LITHUANIA A LYGA
13.09.2026 15:45
Marijampole Football Arena

Suduva Marijampole vs FK Zalgiris Vilnius Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 68.5%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 62.8%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 72%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
68.5%
-
BTTS Yes
62.8%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
72%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
71.2%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Suduva Marijampole Win 68.5%
Draw 4.6%
FK Zalgiris Vilnius Win 26.9%
Expected Goals (xG)
Suduva Marijampole1.63
FK Zalgiris Vilnius1.4
Recent Form (Last 5)
Suduva Marijampole Suduva Marijampole
WWDLW
53 GF / 28 GA
FK Zalgiris Vilnius FK Zalgiris Vilnius
WLDWL
64 GF / 56 GA
Key Stats
1.71
Average Goals Scored
1.73
0.9
Average Goals Conceded
1.51
16
BTTS Yes
20
16
Over 2.5
25
0
Shots on Goal
1

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Suduva Marijampole Suduva Marijampole 31 matches
FK Zalgiris Vilnius FK Zalgiris Vilnius 37 matches
Suduva Marijampole Statistic FK Zalgiris Vilnius
17 Wins 18
10 Draws 5
4 Losses 14
53 Goals For 64
28 Goals Against 56
1.71 Avg Goals Scored 1.73
0.9 Avg Goals Conceded 1.51
16 BTTS Yes 20
23 Over 1.5 30
16 Over 2.5 25
7 Over 3.5 14
13 Clean Sheets 11
7 Failed To Score 9
0 Shots On Goal 1
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 1.4
0% Ball Possession 17%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From a tactical perspective, this fixture features two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward FK Zalgiris Vilnius having the stronger overall control. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. Suduva Marijampole come in with stronger recent momentum, which could help them control the rhythm for longer periods. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring FK Zalgiris Vilnius.

Suduva Marijampole Analysis

Suduva Marijampole come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 1 place with 45 points after 24 matches. With 12 wins, 9 draws, and 3 defeats plus a goal balance of 35:18, they continue to show very strong form and are on a winning streak. Their attacking quality is driven by their main attacking players, and at the back they have appeared very solid. At home, their record of 7 wins, 5 draws, and 0 losses points to a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their overall playing style can be described as balanced attacking football.

FK Zalgiris Vilnius Analysis

From their first 24 matches, FK Zalgiris Vilnius have collected 37 points and now occupy 6 place in the table. Their overall return of 11 wins, 4 draws, and 9 losses with goals at 37:29 reflects good form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by their main attacking players, while defensively they have appeared fairly stable. Away from home, their split return of 5 wins, 3 draws, and 4 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Suduva Marijampole won 1 times, FK Zalgiris Vilnius won 9 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 12:33 from Suduva Marijampole's perspective. 9 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 3 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (95.4%)
Predicted formations: Suduva Marijampole - / FK Zalgiris Vilnius 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Suduva Marijampole wins 1, draws 5, FK Zalgiris Vilnius wins 9

Standings

A Lyga
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 24 12 9 3 35:18 17 45
W W W W W
2 23 10 9 4 41:16 25 39
D D W W W
3 25 11 6 8 36:32 4 39
W D L W W
4 26 10 8 8 29:25 4 38
L D D W L
5 26 10 8 8 36:33 3 38
D L L W D
6 24 11 4 9 37:29 8 37
L W L W W
7 26 8 5 13 26:41 -15 29
W W L L W
8 26 4 12 10 29:44 -15 24
D D L L L
9 26 3 7 16 24:55 -31 16
L L W L L
10 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
L L L L L