Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
100%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS No |
13.3%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
36.9%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
83.4%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 2-0 |
-
|
- |
St Patrick's Athl.
Waterford
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
St Patrick's Athl.
17 matches
Waterford
21 matches
| St Patrick's Athl. | Statistic | Waterford |
|---|---|---|
| 9 | Wins | 5 |
| 5 | Draws | 6 |
| 3 | Losses | 10 |
| 31 | Goals For | 25 |
| 15 | Goals Against | 38 |
| 1.82 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.19 |
| 0.88 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.81 |
| 8 | BTTS Yes | 12 |
| 13 | Over 1.5 | 16 |
| 8 | Over 2.5 | 9 |
| 7 | Over 3.5 | 8 |
| 6 | Clean Sheets | 2 |
| 5 | Failed To Score | 8 |
| 5.6 | Shots On Goal | 3.14 |
| 16.8 | Total Shots | 11.64 |
| 5.33 | Corners | 5.29 |
| 53.1% | Ball Possession | 41% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around St Patrick's Athl.'s more proactive style and Waterford's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with St Patrick's Athl. expected to line up in 4-4-2 and Waterford in 5-3-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Waterford having the stronger overall control. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. St Patrick's Athl. arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 2 with 28 points compared to Waterford in 10 on 6, which underlines the gap in season consistency. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Waterford.
St Patrick's Athl. come into this match from a strong league position, sitting 2 with 28 points from 15 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 8 wins, 4 draws, and 3 losses, while the 27:14 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on R. Edmondson (7 goals), K. Leavy (4 goals), A. Keena (3 goals), with creative support from K. Leavy (2 assists), J. Lennon (2 assists), Z. Elbouzedi (2 assists), and defensively they have been very solid. At home, they have returned 5 wins, 1 draws, and 1 losses, a split that suggests a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.
Waterford are currently 10 in the standings with 6 points from 14 matches. The record of 0 wins, 6 draws, and 8 defeats, together with a 12:28 goal balance, points toward poor form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through T. Lonergan (4 goals), P. Amond (3 goals), John Mahon (2 goals), with creative support from J. Voilas (2 assists), Evan McLaughlin (2 assists), Dean McMenamy (1 assists), while at the back they have looked fairly stable. Away from home, the record of 0 wins, 1 draws, and 6 losses points toward a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, St Patrick's Athl. won 7 times, Waterford won 3 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 25:15 from St Patrick's Athl.'s perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 9 matches, with an average of 2.67 goals per game.
St Patrick's Athl.
10
4
10
3
3
4
Lineups
St Patrick's Athl.
Drogheda United
St Patrick's Athl.
Shamrock Rovers
St Patrick's Athl.
Derry City
St Patrick's Athl.
Shelbourne
St Patrick's Athl.
Sligo Rovers
St Patrick's Athl.
Galway United
St Patrick's Athl.
Bohemians
St Patrick's Athl.
Drogheda United
St Patrick's Athl.
Shamrock Rovers
St Patrick's Athl.
Dundalk
St Patrick's Athl.
Sligo Rovers
St Patrick's Athl.
Waterford
St Patrick's Athl.
Derry City
St Patrick's Athl.
Drogheda United
St Patrick's Athl.
Shelbourne
St Patrick's Athl.
Galway United
St Patrick's Athl.
Dundalk
St Patrick's Athl.
Shamrock Rovers
St Patrick's Athl.
Bohemians
St Patrick's Athl.
Cork City
Waterford
Sligo Rovers
Waterford
Drogheda United
Waterford
Shelbourne
Waterford
Drogheda United
Waterford
Derry City
Waterford
Dundalk
Waterford
Shamrock Rovers
Waterford
Galway United
Waterford
Sligo Rovers
Waterford
Bohemians
Waterford
Shamrock Rovers
Waterford
St Patrick's Athl.
Waterford
Galway United
Waterford
Dundalk
Waterford
Bohemians
Waterford
Derry City
Waterford
Sligo Rovers
Waterford
Drogheda United
Waterford
Shelbourne
Waterford
Bohemians
St Patrick's Athl.
Drogheda United
St Patrick's Athl.
Shelbourne
St Patrick's Athl.
Bohemians
St Patrick's Athl.
Shamrock Rovers
St Patrick's Athl.
Sligo Rovers
St Patrick's Athl.
Derry City
St Patrick's Athl.
Drogheda United
St Patrick's Athl.
Galway United
St Patrick's Athl.
Dundalk
St Patrick's Athl.
Cork City
St Patrick's Athl.
Beşiktaş
St Patrick's Athl.
Kalju Nomme
St Patrick's Athl.
Hegelmann Litauen
Waterford
Drogheda United
Waterford
Shelbourne
Waterford
Shamrock Rovers
Waterford
Sligo Rovers
Waterford
Bohemians
Waterford
Galway United
Waterford
Dundalk
Waterford
Derry City
Waterford
Drogheda United
Waterford
Wexford
Waterford
Cork City
Waterford
Cobh Ramblers
Waterford
Bray Wanderers
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 21 | 12 | 4 | 5 | 32:19 | 13 | 40 |
L
W
W
L
L
|
|
| 2 |
St Patrick's Athl.
Home
|
20 | 10 | 5 | 5 | 33:17 | 16 | 35 |
W
L
D
L
W
|
| 3 | 21 | 9 | 7 | 5 | 32:25 | 7 | 34 |
L
W
L
W
W
|
|
| 4 | 20 | 8 | 8 | 4 | 32:28 | 4 | 32 |
W
W
D
W
L
|
|
| 5 | 20 | 7 | 8 | 5 | 29:27 | 2 | 29 |
W
D
D
W
W
|
|
| 6 | 21 | 5 | 10 | 6 | 26:24 | 2 | 25 |
W
L
D
D
D
|
|
| 7 | 19 | 5 | 6 | 8 | 26:30 | -4 | 21 |
L
D
L
W
L
|
|
| 8 | 20 | 5 | 6 | 9 | 25:34 | -9 | 21 |
L
D
D
L
L
|
|
| 9 | 20 | 5 | 4 | 11 | 15:31 | -16 | 19 |
L
L
W
L
D
|
|
| 10 |
Waterford
Away
|
20 | 2 | 8 | 10 | 25:40 | -15 | 14 |
W
D
L
W
D
|