CANADA CANADIAN PREMIER LEAGUE
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CEPSUM Stadium

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 81.3%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 86%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 77.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
81.3%
-
BTTS Yes
86%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
77.2%
-
Corners O/U Under 9.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
-
Correct Score 1-2
-
-
Probability Distribution
Supra du Quebec Win 13.3%
Draw 5.4%
Forge Win 81.3%
Expected Goals (xG)
Supra du Quebec1.2
Forge1.63
Recent Form (Last 5)
Supra du Quebec Supra du Quebec
WWDLW
26 GF / 33 GA
Forge Forge
WLDWL
30 GF / 17 GA
Key Stats
1.44
Average Goals Scored
1.5
1.83
Average Goals Conceded
0.85
15
BTTS Yes
9
11
Over 2.5
9
2.11
Shots on Goal
2.45

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Supra du Quebec Supra du Quebec 18 matches
Forge Forge 20 matches
Supra du Quebec Statistic Forge
5 Wins 13
4 Draws 3
9 Losses 4
26 Goals For 30
33 Goals Against 17
1.44 Avg Goals Scored 1.5
1.83 Avg Goals Conceded 0.85
15 BTTS Yes 9
15 Over 1.5 11
11 Over 2.5 9
6 Over 3.5 6
0 Clean Sheets 10
3 Failed To Score 4
2.11 Shots On Goal 2.45
6.89 Total Shots 7.2
2.5 Corners 2.85
27.3% Ball Possession 22.3%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around Forge's more proactive style and Supra du Quebec's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Supra du Quebec have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Forge having the stronger overall control. Forge carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 1 with 38 points while Supra du Quebec sit 5 on 18, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Given the broader gap between the sides, Away Win looks like the most logical direction, while the clean-sheet expectation leans toward Forge. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

Supra du Quebec Analysis

With 18 points from 17 games and a place of 5, Supra du Quebec still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Their record of 5 wins, 3 draws, and 9 losses, together with goals at 25:32, reflects poor form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through their main attacking players, while the defensive numbers suggest they have been fairly stable. At home, the split record of 2 wins, 2 draws, and 5 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

Forge Analysis

Forge arrive from the upper part of the table, holding 1 place with 38 points after 17 matches. Their overall return of 12 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses with goals at 27:13 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by their main attacking players, while defensively they have appeared very solid. Away from home, the record of 6 wins, 1 draws, and 2 losses points toward a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 3 head-to-head meetings, Supra du Quebec won 0 times, Forge won 3 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 3:6 from Supra du Quebec's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 3 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (94.6%)
Predicted formations: Supra du Quebec 4-2-3-1 / Forge 4-3-3
H2H summary: Supra du Quebec wins 0, draws 0, Forge wins 3
Last matches: Supra du Quebec
23.08.26
Can
Supra du Quebec
York United
1
1
D
19.08.26
Can
Supra du Quebec
Forge
2
3
L
16.08.26
Can
Supra du Quebec
Atlético Ottawa
1
2
L
09.08.26
Can
Supra du Quebec
Cavalry FC
1
1
D
01.08.26
Can
Supra du Quebec
Pacific FC
2
1
W
29.07.26
Can
Supra du Quebec
Cavalry FC
1
2
L
24.07.26
Can
Supra du Quebec
HFX Wanderers FC
3
2
W
17.07.26
Can
Supra du Quebec
Vancouver FC
1
5
L
05.07.26
Can
Supra du Quebec
Forge
1
2
L
09.06.26
Can
Supra du Quebec
Atlético Ottawa
3
5
L
06.06.26
Can
Supra du Quebec
Pacific FC
1
1
D
29.05.26
Can
Supra du Quebec
York United
3
1
W
23.05.26
Can
Supra du Quebec
Vancouver FC
1
1
D
13.05.26
Can
Supra du Quebec
Forge
0
1
L
03.05.26
Can
Supra du Quebec
Cavalry FC
0
1
L
24.04.26
Can
Supra du Quebec
HFX Wanderers FC
2
1
W
19.04.26
Can
Supra du Quebec
Atlético Ottawa
0
1
L
11.04.26
Can
Supra du Quebec
Pacific FC
3
2
W
Last matches: Forge
22.08.26
Can
Forge
Pacific FC
2
0
W
19.08.26
Can
Forge
Supra du Quebec
3
2
W
15.08.26
Can
Forge
Cavalry FC
1
2
L
07.08.26
Can
Forge
Vancouver FC
0
1
L
02.08.26
Can
Forge
HFX Wanderers FC
0
0
D
26.07.26
Can
Forge
York United
3
1
W
05.07.26
Can
Forge
Supra du Quebec
2
1
W
01.07.26
Can
Forge
Vancouver FC
3
2
W
10.06.26
Can
Forge
HFX Wanderers FC
1
0
W
07.06.26
Can
Forge
York United
4
1
W
31.05.26
Can
Forge
Cavalry FC
1
0
W
24.05.26
Can
Forge
Atlético Ottawa
1
2
L
13.05.26
Can
Forge
Supra du Quebec
1
0
W
02.05.26
Can
Forge
HFX Wanderers FC
3
1
W
26.04.26
Can
Forge
Pacific FC
1
0
W
18.04.26
Can
Forge
Cavalry FC
0
0
D
12.04.26
Can
Forge
Vancouver FC
1
0
W
04.04.26
Can
Forge
Atlético Ottawa
2
0
W
11.02.26
CON
Forge
Tigres UANL
1
4
L
04.02.26
CON
Forge
Tigres UANL
0
0
D
H2H: Supra du Quebec vs Forge
19.08.26
H2H
Forge
Supra du Quebec
3
2
L
05.07.26
H2H
Supra du Quebec
Forge
1
2
L
13.05.26
H2H
Forge
Supra du Quebec
1
0
L
Last matches: Supra du Quebec
16.08.26
Can
Supra du Quebec
Atlético Ottawa
1
2
L
09.08.26
Can
Supra du Quebec
Cavalry FC
1
1
D
17.07.26
Can
Supra du Quebec
Vancouver FC
1
5
L
05.07.26
Can
Supra du Quebec
Forge
1
2
L
06.06.26
Can
Supra du Quebec
Pacific FC
1
1
D
29.05.26
Can
Supra du Quebec
York United
3
1
W
03.05.26
Can
Supra du Quebec
Cavalry FC
0
1
L
24.04.26
Can
Supra du Quebec
HFX Wanderers FC
2
1
W
19.04.26
Can
Supra du Quebec
Atlético Ottawa
0
1
L
H2H at home: Supra du Quebec
05.07.26
H2H
Supra du Quebec
Forge
1
2
L
Last matches: Forge
15.08.26
Can
Forge
Cavalry FC
1
2
L
02.08.26
Can
Forge
HFX Wanderers FC
0
0
D
26.07.26
Can
Forge
York United
3
1
W
05.07.26
Can
Forge
Supra du Quebec
2
1
W
07.06.26
Can
Forge
York United
4
1
W
24.05.26
Can
Forge
Atlético Ottawa
1
2
L
02.05.26
Can
Forge
HFX Wanderers FC
3
1
W
26.04.26
Can
Forge
Pacific FC
1
0
W
12.04.26
Can
Forge
Vancouver FC
1
0
W
11.02.26
CON
Forge
Tigres UANL
1
4
L
H2H away: Forge
05.07.26
H2H
Supra du Quebec
Forge
1
2
W

Standings

Canadian Premier League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1
Forge Away
18 13 2 3 29:13 16 41
W W L L D
2 18 12 4 2 36:11 25 40
W W D W W
3 19 9 3 7 32:33 -1 30
L W W W L
4 19 8 3 8 26:22 4 27
L L D W W
5 19 5 5 9 25:30 -5 20
W L L D L
6 18 5 4 9 26:33 -7 19
D L L D W
7 16 4 6 6 21:35 -14 18
D W D L L
8 17 0 5 12 18:36 -18 5
L D D L L