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TURKEY › 1. LIG
09.10.2026 14:00
Bodrum Ilce Stadi
Referee: Yusuf Adnan Kendirciler, Türkiye
Bodrum FK
Match Timeline
Keçiörengücü
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
23'
E. Develi
Keçiörengücü
⚽
25'
Odise Roshi · Assist: Francis Ezeh
Keçiörengücü
🟨
33'
E. Arslan
Bodrum FK
🟨
43'
Mustafa Erdilman
Bodrum FK
🔄
45'
E. Arslan ↔ Florian Loshaj
Bodrum FK
⚽
53'
Alcídio Raice · Assist: Francis Ezeh
Keçiörengücü
🔄
57'
Berkay Aslan ↔ Tomas Cruz
Bodrum FK
🔄
58'
Mustafa Erdilman ↔ Ruben Providence
Bodrum FK
🟥
60'
Sefer Yılmaz
Bodrum FK
🔄
61'
Alcídio Raice ↔ Jefferson
Keçiörengücü
🔄
75'
Francis Ezeh ↔ Moryke Fofana
Keçiörengücü
🔄
75'
Odise Roshi ↔ Herculano·Nabian
Keçiörengücü
🔄
77'
Ege Bilsel ↔ Kerem Kayaarası
Bodrum FK
🟨
85'
Tomas Cruz
Bodrum FK
🔄
86'
E. Develi ↔ Halil Can Ayan
Keçiörengücü
🔄
87'
Mame Biram Diouf ↔ Oguzhan Ayaydin
Keçiörengücü
🔄
88'
Yusuf Sertkaya ↔ Boran Baskan
Bodrum FK
🟨
90+1'
Herculano·Nabian
Keçiörengücü

Bodrum FK vs Keçiörengücü Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 49.6%
Odds -
BTTS
No
Probability 50.8%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 72.8%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
49.6%
- ▥
BTTS No
50.8%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
72.8%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
71.4%
- ▥
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
- ▥
Correct Score 0-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Bodrum FK Win 36.2%
Draw 14.2%
Keçiörengücü Win 49.6%
Expected Goals (xG)
Bodrum FK0.97
Keçiörengücü1.5
Recent Form (Last 5)
Bodrum FK Bodrum FK
WWDLW
7 GF / 6 GA
Keçiörengücü Keçiörengücü
WLDWL
18 GF / 10 GA
Key Stats
0.88
Average Goals Scored
2
0.75
Average Goals Conceded
1.11
2
BTTS Yes
6
2
Over 2.5
4
3
Shots on Goal
5.88

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Bodrum FK Bodrum FK 8 matches
Keçiörengücü Keçiörengücü 9 matches
Bodrum FK Statistic Keçiörengücü
1 Wins 4
5 Draws 4
2 Losses 1
7 Goals For 18
6 Goals Against 10
0.88 Avg Goals Scored 2
0.75 Avg Goals Conceded 1.11
2 BTTS Yes 6
4 Over 1.5 8
2 Over 2.5 4
2 Over 3.5 3
4 Clean Sheets 3
5 Failed To Score 0
3 Shots On Goal 5.88
9.5 Total Shots 15.63
4 Corners 3.88
47.1% Ball Possession 45.3%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Keçiörengücü carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 6 with 13 points while Bodrum FK sit 14 on 8, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Keçiörengücü.

Bodrum FK Analysis

With 8 points from 8 games and a place of 14, Bodrum FK still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Across the season they have posted 1 wins, 5 draws, and 2 defeats, and the 7:6 goal record continues to suggest poor form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on Ege Bilsel (2 goals), Fernando Andrade (2 goals), Vincent Aboubakar (1 goals), with creative support from Berşan Yavuzay (2 assists), Florian Loshaj (1 assists), Ege Arslan (1 assists), while at the back they have been very solid. At home, they have returned 1 wins, 2 draws, and 1 losses, which indicates a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they tend to play with balanced attacking football.

Keçiörengücü Analysis

From their first 8 matches, Keçiörengücü have collected 13 points and now occupy 6 place in the table. The record of 3 wins, 4 draws, and 1 defeats, together with a 17:10 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through Mame Biram Diouf (3 goals), Francis Ezeh (3 goals), İbrahim Akdağ (2 goals), with creative support from Mame Biram Diouf (2 assists), İbrahim Akdağ (1 assists), Halil Can Ayan (1 assists), while at the back they have looked very solid. Away from home, the record of 1 wins, 2 draws, and 1 losses points toward a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 8 head-to-head meetings, Bodrum FK won 2 times, Keçiörengücü won 4 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 12:14 from Bodrum FK's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 3.25 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (85.8%)
Predicted formations: Bodrum FK 4-2-3-1 / Keçiörengücü 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Bodrum FK wins 2, draws 2, Keçiörengücü wins 4

Standings

Lig A
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 8 1 1 22:5 17 25
W W W W W
2 10 7 1 2 20:9 11 22
W L W D W
3 10 6 2 2 14:8 6 20
D W D W W
4 10 6 1 3 20:17 3 19
W L L L W
5 10 5 3 2 12:6 6 18
W W L L W
6 10 4 5 1 19:10 9 17
D W D D W
7 11 4 4 3 14:15 -1 16
D L D W D
8 10 5 0 5 15:17 -2 15
L W W W L
9 11 3 5 3 16:8 8 14
L D W L D
10 11 3 5 3 13:10 3 14
W W L D W
11 11 2 7 2 15:14 1 13
D D W D D
12 10 3 4 3 13:13 0 13
L D W D L
13 10 2 6 2 9:11 -2 12
L D D D D
14 10 2 4 4 15:16 -1 10
D L L D L
15 10 2 4 4 12:19 -7 10
L L D D W
16 10 1 6 3 6:11 -5 9
D W L D L
17 9 1 4 4 7:10 -3 7
D W L L
18 10 2 3 5 10:20 -10 7
W L L D D
19 10 1 2 7 9:24 -15 5
L L W L L
20 9 0 1 8 3:21 -18 1
L L D L
Promotion - Super Lig
Promotion - 1. Lig (Play Offs: Final)
Promotion - 1. Lig (Play Offs: Quarter-finals)
Relegation