12.09.2026 20:00
CEPSUM Stadium
Supra du Quebec
Match Timeline
HFX Wanderers FC
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
39'
Charles Auguste
Supra du Quebec
40'
Jason Bahamboula · Assist: Ilan Ahmed Hassan
HFX Wanderers FC
🔄
45'
Charles Auguste ↔ Eliakim Matthieu Awonongbadje
Supra du Quebec
45+1'
I. Johnston · Assist: Lorenzo Callegari
HFX Wanderers FC
🔄
59'
Zachary Brault Guillard ↔ Loic Adrien Kwemi
Supra du Quebec
🔄
59'
Noah Lauren Trudel dos Santos ↔ Ibrahim Conde
Supra du Quebec
🔄
63'
S. Zitman ↔ Ryan Telfer
HFX Wanderers FC
🔄
73'
Omar El Kalkouli ↔ Aboubacar Sissoko
Supra du Quebec
🔄
73'
Thomas Lebeuf ↔ S. Mlah
Supra du Quebec
🔄
74'
Miguel Arilla Guinot ↔ Nelson Pierre
HFX Wanderers FC
🔄
87'
I. Johnston ↔ Francesco Troisi
HFX Wanderers FC
🔄
88'
Jason Bahamboula ↔ Liam MacKenzie
HFX Wanderers FC
🔄
88'
Lucas Olguin ↔ Finn Linder
HFX Wanderers FC

Supra du Quebec vs HFX Wanderers FC Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away or Draw
Probability 68.5%
Odds 1.67
BTTS
Yes
Probability 82.5%
Odds 1.53
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 66.7%
Odds 1.53
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away or Draw
68.5%
1.67
BTTS Yes
82.5%
1.53
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
66.7%
1.53
Corners O/U Under 11.5 Corners
86.6%
-
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
7.50
Correct Score 1-2
-
12.00
Probability Distribution
Supra du Quebec Win 31.5%
Draw 31.3%
HFX Wanderers FC Win 37.2%
Expected Goals (xG)
Supra du Quebec1.54
HFX Wanderers FC1.51
Recent Form (Last 5)
Supra du Quebec Supra du Quebec
WWDLW
29 GF / 36 GA
HFX Wanderers FC HFX Wanderers FC
WLDWL
29 GF / 37 GA
Key Stats
1.45
Average Goals Scored
1.32
1.8
Average Goals Conceded
1.68
16
BTTS Yes
14
12
Over 2.5
12
2.15
Shots on Goal
2.19

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Supra du Quebec Supra du Quebec 20 matches
HFX Wanderers FC HFX Wanderers FC 22 matches
Supra du Quebec Statistic HFX Wanderers FC
6 Wins 5
4 Draws 6
10 Losses 11
29 Goals For 29
36 Goals Against 37
1.45 Avg Goals Scored 1.32
1.8 Avg Goals Conceded 1.68
16 BTTS Yes 14
16 Over 1.5 15
12 Over 2.5 12
7 Over 3.5 9
1 Clean Sheets 5
3 Failed To Score 5
2.15 Shots On Goal 2.19
6.95 Total Shots 5.9
2.6 Corners 2.43
27.4% Ball Possession 28.4%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

There is very little separating these two teams on paper, and two sides with a fairly similar football identity points toward a competitive game. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors HFX Wanderers FC. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward HFX Wanderers FC having the stronger overall control. HFX Wanderers FC arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly.

Supra du Quebec Analysis

Supra du Quebec arrive from the upper part of the table, holding 5 place with 22 points after 19 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 6 wins, 4 draws, and 9 losses, while the 27:33 goal ratio supports the view of poor form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on their main attacking players, and defensively they have been fairly stable. At home, their split return of 3 wins, 2 draws, and 5 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.

HFX Wanderers FC Analysis

HFX Wanderers FC approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 6 with 20 points from 20 matches. Across the season they have posted 5 wins, 5 draws, and 10 defeats, and the 28:34 goal record continues to suggest poor form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on their main attacking players, while at the back they have been fairly stable. Away from home, they have managed 2 wins, 2 draws, and 7 losses, a return that supports a weak split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 2 head-to-head meetings, Supra du Quebec won 2 times, HFX Wanderers FC won 0 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 5:3 from Supra du Quebec's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 4 goals per game.

1X2: Away or Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (68.8%)
Predicted formations: Supra du Quebec 4-2-3-1 / HFX Wanderers FC 4-3-3
H2H summary: Supra du Quebec wins 2, draws 0, HFX Wanderers FC wins 0

Standings

Canadian Premier League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 21 15 4 2 41:12 29 49
W W W W W
2 21 14 3 4 33:15 18 45
W D L W W
3 22 10 4 8 34:37 -3 34
L D W L W
4 22 9 3 10 30:28 2 30
L W L L L
5 22 6 5 11 31:37 -6 23
W L L W L
6 20 5 8 7 29:42 -13 23
W D D L D
7 21 6 4 11 29:38 -9 22
L L W D L
8 21 1 7 13 25:43 -18 10
L D D W L