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ENGLAND › LEAGUE ONE
04.10.2025 14:00
Lamex Stadium
Referee: James Bell, England
Stevenage
Match Timeline
Luton
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
35'
Christ Makosso
Luton
🟨
40'
Harvey White
Stevenage
🟨
45+1'
Dan Sweeney
Stevenage
⚽
65'
C. Campbell · Assist: D. Kemp
Stevenage
🔄
68'
M. Andersen ↔ M. Alli
Luton
🔄
68'
G. Kodua ↔ S. Morris
Luton
🔄
68'
J. Richards ↔ J. Clark
Luton
🔄
68'
L. Nordas ↔ J. Gbode
Luton
🔄
69'
B. Lubala ↔ J. Roberts
Stevenage
⚽
71'
J. Roberts · Assist: J. Reid
Stevenage
🔄
80'
L. Fanne ↔ N. Wells
Luton
🟨
83'
Filip Marschall
Stevenage
🔄
88'
J. Reid ↔ G. Ahadme
Stevenage
🔄
89'
D. Kemp ↔ D. Phillips
Stevenage
🔄
90+4'
C. Campbell ↔ P. Patterson
Stevenage

Stevenage vs Luton Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
Probability Distribution
Stevenage Win 0%
Draw 0%
Luton Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Stevenage1.44
Luton1.2
Recent Form (Last 5)
Stevenage Stevenage
WWDLW
15 GF / 8 GA
Luton Luton
WLDWL
14 GF / 11 GA
Key Stats
1.67
Average Goals Scored
1.4
0.89
Average Goals Conceded
1.1
5
BTTS Yes
4
4
Over 2.5
5
4.22
Shots on Goal
3.9

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Stevenage Stevenage 9 matches
Luton Luton 10 matches
Stevenage Statistic Luton
7 Wins 5
1 Draws 1
1 Losses 4
15 Goals For 14
8 Goals Against 11
1.67 Avg Goals Scored 1.4
0.89 Avg Goals Conceded 1.1
5 BTTS Yes 4
6 Over 1.5 6
4 Over 2.5 5
2 Over 3.5 3
3 Clean Sheets 5
1 Failed To Score 1
4.22 Shots On Goal 3.9
10.67 Total Shots 12.9
4.67 Corners 7.4
44% Ball Possession 56.7%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 11 head-to-head meetings, Stevenage won 4 times, Luton won 4 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 13:17 from Stevenage's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 2.73 goals per game.

Predicted formations: Stevenage 4-2-3-1 / Luton 4-1-4-1
H2H summary: Stevenage wins 4, draws 3, Luton wins 4

Standings

League One: Regular season
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 46 31 10 5 89:41 48 103
W W W D W
2 46 27 10 9 90:50 40 91
L W W W D
3 46 22 11 13 71:58 13 77
W L W L D
4 46 22 11 13 58:51 7 77
W D D D L
5 46 19 18 9 70:52 18 75
L D D W L
6 46 21 12 13 49:46 3 75
W D W D L
7
Luton Away
46 21 11 14 68:56 12 74
W W W D W
8 46 22 7 17 75:63 12 73
W W D W D
9 46 18 13 15 74:64 10 67
W L D D D
10 46 16 17 13 62:50 12 65
W D W W D
11 46 17 12 17 69:58 11 63
W L L D L
12 46 16 15 15 64:60 4 63
L D L L L
13 46 17 9 20 54:65 -11 60
W W W W L
14 46 17 9 20 50:69 -19 60
W D L W W
15 46 15 14 17 68:73 -5 59
L W L L D
16 46 14 14 18 49:58 -9 56
L L D W W
17 46 13 15 18 50:60 -10 54
D D D W D
18 46 15 8 23 64:68 -4 53
L D L D L
19 46 15 8 23 51:72 -21 53
L W L L L
20 46 14 10 22 59:71 -12 52
D L L D L
21 46 12 13 21 52:61 -9 49
L D D D W
22 46 10 12 24 36:61 -25 42
L W L L D
23 46 10 11 25 41:71 -30 41
L D L W L
24 46 9 8 29 39:74 -35 35
L L L L L
Promotion - Championship
Promotion - League One (Play Offs)
Relegation - League Two