SAUDI-ARABIA › PRO LEAGUE
09.10.2026 13:50
Al-Hazem Club Stadium

Al Kholood vs Al-Qadisiyah FC Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 43.6%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 82.5%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 72%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
43.6%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
82.5%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
72%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.5%
- ▥
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
- ▥
Correct Score 1-2
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Al Kholood Win 41.5%
Draw 14.9%
Al-Qadisiyah FC Win 43.6%
Expected Goals (xG)
Al Kholood1.24
Al-Qadisiyah FC1.67
Recent Form (Last 5)
Al Kholood Al Kholood
WWDLW
14 GF / 15 GA
Al-Qadisiyah FC Al-Qadisiyah FC
WLDWL
16 GF / 9 GA
Key Stats
1.4
Average Goals Scored
1.78
1.5
Average Goals Conceded
1
8
BTTS Yes
4
5
Over 2.5
4
4.29
Shots on Goal
5.86

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Al Kholood Al Kholood 10 matches
Al-Qadisiyah FC Al-Qadisiyah FC 9 matches
Al Kholood Statistic Al-Qadisiyah FC
3 Wins 5
4 Draws 2
3 Losses 2
14 Goals For 16
15 Goals Against 9
1.4 Avg Goals Scored 1.78
1.5 Avg Goals Conceded 1
8 BTTS Yes 4
10 Over 1.5 6
5 Over 2.5 4
3 Over 3.5 4
0 Clean Sheets 3
2 Failed To Score 3
4.29 Shots On Goal 5.86
11.43 Total Shots 14
4.43 Corners 6.29
47.7% Ball Possession 56.7%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Al-Qadisiyah FC look sharper on recent form, and that momentum could be important in key phases of the match. Al-Qadisiyah FC carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 4 with 16 points while Al Kholood sit 7 on 12, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Al-Qadisiyah FC. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Al Kholood expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Al-Qadisiyah FC in 3-5-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Al-Qadisiyah FC having the stronger overall control. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

Al Kholood Analysis

From their first 7 matches, Al Kholood have collected 12 points and now occupy 7 place in the table. The record of 3 wins, 3 draws, and 1 defeats, together with a 12:10 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through Iker Kortajarena (4 goals), J. Domingues (3 goals), E. Utkus (1 goals), with creative support from J. Domingues (2 assists), Coba (2 assists), Iker Kortajarena (1 assists), while at the back they have looked very solid. At home, they have returned 3 wins, 0 draws, and 0 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.

Al-Qadisiyah FC Analysis

Operating from 4 place with 16 points from 7 games, Al-Qadisiyah FC bring one of the stronger season profiles into this match. They have recorded 5 wins, 1 draws, and 1 losses, with a 16:8 goal return and very strong form with results showing strong momentum. In attack they lean heavily on M. Retegui (4 goals), Mohammed Abu Al Shamat (3 goals), J. Quiñones (3 goals), with creative support from Mohammed Abu Al Shamat (3 assists), C. Bonsu Baah (2 assists), Musab Al Juwayr (2 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. Away from home, their record of 3 wins, 0 draws, and 0 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their overall playing style can be described as balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 10 head-to-head meetings, Al Kholood won 1 times, Al-Qadisiyah FC won 8 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 5:22 from Al Kholood's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 3 matches, with an average of 2.7 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (85.1%)
Predicted formations: Al Kholood 4-2-3-1 / Al-Qadisiyah FC 3-5-2
H2H summary: Al Kholood wins 1, draws 1, Al-Qadisiyah FC wins 8

Standings

Saudi Professional League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 7 6 0 1 23:5 18 18
W L W W W
2 7 5 2 0 12:6 6 17
W W W D W
3 7 5 1 1 16:7 9 16
D W L W W
4 7 5 1 1 16:8 8 16
D W W W W
5 7 5 0 2 13:6 7 15
W W W L L
6 7 4 0 3 16:10 6 12
W L W L L
7 7 3 3 1 12:10 2 12
L W D W D
8 7 3 2 2 7:5 2 11
D W L W D
9 7 3 2 2 11:11 0 11
D D W L L
10 7 2 2 3 7:9 -2 8
L W D D L
11 7 2 2 3 8:16 -8 8
W D L W D
12 7 1 3 3 7:11 -4 6
D L D W D
13 7 0 5 2 3:10 -7 5
D D L L D
14 7 0 4 3 6:11 -5 4
D L L D D
15 7 0 3 4 4:11 -7 3
L L D D D
16 7 0 3 4 5:13 -8 3
L D D L D
17 7 0 3 4 3:12 -9 3
L L D L D
18 7 0 2 5 5:13 -8 2
D L L L D
Promotion - AFC Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - AFC Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - AFC Champions League 2
Promotion - Gulf Club Champions League
Relegation - Division 1