FRANCE LIGUE 1
--.--.---- --:--
Stade Francis-Le Blé
Referee: S. Frappart
Stade Brestois 29
Match Timeline
Lens
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
-5'
Junior Dina Ebimbe
Stade Brestois 29
7'
D. Guindo · Assist: J. Chotard
Stade Brestois 29
24'
L. Tousart · Assist: D. Guindo
Stade Brestois 29
42'
J. Dina Ebimbe · Assist: L. Ajorque
Stade Brestois 29
🔄
52'
R. Aguilar ↔ S. Abdulhamid
Lens
🔄
52'
F. Sotoca ↔ F. Thauvin
Lens
🔄
53'
W. Said ↔ A. Saint-Maximin
Lens
🔄
53'
A. Masuaku ↔ S. Baidoo
Lens
🟨
55'
Adrien Thomasson
Lens
60'
F. Thauvin
Lens
🔄
64'
A. Sima ↔ O. Edouard
Lens
64'
A. Sima · Assist: S. Abdulhamid
Lens
🔄
67'
J. Dina Ebimbe ↔ M. Balde
Stade Brestois 29
🔄
80'
L. Tousart ↔ J. M. Diaz
Stade Brestois 29
🟨
85'
Mamadou Sangare
Lens
🔄
88'
D. Guindo ↔ L. Zogbe
Stade Brestois 29
🔄
89'
R. Del Castillo ↔ P. Mboup
Stade Brestois 29
🟨
90+4'
Grégoire Coudert
Stade Brestois 29
🟨
90+4'
Kenny Lala
Stade Brestois 29
🟨
90+4'
Allan Saint-Maximin
Lens
90'
A. Saint-Maximin · Assist: M. Sangare
Lens

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 62.6%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 80.3%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 75.1%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
62.6%
-
BTTS BTTS Yes
80.3%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
75.1%
-
Probability Distribution
Stade Brestois 29 Win 34.4%
Draw 3%
Lens Win 62.6%
Expected Goals (xG)
Stade Brestois 291.19
Lens1.89
Recent Form (Last 5)
Stade Brestois 29 Stade Brestois 29
WWDLW
39 GF / 45 GA
Lens Lens
WLDWL
73 GF / 35 GA
Key Stats
1.3
Average Goals Scored
2.15
1.5
Average Goals Conceded
1.03
14
BTTS Yes
19
14
Over 2.5
25
3.53
Shots on Goal
5.82

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Stade Brestois 29 Stade Brestois 29 30 matches
Lens Lens 34 matches
Stade Brestois 29 Statistic Lens
10 Wins 24
8 Draws 3
12 Losses 7
39 Goals For 73
45 Goals Against 35
1.3 Avg Goals Scored 2.15
1.5 Avg Goals Conceded 1.03
14 BTTS Yes 19
25 Over 1.5 29
14 Over 2.5 25
8 Over 3.5 12
9 Clean Sheets 11
9 Failed To Score 5
3.53 Shots On Goal 5.82
11.13 Total Shots 16.32
4 Corners 6.24
43.5% Ball Possession 52.2%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by Lens's more proactive style and Stade Brestois 29's more cautious structure. Both teams have notable availability concerns, so squad depth and in-game adjustments could matter more than usual. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Lens carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 2 with 62 points while Stade Brestois 29 sit 12 on 37, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Stade Brestois 29 expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Lens in 3-4-2-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Lens having the stronger overall control. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This game has the potential to be open, with both sides capable of creating several scoring chances. Stade Brestois 29 have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Lens.

Stade Brestois 29 Analysis

Stade Brestois 29 approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 12 with 37 points from 29 matches. Their record of 10 wins, 7 draws, and 12 losses, together with goals at 37:43, reflects poor form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through R. Del Castillo (8 goals), Ludovic Ajorque (7 goals), Kamory Doumbia (5 goals), with creative support from Ludovic Ajorque (8 assists), R. Del Castillo (3 assists), Kamory Doumbia (3 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been quite vulnerable. At home, they have managed 7 wins, 3 draws, and 4 losses, a return that supports a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach. They are not at full strength, with K. Doumbia, B. Locko, R. Labeau Lascary unavailable, although the overall attacking core still looks largely intact.

Lens Analysis

Lens approach this game with the confidence of a side sitting 2 on 62 points after 29 outings. They have recorded 20 wins, 2 draws, and 7 losses, with a 54:27 goal return and good form over their recent run. In attack they lean heavily on Odsonne Édouard (12 goals), W. Said (10 goals), F. Thauvin (9 goals), with creative support from Adrien Thomasson (8 assists), Matthieu Udol (7 assists), F. Thauvin (5 assists), while defensively they have looked fairly stable. Away from home, their record of 7 wins, 2 draws, and 5 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their overall playing style can be described as balanced attacking football. They are not at full strength, with K. Antonio, J. Gradit, R. Gurtner unavailable, although the overall attacking core still looks largely intact.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Stade Brestois 29 won 4 times, Lens won 8 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 22:26 from Stade Brestois 29's perspective. 9 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 10 matches, with an average of 3.2 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (97%)
Predicted formations: Stade Brestois 29 4-2-3-1 / Lens 3-4-2-1
Missing players: Stade Brestois 29 3, Lens 3
H2H summary: Stade Brestois 29 wins 4, draws 3, Lens wins 8
Stats
Stade Brestois 29 Stade Brestois 29
Lens Lens
Shots on Goal
3
Shots on Goal
7
Shots off Goal
1
Shots off Goal
13
Blocked Shots
2
Blocked Shots
5
0 Corner Kicks 6
7 Fouls 11
1 Offsides 3
36% Ball Possession 64%
6 Total Shots 25
3 Shots on Goal 7
1 Shots off Goal 13
2 Blocked Shots 5
4 Shots insidebox 17
2 Shots outsidebox 8
4 Goalkeeper Saves 0
338 Total passes 594
252 Passes accurate 513
0.25 expected_goals 2.76
🟨 3 Yellow Cards 3 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Stade Brestois 29
Formation
Lens
G. Coudert
G. Coudert
K. Lala
K. Lala
B. Chardonnet
B. Chardonnet
S. Coulibaly
S. Coulibaly
D. Guindo
🎯
D. Guindo
J. Chotard
🎯
J. Chotard
R. Del Castillo
R. Del Castillo
L. Tousart
L. Tousart
H. Magnetti
H. Magnetti
J. Dina Ebimbe
J. Dina Ebimbe
L. Ajorque
🎯
L. Ajorque
R. Risser
R. Risser
I. Ganiou
I. Ganiou
M. Sarr
M. Sarr
A. Masuaku
A. Masuaku
R. Aguilar
R. Aguilar
M. Sangare
🎯
M. Sangare
A. Thomasson
A. Thomasson
M. Udol
M. Udol
F. Sotoca
F. Sotoca
W. Said
W. Said
A. Sima
A. Sima
Stade Brestois 29 4-1-4-1
Starting XI
30
G. Coudert
🟨 90+4'
G
77
K. Lala
🟨 90+4'
D
5
B. Chardonnet
D
44
S. Coulibaly
D
27
D. Guindo
⚽ 7' 🎯 24' ↓ 88'
D
13
J. Chotard
🎯 7'
M
10
R. Del Castillo
↓ 89'
M
24
L. Tousart
⚽ 24' ↓ 80'
M
8
H. Magnetti
M
7
J. Dina Ebimbe
⚽ 42' ↓ 67' 🟨 -5'
M
19
L. Ajorque
🎯 42'
F
Substitutes
50
N. Jauny
G
1
R. Majecki
G
17
M. Balde
↑ 67'
F
4
J. M. Diaz
↑ 80'
D
33
H. Makalou
M
99
P. Mboup
↑ 89'
F
12
L. Zogbe
↑ 88'
D
21
I. Y. Kante
F
39
A. Lassus
M
Lens 3-4-2-1
Starting XI
40
R. Risser
G
25
I. Ganiou
D
20
M. Sarr
D
27
A. Masuaku
↓ 53'
D
2
R. Aguilar
↓ 52'
M
8
M. Sangare
🎯 90' 🟨 85'
M
28
A. Thomasson
🟨 55'
M
14
M. Udol
M
7
F. Sotoca
↓ 52'
F
22
W. Said
↓ 53'
F
19
A. Sima
⚽ 64' ↓ 64'
F
Substitutes
16
M. Gorgelin
G
23
S. Abdulhamid
🎯 64' ↑ 52'
D
10
F. Thauvin
⚽ 60' ↑ 52'
F
9
A. Saint-Maximin
⚽ 90' ↑ 53' 🟨 90+4'
F
11
O. Edouard
↑ 64'
F
21
A. Haidara
M
6
S. Baidoo
↑ 53'
D
5
A. Bulatovic
M
38
R. Fofana
F
Last matches: Stade Brestois 29
08.08.26
Fri
Stade Brestois 29
Venezia
2
2
D
05.08.26
Fri
Stade Brestois 29
Stade Briochin
2
1
W
01.08.26
Fri
Stade Brestois 29
Guingamp
3
3
D
22.07.26
Fri
Stade Brestois 29
Al Wakrah
0
2
L
18.07.26
Fri
Stade Brestois 29
Concarneau
2
2
D
17.05.26
Lig
Stade Brestois 29
Angers
1
1
D
13.05.26
Lig
Stade Brestois 29
Strasbourg
1
2
L
10.05.26
Lig
Stade Brestois 29
Paris Saint Germain
0
1
L
03.05.26
Lig
Stade Brestois 29
Paris FC
0
4
L
19.04.26
Lig
Stade Brestois 29
Nantes
1
1
D
04.04.26
Lig
Stade Brestois 29
Rennes
3
4
L
21.03.26
Lig
Stade Brestois 29
Auxerre
0
3
L
14.03.26
Lig
Stade Brestois 29
Monaco
0
2
L
08.03.26
Lig
Stade Brestois 29
Le Havre
2
0
W
01.03.26
Lig
Stade Brestois 29
Metz
1
0
W
20.02.26
Lig
Stade Brestois 29
Marseille
2
0
W
14.02.26
Lig
Stade Brestois 29
Lille
1
1
D
07.02.26
Lig
Stade Brestois 29
Lorient
2
0
W
01.02.26
Lig
Stade Brestois 29
Nice
2
2
D
25.01.26
Lig
Stade Brestois 29
Toulouse
0
2
L
Last matches: Lens
08.08.26
Fri
Lens
Sunderland
0
2
L
25.07.26
Fri
Lens
Charleroi
2
2
D
18.07.26
Fri
Lens
Boulogne
4
1
W
22.05.26
Cou
Lens
Nice
3
1
W
17.05.26
Lig
Lens
Lyon
4
0
W
13.05.26
Lig
Lens
Paris Saint Germain
0
2
L
08.05.26
Lig
Lens
Nantes
1
0
W
02.05.26
Lig
Lens
Nice
1
1
D
21.04.26
Cou
Lens
Toulouse
4
1
W
17.04.26
Lig
Lens
Toulouse
3
2
W
11.04.26
Fri
Lens
Rouen
2
1
W
04.04.26
Lig
Lens
Lille
0
3
L
20.03.26
Lig
Lens
Angers
5
1
W
14.03.26
Lig
Lens
Lorient
1
2
L
08.03.26
Lig
Lens
Metz
3
0
W
05.03.26
Cou
Lens
Lyon
2
2
D
27.02.26
Lig
Lens
Strasbourg
1
1
D
21.02.26
Lig
Lens
Monaco
2
3
L
14.02.26
Lig
Lens
Paris FC
5
0
W
07.02.26
Lig
Lens
Rennes
3
1
W
H2H: Stade Brestois 29 vs Lens
24.04.26
H2H
Stade Brestois 29
Lens
3
3
D
29.08.25
H2H
Lens
Stade Brestois 29
3
1
L
20.04.25
H2H
Stade Brestois 29
Lens
1
3
L
25.08.24
H2H
Lens
Stade Brestois 29
2
0
L
09.03.24
H2H
Lens
Stade Brestois 29
1
0
L
13.08.23
H2H
Stade Brestois 29
Lens
3
2
W
05.02.23
H2H
Stade Brestois 29
Lens
1
1
D
22.01.23
H2H
Stade Brestois 29
Lens
1
3
L
07.08.22
H2H
Lens
Stade Brestois 29
3
2
L
05.03.22
H2H
Lens
Stade Brestois 29
0
1
W
21.11.21
H2H
Stade Brestois 29
Lens
4
0
W
18.04.21
H2H
Stade Brestois 29
Lens
1
1
D
23.12.20
H2H
Lens
Stade Brestois 29
2
1
L
27.04.19
H2H
Stade Brestois 29
Lens
2
0
W
04.12.18
H2H
Lens
Stade Brestois 29
2
1
L
Last matches: Stade Brestois 29
08.08.26
Fri
Stade Brestois 29
Venezia
2
2
D
01.08.26
Fri
Stade Brestois 29
Guingamp
3
3
D
22.07.26
Fri
Stade Brestois 29
Al Wakrah
0
2
L
18.07.26
Fri
Stade Brestois 29
Concarneau
2
2
D
17.05.26
Lig
Stade Brestois 29
Angers
1
1
D
13.05.26
Lig
Stade Brestois 29
Strasbourg
1
2
L
04.04.26
Lig
Stade Brestois 29
Rennes
3
4
L
08.03.26
Lig
Stade Brestois 29
Le Havre
2
0
W
20.02.26
Lig
Stade Brestois 29
Marseille
2
0
W
07.02.26
Lig
Stade Brestois 29
Lorient
2
0
W
25.01.26
Lig
Stade Brestois 29
Toulouse
0
2
L
04.01.26
Lig
Stade Brestois 29
Auxerre
2
0
W
05.12.25
Lig
Stade Brestois 29
Monaco
1
0
W
23.11.25
Lig
Stade Brestois 29
Metz
3
2
W
02.11.25
Lig
Stade Brestois 29
Lyon
0
0
D
25.10.25
Lig
Stade Brestois 29
Paris Saint Germain
0
3
L
04.10.25
Lig
Stade Brestois 29
Nantes
0
0
D
20.09.25
Lig
Stade Brestois 29
Nice
4
1
W
14.09.25
Lig
Stade Brestois 29
Paris FC
1
2
L
17.08.25
Lig
Stade Brestois 29
Lille
3
3
D
H2H at home: Stade Brestois 29
24.04.26
H2H
Stade Brestois 29
Lens
3
3
D
20.04.25
H2H
Stade Brestois 29
Lens
1
3
L
13.08.23
H2H
Stade Brestois 29
Lens
3
2
W
05.02.23
H2H
Stade Brestois 29
Lens
1
1
D
22.01.23
H2H
Stade Brestois 29
Lens
1
3
L
21.11.21
H2H
Stade Brestois 29
Lens
4
0
W
18.04.21
H2H
Stade Brestois 29
Lens
1
1
D
27.04.19
H2H
Stade Brestois 29
Lens
2
0
W
Last matches: Lens
17.05.26
Lig
Lens
Lyon
4
0
W
02.05.26
Lig
Lens
Nice
1
1
D
04.04.26
Lig
Lens
Lille
0
3
L
14.03.26
Lig
Lens
Lorient
1
2
L
05.03.26
Cou
Lens
Lyon
2
2
D
27.02.26
Lig
Lens
Strasbourg
1
1
D
14.02.26
Lig
Lens
Paris FC
5
0
W
04.02.26
Cou
Lens
Estac Troyes
4
2
W
24.01.26
Lig
Lens
Marseille
1
3
L
11.01.26
Cou
Lens
Sochaux
3
0
W
02.01.26
Lig
Lens
Toulouse
3
0
W
06.12.25
Lig
Lens
Nantes
2
1
W
30.11.25
Lig
Lens
Angers
2
1
W
08.11.25
Lig
Lens
Monaco
4
1
W
29.10.25
Lig
Lens
Metz
0
2
L
04.10.25
Lig
Lens
Auxerre
2
1
W
28.09.25
Lig
Lens
Rennes
0
0
D
14.09.25
Lig
Lens
Paris Saint Germain
0
2
L
24.08.25
Lig
Lens
Le Havre
2
1
W
10.05.25
Lig
Lens
Toulouse
1
1
D
H2H away: Lens
24.04.26
H2H
Stade Brestois 29
Lens
3
3
D
20.04.25
H2H
Stade Brestois 29
Lens
1
3
W
13.08.23
H2H
Stade Brestois 29
Lens
3
2
L
05.02.23
H2H
Stade Brestois 29
Lens
1
1
D
22.01.23
H2H
Stade Brestois 29
Lens
1
3
W
21.11.21
H2H
Stade Brestois 29
Lens
4
0
L
18.04.21
H2H
Stade Brestois 29
Lens
1
1
D
27.04.19
H2H
Stade Brestois 29
Lens
2
0
L

Standings

Ligue 1
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 34 24 4 6 74:29 45 76
L W W D W
2
Lens Away
34 22 4 8 66:35 31 70
W L W D D
3 34 18 7 9 52:37 15 61
L W D W D
4 34 18 6 10 53:40 13 60
L L W W W
5 34 18 5 11 63:45 18 59
W W L D L
6 34 17 8 9 59:50 9 59
L W L W W
7 34 16 6 12 60:54 6 54
L L W D D
8 34 15 8 11 58:47 11 53
W W D L W
9 34 11 12 11 48:51 -3 45
L W D L W
10 33 12 8 13 47:46 1 44
W W D L L
11 34 11 11 12 47:50 -3 44
W L W L W
12 34 10 9 15 43:55 -12 39
D L L L D
13 34 9 9 16 29:48 -19 36
D D L L D
14 34 7 14 13 32:44 -12 35
W L D D D
15 34 8 10 16 34:44 -10 34
W W W L D
16 34 7 11 16 37:60 -23 32
W D D L D
17 33 5 8 20 29:52 -23 23
L W L L D
18 34 3 8 23 32:76 -44 17
D L L D L
Champions League
Champions League Qualification
UEFA Europa League
Conference League Qualification
Relegation Playoffs
Relegation

Missing Players

Stade Brestois 29 3 missing
-
K. Doumbia
Missing Fixture Injury
OUT
-
B. Locko
Missing Fixture Muscle Injury
OUT
-
R. Labeau Lascary
Missing Fixture Loan agreement
OUT
Lens 3 missing
-
K. Antonio
Missing Fixture Foot Injury
OUT
-
J. Gradit
Missing Fixture Thigh Injury
OUT
-
R. Gurtner
Missing Fixture Muscle Injury
OUT