Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away Win |
62.6%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS Yes |
80.3%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
75.1%
|
- |
Stade Brestois 29
Lens
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Stade Brestois 29
30 matches
Lens
34 matches
| Stade Brestois 29 | Statistic | Lens |
|---|---|---|
| 10 | Wins | 24 |
| 8 | Draws | 3 |
| 12 | Losses | 7 |
| 39 | Goals For | 73 |
| 45 | Goals Against | 35 |
| 1.3 | Avg Goals Scored | 2.15 |
| 1.5 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.03 |
| 14 | BTTS Yes | 19 |
| 25 | Over 1.5 | 29 |
| 14 | Over 2.5 | 25 |
| 8 | Over 3.5 | 12 |
| 9 | Clean Sheets | 11 |
| 9 | Failed To Score | 5 |
| 3.53 | Shots On Goal | 5.82 |
| 11.13 | Total Shots | 16.32 |
| 4 | Corners | 6.24 |
| 43.5% | Ball Possession | 52.2% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by Lens's more proactive style and Stade Brestois 29's more cautious structure. Both teams have notable availability concerns, so squad depth and in-game adjustments could matter more than usual. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Lens carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 2 with 62 points while Stade Brestois 29 sit 12 on 37, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Stade Brestois 29 expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Lens in 3-4-2-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Lens having the stronger overall control. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This game has the potential to be open, with both sides capable of creating several scoring chances. Stade Brestois 29 have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Lens.
Stade Brestois 29 approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 12 with 37 points from 29 matches. Their record of 10 wins, 7 draws, and 12 losses, together with goals at 37:43, reflects poor form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through R. Del Castillo (8 goals), Ludovic Ajorque (7 goals), Kamory Doumbia (5 goals), with creative support from Ludovic Ajorque (8 assists), R. Del Castillo (3 assists), Kamory Doumbia (3 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been quite vulnerable. At home, they have managed 7 wins, 3 draws, and 4 losses, a return that supports a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach. They are not at full strength, with K. Doumbia, B. Locko, R. Labeau Lascary unavailable, although the overall attacking core still looks largely intact.
Lens approach this game with the confidence of a side sitting 2 on 62 points after 29 outings. They have recorded 20 wins, 2 draws, and 7 losses, with a 54:27 goal return and good form over their recent run. In attack they lean heavily on Odsonne Édouard (12 goals), W. Said (10 goals), F. Thauvin (9 goals), with creative support from Adrien Thomasson (8 assists), Matthieu Udol (7 assists), F. Thauvin (5 assists), while defensively they have looked fairly stable. Away from home, their record of 7 wins, 2 draws, and 5 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their overall playing style can be described as balanced attacking football. They are not at full strength, with K. Antonio, J. Gradit, R. Gurtner unavailable, although the overall attacking core still looks largely intact.
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Stade Brestois 29 won 4 times, Lens won 8 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 22:26 from Stade Brestois 29's perspective. 9 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 10 matches, with an average of 3.2 goals per game.
Stade Brestois 29
3
7
1
13
2
5
Lineups
Stade Brestois 29
Venezia
Stade Brestois 29
Stade Briochin
Stade Brestois 29
Guingamp
Stade Brestois 29
Al Wakrah
Stade Brestois 29
Concarneau
Stade Brestois 29
Angers
Stade Brestois 29
Strasbourg
Stade Brestois 29
Paris Saint Germain
Stade Brestois 29
Paris FC
Stade Brestois 29
Nantes
Stade Brestois 29
Rennes
Stade Brestois 29
Auxerre
Stade Brestois 29
Monaco
Stade Brestois 29
Le Havre
Stade Brestois 29
Metz
Stade Brestois 29
Marseille
Stade Brestois 29
Lille
Stade Brestois 29
Lorient
Stade Brestois 29
Nice
Stade Brestois 29
Toulouse
Lens
Sunderland
Lens
Charleroi
Lens
Boulogne
Lens
Nice
Lens
Lyon
Lens
Paris Saint Germain
Lens
Nantes
Lens
Nice
Lens
Toulouse
Lens
Toulouse
Lens
Rouen
Lens
Lille
Lens
Angers
Lens
Lorient
Lens
Metz
Lens
Lyon
Lens
Strasbourg
Lens
Monaco
Lens
Paris FC
Lens
Rennes
Stade Brestois 29
Venezia
Stade Brestois 29
Guingamp
Stade Brestois 29
Al Wakrah
Stade Brestois 29
Concarneau
Stade Brestois 29
Angers
Stade Brestois 29
Strasbourg
Stade Brestois 29
Rennes
Stade Brestois 29
Le Havre
Stade Brestois 29
Marseille
Stade Brestois 29
Lorient
Stade Brestois 29
Toulouse
Stade Brestois 29
Auxerre
Stade Brestois 29
Monaco
Stade Brestois 29
Metz
Stade Brestois 29
Lyon
Stade Brestois 29
Paris Saint Germain
Stade Brestois 29
Nantes
Stade Brestois 29
Nice
Stade Brestois 29
Paris FC
Stade Brestois 29
Lille
Lens
Lyon
Lens
Nice
Lens
Lille
Lens
Lorient
Lens
Lyon
Lens
Strasbourg
Lens
Paris FC
Lens
Estac Troyes
Lens
Marseille
Lens
Sochaux
Lens
Toulouse
Lens
Nantes
Lens
Angers
Lens
Monaco
Lens
Metz
Lens
Auxerre
Lens
Rennes
Lens
Paris Saint Germain
Lens
Le Havre
Lens
Toulouse
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 34 | 24 | 4 | 6 | 74:29 | 45 | 76 |
L
W
W
D
W
|
|
| 2 |
Lens
Away
|
34 | 22 | 4 | 8 | 66:35 | 31 | 70 |
W
L
W
D
D
|
| 3 | 34 | 18 | 7 | 9 | 52:37 | 15 | 61 |
L
W
D
W
D
|
|
| 4 | 34 | 18 | 6 | 10 | 53:40 | 13 | 60 |
L
L
W
W
W
|
|
| 5 | 34 | 18 | 5 | 11 | 63:45 | 18 | 59 |
W
W
L
D
L
|
|
| 6 | 34 | 17 | 8 | 9 | 59:50 | 9 | 59 |
L
W
L
W
W
|
|
| 7 | 34 | 16 | 6 | 12 | 60:54 | 6 | 54 |
L
L
W
D
D
|
|
| 8 | 34 | 15 | 8 | 11 | 58:47 | 11 | 53 |
W
W
D
L
W
|
|
| 9 | 34 | 11 | 12 | 11 | 48:51 | -3 | 45 |
L
W
D
L
W
|
|
| 10 | 33 | 12 | 8 | 13 | 47:46 | 1 | 44 |
W
W
D
L
L
|
|
| 11 | 34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 47:50 | -3 | 44 |
W
L
W
L
W
|
|
| 12 |
Stade Brestois 29
Home
|
34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 43:55 | -12 | 39 |
D
L
L
L
D
|
| 13 | 34 | 9 | 9 | 16 | 29:48 | -19 | 36 |
D
D
L
L
D
|
|
| 14 | 34 | 7 | 14 | 13 | 32:44 | -12 | 35 |
W
L
D
D
D
|
|
| 15 | 34 | 8 | 10 | 16 | 34:44 | -10 | 34 |
W
W
W
L
D
|
|
| 16 | 34 | 7 | 11 | 16 | 37:60 | -23 | 32 |
W
D
D
L
D
|
|
| 17 | 33 | 5 | 8 | 20 | 29:52 | -23 | 23 |
L
W
L
L
D
|
|
| 18 | 34 | 3 | 8 | 23 | 32:76 | -44 | 17 |
D
L
L
D
L
|