael Rodrigo Klein

Londrina vs Cuiaba Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away or Draw
Probability 67.9%
Odds 1.40
BTTS
Yes
Probability 53.4%
Odds 1.91
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 64.5%
Odds 2.29
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away or Draw
67.9%
1.40 ▥
BTTS Yes
53.4%
1.91 ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
64.5%
2.29 ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
1.13 ▥
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
6.00 ▥
Correct Score 1-2
-
11.00 ▥
Probability Distribution
Londrina Win 32.2%
Draw 18.9%
Cuiaba Win 49%
Expected Goals (xG)
Londrina1.08
Cuiaba1.17
Recent Form (Last 5)
Londrina Londrina
WWDLW
42 GF / 49 GA
Cuiaba Cuiaba
WLDWL
32 GF / 26 GA
Key Stats
1.27
Average Goals Scored
0.97
1.48
Average Goals Conceded
0.79
18
BTTS Yes
11
21
Over 2.5
8
4.09
Shots on Goal
4.15

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Londrina Londrina 33 matches
Cuiaba Cuiaba 33 matches
Londrina Statistic Cuiaba
7 Wins 11
8 Draws 14
18 Losses 8
42 Goals For 32
49 Goals Against 26
1.27 Avg Goals Scored 0.97
1.48 Avg Goals Conceded 0.79
18 BTTS Yes 11
25 Over 1.5 20
21 Over 2.5 8
10 Over 3.5 3
7 Clean Sheets 14
12 Failed To Score 14
4.09 Shots On Goal 4.15
13.97 Total Shots 13.55
5.55 Corners 5.42
47.1% Ball Possession 48.9%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From a tactical perspective, this fixture features Cuiaba's more proactive style and Londrina's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Londrina expected to line up in 4-1-4-1 and Cuiaba in 3-4-2-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Cuiaba having the stronger overall control. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Cuiaba. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Londrina have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors.

Londrina Analysis

With 28 points from 32 games and a place of 18, Londrina still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Across the season they have posted 7 wins, 7 draws, and 18 defeats, and the 40:47 goal record continues to suggest poor form and are going through a difficult losing run. Their attacking burden often falls on Bruno Santos (4 goals), Iago Teles (2 goals), Paulinho Moccelin (2 goals), with creative support from João Vitor (5 assists), Bruno Santos (3 assists), Lucas Marques (2 assists), while at the back they have been quite vulnerable. At home, the split record of 4 wins, 5 draws, and 7 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

Cuiaba Analysis

So far, Cuiaba have built a campaign that leaves them 11 in the table on 47 points from 33 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 11 wins, 14 draws, and 8 losses, while the 32:26 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on Kauan (5 goals), João Basso (2 goals), Fábio Gomes (2 goals), with creative support from Pepê (3 assists), Eliel (3 assists), Kauan (2 assists), and defensively they have been fairly stable. Away from home, the record of 4 wins, 7 draws, and 5 losses points toward a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 3 head-to-head meetings, Londrina won 2 times, Cuiaba won 0 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 4:2 from Londrina's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 matches, with an average of 2 goals per game.

1X2: Away or Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (81.2%)
Predicted formations: Londrina 4-1-4-1 / Cuiaba 3-4-2-1
H2H summary: Londrina wins 2, draws 1, Cuiaba wins 0

Standings

Serie B
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 34 18 8 8 48:33 15 62
D W D W W
2 34 17 10 7 61:30 31 61
D W W W D
3 34 17 10 7 41:23 18 61
D D W W W
4 34 16 12 6 41:29 12 60
W D W D D
5 34 17 8 9 35:28 7 59
W W L W W
6 34 14 12 8 42:32 10 54
D D L W W
7 34 15 7 12 51:48 3 52
L D W L W
8 34 13 12 9 45:37 8 51
L D W W L
9 33 14 6 13 34:40 -6 48
W W L L W
10 34 13 9 12 44:46 -2 48
L L L L D
11 33 11 14 8 32:26 6 47
L D W L W
12 34 12 10 12 46:37 9 46
L D L W D
13 34 12 8 14 38:38 0 44
W W W L W
14 34 10 14 10 40:39 1 44
D D L L D
15 34 11 10 13 37:42 -5 43
D L W W D
16 33 11 9 13 39:42 -3 42
L L D W L
17 34 10 7 17 33:43 -10 37
D W W L L
18 33 7 8 18 42:49 -7 29
D L L L L
19 34 5 5 24 22:54 -32 20
W L L L L
20 34 3 5 26 19:74 -55 14
D L L L L
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