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MEXICO › LIGA MX
18.10.2026 03:00
Estadio Banorte

Cruz Azul vs FC Juarez Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 86.6%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 75%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 61.1%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
86.6%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
75%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
61.1%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Cruz Azul Win 86.6%
Draw 6.7%
FC Juarez Win 6.7%
Expected Goals (xG)
Cruz Azul2
FC Juarez1.38
Recent Form (Last 5)
Cruz Azul Cruz Azul
WWDLW
42 GF / 33 GA
FC Juarez FC Juarez
WLDWL
20 GF / 32 GA
Key Stats
2
Average Goals Scored
1.25
1.57
Average Goals Conceded
2
13
BTTS Yes
10
15
Over 2.5
9
7.06
Shots on Goal
2.55

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Cruz Azul Cruz Azul 21 matches
FC Juarez FC Juarez 16 matches
Cruz Azul Statistic FC Juarez
9 Wins 4
6 Draws 3
6 Losses 9
42 Goals For 20
33 Goals Against 32
2 Avg Goals Scored 1.25
1.57 Avg Goals Conceded 2
13 BTTS Yes 10
18 Over 1.5 14
15 Over 2.5 9
9 Over 3.5 6
5 Clean Sheets 2
4 Failed To Score 4
7.06 Shots On Goal 2.55
20.12 Total Shots 9.18
6.59 Corners 3.55
58.8% Ball Possession 44.9%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by Cruz Azul's more proactive style and FC Juarez's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. FC Juarez arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Cruz Azul expected to line up in 5-4-1 and FC Juarez in 5-3-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward FC Juarez having the stronger overall control. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring FC Juarez. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Cruz Azul arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 7 with 16 points compared to FC Juarez in 18 on 3, which underlines the gap in season consistency.

Cruz Azul Analysis

Cruz Azul are currently 7 in the standings with 16 points from 10 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 5 wins, 1 draws, and 4 losses, while the 19:18 goal ratio supports the view of good form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on G. Fernández (4 goals), J. Paradela (2 goals), N. Ibáñez (2 goals), with creative support from J. Paradela (4 assists), C. Rodríguez (3 assists), L. Romero (2 assists), and defensively they have been very solid. At home, the record of 3 wins, 1 draws, and 2 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.

FC Juarez Analysis

FC Juarez approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 18 with 3 points from 10 matches. The overall return of 1 wins, 0 draws, and 9 defeats with a 7:25 goal balance points toward poor form with results showing a clear downward trend. Going forward they depend heavily on Ó. Estupiñán (4 goals), J. Rodríguez (1 goals), Rodrigo Dourado (1 goals), with creative support from J. Rodríguez (1 assists), D. Piña (1 assists), J. Torres (1 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. Away from home, the split record of 0 wins, 0 draws, and 5 losses points to a weak split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 14 head-to-head meetings, Cruz Azul won 9 times, FC Juarez won 2 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 26:14 from Cruz Azul's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 2.86 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 1X (93.3%)
Predicted formations: Cruz Azul 5-4-1 / FC Juarez 5-3-2
H2H summary: Cruz Azul wins 9, draws 3, FC Juarez wins 2

Standings

Liga MX: Apertura
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 6 3 1 22:11 11 21
D W D L W
2 11 6 2 3 25:15 10 20
L D L W W
3 10 6 2 2 15:8 7 20
W W D W W
4 11 5 4 2 18:11 7 19
D L D W W
5 11 5 3 3 15:12 3 18
D W D W L
6 11 5 3 3 17:18 -1 18
D W D L D
7 11 5 2 4 22:21 1 17
D D L W W
8 10 4 3 3 15:14 1 15
D L D L W
9 11 4 3 4 12:13 -1 15
D L D L W
10 10 4 2 4 17:15 2 14
D L W D L
11 11 3 4 4 18:14 4 13
D L D W W
12 11 3 4 4 17:19 -2 13
D L D L W
13 11 3 4 4 13:15 -2 13
W W L D D
14 11 4 1 6 12:16 -4 13
W W W W L
15 11 3 3 5 15:20 -5 12
L W W L L
16 11 2 5 4 12:17 -5 11
L W D L D
17 11 2 3 6 15:23 -8 9
D L L L D
18 11 1 1 9 8:26 -18 4
D L W L L
Promotion - Liga MX (Apertura - Play Offs: Quarter-finals)