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17.10.2026 20:00
Tacuarembo
Match Timeline
La Luz
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
79'
La Luz
La Luz

Tacuarembo vs La Luz Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 66.6%
Odds 2.36
BTTS
Yes
Probability 78.8%
Odds 1.97
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 64.5%
Odds 2.47
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
66.6%
2.36 ▥
BTTS Yes
78.8%
1.97 ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
64.5%
2.47 ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
- ▥
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
5.50 ▥
Correct Score 1-2
-
29.00 ▥
Probability Distribution
Tacuarembo Win 26.8%
Draw 6.6%
La Luz Win 66.6%
Expected Goals (xG)
Tacuarembo0.92
La Luz1.02
Recent Form (Last 5)
Tacuarembo Tacuarembo
WWDLW
22 GF / 34 GA
La Luz La Luz
WLDWL
25 GF / 31 GA
Key Stats
0.79
Average Goals Scored
0.89
1.21
Average Goals Conceded
1.11
12
BTTS Yes
11
6
Over 2.5
9
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Tacuarembo Tacuarembo 28 matches
La Luz La Luz 28 matches
Tacuarembo Statistic La Luz
6 Wins 8
9 Draws 11
13 Losses 9
22 Goals For 25
34 Goals Against 31
0.79 Avg Goals Scored 0.89
1.21 Avg Goals Conceded 1.11
12 BTTS Yes 11
19 Over 1.5 17
6 Over 2.5 9
3 Over 3.5 5
6 Clean Sheets 12
11 Failed To Score 12
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring La Luz. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward La Luz having the stronger overall control. La Luz carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 9 with 7 points while Tacuarembo sit 14 on 3, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. Tacuarembo have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected.

Tacuarembo Analysis

Tacuarembo sit 14 with 3 points after 6 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Across the season they have posted 0 wins, 3 draws, and 3 defeats, and the 5:9 goal record continues to suggest poor form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on their main attacking players, while at the back they have been very solid. At home, the split record of 0 wins, 2 draws, and 1 losses points to a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

La Luz Analysis

La Luz are currently 9 in the standings with 7 points from 6 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 1 wins, 4 draws, and 1 losses, while the 5:6 goal ratio supports the view of poor form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on their main attacking players, and defensively they have been very solid. Away from home, the record of 0 wins, 3 draws, and 0 losses points toward a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 5 head-to-head meetings, Tacuarembo won 1 times, La Luz won 1 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 5:6 from Tacuarembo's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 4 matches, with an average of 2.2 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (93.4%)
H2H summary: Tacuarembo wins 1, draws 3, La Luz wins 1

Standings

1st Phase
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 6 4 1 1 8:5 3 13
L W W W D
2 6 3 3 0 9:2 7 12
W D D W W
3 6 3 2 1 13:7 6 11
W L W W D
4 6 2 4 0 9:6 3 10
D W W D D
5 6 2 3 1 8:5 3 9
D W D L D
6 6 2 3 1 7:5 2 9
D W L W D
7 6 2 3 1 6:5 1 9
D L W W D
8 6 2 3 1 8:8 0 9
D D L W D
9 6 1 4 1 5:6 -1 7
D L W D D
10 6 1 2 3 3:7 -4 5
D D L W L
11 6 1 1 4 4:7 -3 4
L D L L W
12 6 1 1 4 5:11 -6 4
L W L L L
13 6 1 1 4 6:13 -7 4
W L L L D
14 6 0 3 3 5:9 -4 3
D L L L D