Stevenage
Match Timeline
Luton
Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
All Markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|
Probability Distribution
Stevenage Win 0%
Draw 0%
Luton Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Stevenage1.44
Luton1.2
Recent Form (Last 5)
Stevenage
WWDLW
15 GF / 8 GA
Luton
WLDWL
14 GF / 11 GA
Key Stats
1.67
Average Goals Scored
1.4
0.89
Average Goals Conceded
1.1
5
BTTS Yes
4
4
Over 2.5
5
4.22
Shots on Goal
3.9
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Stevenage
9 matches
Luton
10 matches
| Stevenage | Statistic | Luton |
|---|---|---|
| 7 | Wins | 5 |
| 1 | Draws | 1 |
| 1 | Losses | 4 |
| 15 | Goals For | 14 |
| 8 | Goals Against | 11 |
| 1.67 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.4 |
| 0.89 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.1 |
| 5 | BTTS Yes | 4 |
| 6 | Over 1.5 | 6 |
| 4 | Over 2.5 | 5 |
| 2 | Over 3.5 | 3 |
| 3 | Clean Sheets | 5 |
| 1 | Failed To Score | 1 |
| 4.22 | Shots On Goal | 3.9 |
| 10.67 | Total Shots | 12.9 |
| 4.67 | Corners | 7.4 |
| 44% | Ball Possession | 56.7% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
H2H Analysis
Across those 11 head-to-head meetings, Stevenage won 4 times, Luton won 4 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 13:17 from Stevenage's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 2.73 goals per game.
Predicted formations: Stevenage 4-2-3-1 / Luton 4-1-4-1
H2H summary: Stevenage wins 4, draws 3, Luton wins 4
Stats
Stevenage
Luton
Shots on Goal
5
5
Shots on Goal
3
3
Shots off Goal
1
1
Shots off Goal
2
2
Blocked Shots
0
0
Blocked Shots
4
4
Lineups
Stevenage
Formation
Luton
F. Marschall
L. James-Wildin
D. Sweeney
C. Goode
L. Freestone
J. Houghton
H. White
B. Lubala
D. Kemp
C. Campbell
J. Reid
J. Keeley
C. Makosso
M. Andersen
T. Mengi
K. Naismith
G. Saville
G. Kodua
J. Richards
L. Fanne
C. Bramall
L. Nordas
Stevenage
4-2-3-1
Starting XI
1
F. Marschall
G
🟨 83'
2
L. James-Wildin
D
6
D. Sweeney
D
🟨 45+1'
15
C. Goode
D
16
L. Freestone
D
4
J. Houghton
M
18
H. White
M
🟨 40'
30
B. Lubala
M
↓ 69'
10
D. Kemp
M
🎯 65'
↓ 89'
20
C. Campbell
M
⚽ 65'
↓ 90+4'
19
J. Reid
F
🎯 71'
↓ 88'
Substitutes
13
T. Ashby-Hammond
G
3
D. Butler
D
8
D. Phillips
M
↑ 89'
9
G. Ahadme
↑ 88'
11
J. Roberts
F
⚽ 71'
↑ 69'
17
J. Pattenden
D
44
P. Patterson
F
↑ 90+4'
Luton
4-1-4-1
Starting XI
24
J. Keeley
G
28
C. Makosso
D
🟨 35'
5
M. Andersen
D
↓ 68'
15
T. Mengi
D
3
K. Naismith
D
23
G. Saville
M
30
G. Kodua
M
↓ 68'
27
J. Richards
M
↓ 68'
22
L. Fanne
M
↓ 80'
33
C. Bramall
M
20
L. Nordas
F
↓ 68'
Substitutes
1
J. Shea
G
7
M. Alli
F
↑ 68'
13
M. Nakamba
M
14
S. Morris
F
↑ 68'
18
J. Clark
M
↑ 68'
21
N. Wells
F
↑ 80'
31
J. Gbode
F
↑ 68'
Last matches: Stevenage
15.08.26
Lea
Stevenage
Burton Albion
1
1
D
01.08.26
Fri
Stevenage
Colchester
1
0
W
25.07.26
Fri
Stevenage
Millwall
1
0
W
22.07.26
Fri
Stevenage
West Ham
0
5
L
18.07.26
Fri
Stevenage
FC Andorra
0
0
D
13.05.26
Lea
Stevenage
Stockport County
0
2
L
09.05.26
Lea
Stevenage
Stockport County
0
1
L
02.05.26
Lea
Stevenage
Wigan
1
0
W
25.04.26
Lea
Stevenage
Doncaster
1
1
D
21.04.26
Lea
Stevenage
Barnsley
1
0
W
18.04.26
Lea
Stevenage
Lincoln
2
2
D
14.04.26
Lea
Stevenage
Bolton
1
5
L
11.04.26
Lea
Stevenage
Bradford
1
0
W
06.04.26
Lea
Stevenage
Blackpool
1
0
W
03.04.26
Lea
Stevenage
Rotherham
0
0
D
21.03.26
Lea
Stevenage
Reading
1
0
W
17.03.26
Lea
Stevenage
Plymouth
0
1
L
14.03.26
Lea
Stevenage
AFC Wimbledon
1
0
W
10.03.26
Lea
Stevenage
Leyton Orient
1
2
L
07.03.26
Lea
Stevenage
Burton Albion
1
0
W
Last matches: Luton
15.08.26
Lea
Luton
Reading
4
3
W
02.08.26
Fri
Luton
GO Ahead Eagles
0
1
L
25.07.26
Fri
Luton
Al Kholood
2
0
W
18.07.26
Fri
Luton
Barnet
2
2
D
11.07.26
Fri
Luton
Hitchin Town
5
0
W
02.05.26
Lea
Luton
Bolton
3
2
W
25.04.26
Lea
Luton
Barnsley
2
1
W
21.04.26
Lea
Luton
Rotherham
2
0
W
18.04.26
Lea
Luton
Mansfield Town
2
2
D
15.04.26
Lea
Luton
Northampton
2
1
W
06.04.26
Lea
Luton
AFC Wimbledon
3
0
W
03.04.26
Lea
Luton
Peterborough
2
1
W
21.03.26
Lea
Luton
Stockport County
1
1
D
17.03.26
Lea
Luton
Exeter City
3
2
W
14.03.26
Lea
Luton
Wycombe
2
1
W
10.03.26
Lea
Luton
Doncaster
1
1
D
07.03.26
Lea
Luton
Reading
2
3
L
28.02.26
Lea
Luton
Port Vale
1
1
D
21.02.26
Lea
Luton
Burton Albion
1
1
D
18.02.26
Lea
Luton
Wigan
0
1
L
H2H: Stevenage vs Luton
10.01.26
H2H
Luton
Stevenage
2
1
L
04.10.25
H2H
Stevenage
Luton
2
0
W
10.08.21
H2H
Stevenage
Luton
2
2
D
10.02.18
H2H
Stevenage
Luton
1
1
D
14.10.17
H2H
Luton
Stevenage
7
1
L
11.03.17
H2H
Luton
Stevenage
0
2
W
20.08.16
H2H
Stevenage
Luton
2
1
W
02.04.16
H2H
Luton
Stevenage
0
1
W
21.11.15
H2H
Stevenage
Luton
0
0
D
02.05.15
H2H
Luton
Stevenage
2
0
L
04.10.14
H2H
Stevenage
Luton
1
2
L
Last matches: Stevenage
01.08.26
Fri
Stevenage
Colchester
1
0
W
25.07.26
Fri
Stevenage
Millwall
1
0
W
22.07.26
Fri
Stevenage
West Ham
0
5
L
09.05.26
Lea
Stevenage
Stockport County
0
1
L
02.05.26
Lea
Stevenage
Wigan
1
0
W
21.04.26
Lea
Stevenage
Barnsley
1
0
W
18.04.26
Lea
Stevenage
Lincoln
2
2
D
06.04.26
Lea
Stevenage
Blackpool
1
0
W
21.03.26
Lea
Stevenage
Reading
1
0
W
14.03.26
Lea
Stevenage
AFC Wimbledon
1
0
W
10.03.26
Lea
Stevenage
Leyton Orient
1
2
L
28.02.26
Lea
Stevenage
Stockport County
2
1
W
17.02.26
Lea
Stevenage
Port Vale
2
1
W
14.02.26
Lea
Stevenage
Huddersfield
1
0
W
27.01.26
Lea
Stevenage
Peterborough
1
0
W
24.01.26
Lea
Stevenage
Mansfield Town
1
1
D
20.01.26
Lea
Stevenage
Bolton
0
0
D
01.01.26
Lea
Stevenage
Plymouth
1
1
D
20.12.25
Lea
Stevenage
Burton Albion
2
2
D
09.12.25
Lea
Stevenage
Cardiff
0
1
L
H2H at home: Stevenage
04.10.25
H2H
Stevenage
Luton
2
0
W
10.08.21
H2H
Stevenage
Luton
2
2
D
10.02.18
H2H
Stevenage
Luton
1
1
D
20.08.16
H2H
Stevenage
Luton
2
1
W
21.11.15
H2H
Stevenage
Luton
0
0
D
04.10.14
H2H
Stevenage
Luton
1
2
L
Last matches: Luton
15.08.26
Lea
Luton
Reading
4
3
W
18.07.26
Fri
Luton
Barnet
2
2
D
11.07.26
Fri
Luton
Hitchin Town
5
0
W
02.05.26
Lea
Luton
Bolton
3
2
W
21.04.26
Lea
Luton
Rotherham
2
0
W
18.04.26
Lea
Luton
Mansfield Town
2
2
D
06.04.26
Lea
Luton
AFC Wimbledon
3
0
W
14.03.26
Lea
Luton
Wycombe
2
1
W
10.03.26
Lea
Luton
Doncaster
1
1
D
28.02.26
Lea
Luton
Port Vale
1
1
D
18.02.26
Lea
Luton
Wigan
0
1
L
14.02.26
Lea
Luton
Cardiff
1
3
L
27.01.26
Lea
Luton
Huddersfield
0
1
L
24.01.26
Lea
Luton
Plymouth
0
1
L
01.01.26
Lea
Luton
Exeter City
0
1
L
18.12.25
Lea
Luton
Reading
2
3
L
09.12.25
Lea
Luton
Leyton Orient
1
1
D
06.12.25
FA
Luton
Fleetwood Town
2
2
D
22.11.25
Lea
Luton
Barnsley
0
5
L
08.11.25
Lea
Luton
Stockport County
3
0
W
H2H away: Luton
04.10.25
H2H
Stevenage
Luton
2
0
L
10.08.21
H2H
Stevenage
Luton
2
2
D
10.02.18
H2H
Stevenage
Luton
1
1
D
20.08.16
H2H
Stevenage
Luton
2
1
L
21.11.15
H2H
Stevenage
Luton
0
0
D
04.10.14
H2H
Stevenage
Luton
1
2
W
Standings
League One: Regular season
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 46 | 31 | 10 | 5 | 89:41 | 48 | 103 |
W
W
W
D
W
|
|
| 2 | 46 | 27 | 10 | 9 | 90:50 | 40 | 91 |
L
W
W
W
D
|
|
| 3 | 46 | 22 | 11 | 13 | 71:58 | 13 | 77 |
W
L
W
L
D
|
|
| 4 | 46 | 22 | 11 | 13 | 58:51 | 7 | 77 |
W
D
D
D
L
|
|
| 5 | 46 | 19 | 18 | 9 | 70:52 | 18 | 75 |
L
D
D
W
L
|
|
| 6 |
Stevenage
Home
|
46 | 21 | 12 | 13 | 49:46 | 3 | 75 |
W
D
W
D
L
|
| 7 |
Luton
Away
|
46 | 21 | 11 | 14 | 68:56 | 12 | 74 |
W
W
W
D
W
|
| 8 | 46 | 22 | 7 | 17 | 75:63 | 12 | 73 |
W
W
D
W
D
|
|
| 9 | 46 | 18 | 13 | 15 | 74:64 | 10 | 67 |
W
L
D
D
D
|
|
| 10 | 46 | 16 | 17 | 13 | 62:50 | 12 | 65 |
W
D
W
W
D
|
|
| 11 | 46 | 17 | 12 | 17 | 69:58 | 11 | 63 |
W
L
L
D
L
|
|
| 12 | 46 | 16 | 15 | 15 | 64:60 | 4 | 63 |
L
D
L
L
L
|
|
| 13 | 46 | 17 | 9 | 20 | 54:65 | -11 | 60 |
W
W
W
W
L
|
|
| 14 | 46 | 17 | 9 | 20 | 50:69 | -19 | 60 |
W
D
L
W
W
|
|
| 15 | 46 | 15 | 14 | 17 | 68:73 | -5 | 59 |
L
W
L
L
D
|
|
| 16 | 46 | 14 | 14 | 18 | 49:58 | -9 | 56 |
L
L
D
W
W
|
|
| 17 | 46 | 13 | 15 | 18 | 50:60 | -10 | 54 |
D
D
D
W
D
|
|
| 18 | 46 | 15 | 8 | 23 | 64:68 | -4 | 53 |
L
D
L
D
L
|
|
| 19 | 46 | 15 | 8 | 23 | 51:72 | -21 | 53 |
L
W
L
L
L
|
|
| 20 | 46 | 14 | 10 | 22 | 59:71 | -12 | 52 |
D
L
L
D
L
|
|
| 21 | 46 | 12 | 13 | 21 | 52:61 | -9 | 49 |
L
D
D
D
W
|
|
| 22 | 46 | 10 | 12 | 24 | 36:61 | -25 | 42 |
L
W
L
L
D
|
|
| 23 | 46 | 10 | 11 | 25 | 41:71 | -30 | 41 |
L
D
L
W
L
|
|
| 24 | 46 | 9 | 8 | 29 | 39:74 | -35 | 35 |
L
L
L
L
L
|
Promotion - Championship
Promotion - League One (Play Offs)
Relegation - League Two