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19.10.2026 17:00
Stora Valla

Degerfors IF vs Kalmar FF Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 61.1%
Odds 2.99
BTTS
No
Probability 56%
Odds 2.00
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 80.5%
Odds 1.80
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
61.1%
2.99 ▥
BTTS No
56%
2.00 ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
80.5%
1.80 ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
1.18 ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
4.75 ▥
Correct Score 2-0
-
15.00 ▥
Probability Distribution
Degerfors IF Win 61.1%
Draw 18.5%
Kalmar FF Win 20.5%
Expected Goals (xG)
Degerfors IF1.28
Kalmar FF1.3
Recent Form (Last 5)
Degerfors IF Degerfors IF
WWDLW
36 GF / 49 GA
Kalmar FF Kalmar FF
WLDWL
39 GF / 51 GA
Key Stats
1.13
Average Goals Scored
1.15
1.53
Average Goals Conceded
1.5
17
BTTS Yes
13
16
Over 2.5
17
3.04
Shots on Goal
4

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Degerfors IF Degerfors IF 32 matches
Kalmar FF Kalmar FF 34 matches
Degerfors IF Statistic Kalmar FF
9 Wins 10
7 Draws 6
16 Losses 18
36 Goals For 39
49 Goals Against 51
1.13 Avg Goals Scored 1.15
1.53 Avg Goals Conceded 1.5
17 BTTS Yes 13
27 Over 1.5 24
16 Over 2.5 17
6 Over 3.5 12
4 Clean Sheets 8
11 Failed To Score 15
3.04 Shots On Goal 4
11.04 Total Shots 13.3
4.74 Corners 4.83
46.3% Ball Possession 47.9%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

There is very little separating these two teams on paper, and two sides with a fairly similar football identity points toward a competitive game. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Kalmar FF. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Degerfors IF expected to line up in 5-3-2 and Kalmar FF in 4-4-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Kalmar FF having the stronger overall control. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns.

Degerfors IF Analysis

With 20 points from 23 games and a place of 13, Degerfors IF still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. The overall return of 5 wins, 5 draws, and 13 defeats with a 20:35 goal balance points toward poor form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on D. Vukojević (4 goals), Arman Taranis (3 goals), Marcus Rafferty (2 goals), with creative support from N. Girmai Netabay (3 assists), D. Sundgren (3 assists), D. Vukojević (2 assists), while defensively they have looked fairly stable. At home, they have returned 3 wins, 2 draws, and 6 losses, which indicates a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

Kalmar FF Analysis

Kalmar FF sit 14 with 19 points after 22 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Their record of 5 wins, 4 draws, and 13 losses, together with goals at 21:36, reflects poor form and are going through a difficult losing run. Much of their threat comes through C. Rosenquist (7 goals), C. Sagoe (3 goals), Rony Jansson (3 goals), with creative support from C. Sagoe (8 assists), Rony Jansson (2 assists), R. Gojani (2 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been fairly stable. Away from home, they have returned 0 wins, 2 draws, and 9 losses, which indicates a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 7 head-to-head meetings, Degerfors IF won 1 times, Kalmar FF won 6 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 6:15 from Degerfors IF's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 3 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (81.5%)
Predicted formations: Degerfors IF 5-3-2 / Kalmar FF 4-4-2
Missing players: Degerfors IF 1, Kalmar FF 1
H2H summary: Degerfors IF wins 1, draws 0, Kalmar FF wins 6

Standings

Allsvenskan
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 23 17 3 3 53:28 25 54
W W W W L
2 24 15 2 7 50:21 29 47
W W L W W
3 23 13 4 6 49:21 28 43
L W W D L
4 23 11 7 5 35:22 13 40
W W W L W
5 23 10 9 4 42:30 12 39
W W D D L
6 23 11 3 9 38:33 5 36
W L W D W
7 23 10 5 8 34:36 -2 35
L W W L W
8 23 10 5 8 32:41 -9 35
W W W W W
9 23 9 6 8 36:40 -4 33
L L D L D
10 23 8 6 9 28:21 7 30
L W L D W
11 24 8 6 10 36:43 -7 30
L W L L W
12 23 5 8 10 28:39 -11 23
D L D D L
13 23 5 5 13 20:35 -15 20
D L L W L
14 23 5 4 14 21:37 -16 19
L L L L L
15 23 3 6 14 25:52 -27 15
L L L D L
16 23 3 5 15 16:44 -28 14
L W L L W
Qualifying
Qualifying
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