BELGIUM JUPILER PRO LEAGUE
02.05.2026 18:45
Daio Wasabi Stayen
Referee: J. Boterberg
St. Truiden
Match Timeline
Union St. Gilloise
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟥
12'
Kevin Mac Allister
Union St. Gilloise
🔄
18'
A. Ait El Hadj ↔ F. Leysen
Union St. Gilloise
🟨
33'
Keisuke Goto
St. Truiden
🟨
45'
Adem Zorgane
Union St. Gilloise
🔄
46'
O. Niang ↔ R. Schoofs
Union St. Gilloise
🟨
56'
Christian Burgess
Union St. Gilloise
🔄
63'
I. Sebaoui ↔ K. Matsuzawa
St. Truiden
🟨
67'
Kamiel Van de Perre
Union St. Gilloise
🔄
79'
R. Merlen ↔ O. Diouf
St. Truiden
🔄
85'
J. Pupe ↔ S. Jukleroed
St. Truiden
86'
O. Diouf · Assist: S. Jukleroed
St. Truiden
🔄
89'
K. Van De Perre ↔ M. Fuseini
Union St. Gilloise
🟨
90+7'
Massire Sylla
Union St. Gilloise
🔄
90'
R. Sykes ↔ M. Sylla
Union St. Gilloise
🔄
90+6'
K. Rodriguez ↔ L. Patris
Union St. Gilloise
90'
K. Rodriguez · Assist: R. Schoofs
Union St. Gilloise
90'
R. Ito
St. Truiden

St. Truiden vs Union St. Gilloise Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 52%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 54.7%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 56.8%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
52%
-
BTTS BTTS Yes
54.7%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
56.8%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
-
Correct Score 0-2
-
-
Probability Distribution
St. Truiden Win 35.2%
Draw 12.8%
Union St. Gilloise Win 52%
Expected Goals (xG)
St. Truiden1.26
Union St. Gilloise1.35
Recent Form (Last 5)
St. Truiden St. Truiden
WWDLW
54 GF / 39 GA
Union St. Gilloise Union St. Gilloise
WLDWL
65 GF / 36 GA
Key Stats
1.54
Average Goals Scored
1.51
1.11
Average Goals Conceded
0.84
19
BTTS Yes
19
19
Over 2.5
17
4.49
Shots on Goal
5.3

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

St. Truiden St. Truiden 35 matches
Union St. Gilloise Union St. Gilloise 43 matches
St. Truiden Statistic Union St. Gilloise
20 Wins 26
4 Draws 10
11 Losses 7
54 Goals For 65
39 Goals Against 36
1.54 Avg Goals Scored 1.51
1.11 Avg Goals Conceded 0.84
19 BTTS Yes 19
27 Over 1.5 30
19 Over 2.5 17
9 Over 3.5 11
9 Clean Sheets 19
8 Failed To Score 9
4.49 Shots On Goal 5.3
14 Total Shots 14.56
5.63 Corners 5.42
54.7% Ball Possession 49.4%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From a tactical perspective, this fixture features two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with St. Truiden expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Union St. Gilloise in 3-4-2-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Union St. Gilloise having the stronger overall control. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Union St. Gilloise. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This game has the potential to be open, with both sides capable of creating several scoring chances. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. Union St. Gilloise look sharper on recent form, and that momentum could be important in key phases of the match.

St. Truiden Analysis

Placed 3 with 57 points from 30 outings, St. Truiden continue to operate from a strong competitive position. Their overall return of 18 wins, 3 draws, and 9 losses with goals at 47:35 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by K. Goto (11 goals), R. Ito (9 goals), A. Bertaccini (6 goals), with creative support from K. Goto (7 assists), Ilias Sebaoui (5 assists), Rihito Yamamoto (5 assists), while defensively they have appeared fairly stable. At home, they have returned 10 wins, 1 draws, and 4 losses, a split that suggests a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.

Union St. Gilloise Analysis

Operating from 1 place with 66 points from 30 games, Union St. Gilloise bring one of the stronger season profiles into this match. With 19 wins, 9 draws, and 2 defeats plus a goal balance of 50:17, they continue to show very strong form with results showing strong momentum. Their attacking quality is driven by P. David (9 goals), K. Rodriguez (8 goals), R. Florucz (7 goals), with creative support from A. Zorgane (4 assists), A. Khalaili (4 assists), A. Ait El Hadj (4 assists), and at the back they have appeared very solid. Away from home, their record of 5 wins, 8 draws, and 2 losses points to a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their overall playing style can be described as balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 12 head-to-head meetings, St. Truiden won 2 times, Union St. Gilloise won 8 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 9:20 from St. Truiden's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 2.42 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (87.2%)
Predicted formations: St. Truiden 4-2-3-1 / Union St. Gilloise 3-4-2-1
H2H summary: St. Truiden wins 2, draws 2, Union St. Gilloise wins 8

Standings

Pro League , Championship Round
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 40 28 4 8 91:45 46 57
W D W W W
2 40 25 11 4 66:27 39 53
W D L W L
3 40 22 5 13 61:46 15 43
W L D L W
4 40 15 10 15 59:62 -3 33
L W D D L
5 40 13 12 15 53:57 -4 29
W L D D D
6 40 13 12 15 48:61 -13 29
L D D L W
Champions League
Champions League Qualification
UEFA Europa League Qualification
Qualification Playoffs