ENGLAND CHAMPIONSHIP
05.09.2026 11:30
bet365 Stadium
Referee: Robert Madley, England
Stoke City
Match Timeline
Charlton
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
15'
J. Devenny
Stoke City
22'
E. Galbraith
Stoke City
25'
G. Hirst · Assist: E. Bocat
Stoke City
🔄
26'
T. Campbell ↔ D. McNamara
Charlton
🔄
34'
S. Gallagher ↔ R. Bozenik
Stoke City
41'
J. Devenny · Assist: E. Bocat
Stoke City
🟨
45+5'
Ethan Galbraith
Stoke City
🟨
45+3'
Miles Leaburn
Charlton
🔄
46'
T. Ouma ↔ C. Coventry
Charlton
🟨
48'
Danny McNamara
Charlton
🟨
50'
Danny McNamara
Charlton
🟥
50'
Danny McNamara
Charlton
🔄
57'
G. Hirst ↔ L. Cisse
Stoke City
🔄
58'
B. Lawal ↔ M. Talovierov
Stoke City
🔄
58'
J. Devenny ↔ J. McGlynn
Stoke City
🟨
62'
Conor Coventry
Charlton
🔄
72'
J. Rankin-Costello ↔ M. Alli
Charlton
🔄
72'
M. Leaburn ↔ M. Mbick
Charlton
🔄
79'
D. Soumare ↔ B. Pearson
Stoke City
🔄
79'
K. Grant ↔ R. Apter
Charlton

Stoke City vs Charlton Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 67.1%
Odds 3.84
BTTS
Yes
Probability 75%
Odds 1.83
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 58.6%
Odds 2.30
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
67.1%
3.84
BTTS Yes
75%
1.83
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
58.6%
2.30
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
73.4%
1.17
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
7.50
Correct Score 1-2
-
13.00
Probability Distribution
Stoke City Win 23.3%
Draw 9.6%
Charlton Win 67.1%
Expected Goals (xG)
Stoke City0.89
Charlton1.26
Recent Form (Last 5)
Stoke City Stoke City
WWDLW
7 GF / 12 GA
Charlton Charlton
WLDWL
11 GF / 9 GA
Key Stats
0.88
Average Goals Scored
1.1
1.5
Average Goals Conceded
0.9
5
BTTS Yes
4
3
Over 2.5
3
2.25
Shots on Goal
3

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Stoke City Stoke City 8 matches
Charlton Charlton 10 matches
Stoke City Statistic Charlton
2 Wins 6
2 Draws 2
4 Losses 2
7 Goals For 11
12 Goals Against 9
0.88 Avg Goals Scored 1.1
1.5 Avg Goals Conceded 0.9
5 BTTS Yes 4
5 Over 1.5 7
3 Over 2.5 3
2 Over 3.5 0
2 Clean Sheets 4
1 Failed To Score 2
2.25 Shots On Goal 3
9.5 Total Shots 9.75
2.5 Corners 4.75
39.8% Ball Possession 38.3%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 4 head-to-head meetings, Stoke City won 2 times, Charlton won 2 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 7:5 from Stoke City's perspective. 3 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 3 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (90.4%)
Predicted formations: Stoke City 3-5-2 / Charlton 4-2-3-1
Missing players: Stoke City 7, Charlton 8
H2H summary: Stoke City wins 2, draws 0, Charlton wins 2

Standings

Championship
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 8 5 2 1 13:6 7 17
W W L D W
2 8 4 3 1 22:11 11 15
D W W W W
3 8 4 3 1 16:12 4 15
D D W W D
4 7 4 2 1 15:10 5 14
W W D L W
5 8 4 2 2 10:8 2 14
L D W W D
6 8 3 4 1 10:7 3 13
D D D L W
7 8 4 1 3 13:12 1 13
W W D W W
8 8 4 1 3 11:12 -1 13
W L L W W
9 8 3 3 2 7:10 -3 12
L D D L D
10 8 2 5 1 12:11 1 11
D W L D D
11 8 3 2 3 15:15 0 11
D D L W L
12 8 3 2 3 7:8 -1 11
L W W D D
13 8 4 2 2 19:10 9 10
L W W D D
14 8 2 4 2 9:12 -3 10
W L D D W
15 8 3 1 4 11:15 -4 10
W W L L L
16 8 2 3 3 12:12 0 9
D W L L D
17 8 3 0 5 16:17 -1 9
L L W W L
18 8 2 3 3 9:11 -2 9
L L W L W
19 7 2 2 3 9:10 -1 8
D D W L L
20 8 2 2 4 7:10 -3 8
L L W L L
21 8 1 4 3 10:12 -2 7
W L D L L
22 8 1 2 5 7:14 -7 5
D L L L W
23 8 1 1 6 8:15 -7 4
D L L W L
24 8 0 4 4 9:17 -8 4
D L D L D
Promotion - Premier League
Promotion - Championship (Play Offs: Semi-finals)
Promotion - Championship (Play Offs: Quarter-finals)
Relegation - League One