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18.10.2026 22:20
Estadio Martin Torres
Referee: David Ojeda
Sportivo Trinidense
Match Timeline
Libertad Asuncion
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
VAR
19'
Luis Carlos Abreu Benegas
Sportivo Trinidense
⚽
21'
Clementino González
Sportivo Trinidense
🔄
32'
Nestor Gimenez ↔ J. Estigarribia Meza
Libertad Asuncion
🟨
35'
Nicolás Maná
Sportivo Trinidense
🔄
45'
Federico Carrizo ↔ Hugo Fernandez
Libertad Asuncion
VAR
55'
Elvio de Jesús Vera Brítez
Libertad Asuncion
🟨
58'
Lucas Sanabria
Libertad Asuncion
🟨
58'
Gustavo Aguilar
Libertad Asuncion
🔄
59'
Luis Carlos Abreu Benegas ↔ Tomás Ezequiel Rayer
Sportivo Trinidense
🟨
62'
Clementino González
Sportivo Trinidense
🔄
63'
Nicolás Maná ↔ Junior Samuel Gamarra Figueredo
Sportivo Trinidense
🔄
65'
Ivan Emanuel Ramirez Ferreira ↔ Luciano Nequecaur
Libertad Asuncion
🔄
65'
Agustín Manzur ↔ P. Villalba
Libertad Asuncion
🟨
74'
Luciano Nequecaur
Libertad Asuncion
🔄
79'
Clementino González ↔ Néstor Camacho
Sportivo Trinidense
🔄
80'
Alan Tobias Morinigo ↔ David Villalba
Sportivo Trinidense
🔄
80'
Nelson Ariel Gauto Castillo ↔ Luis De la Cruz
Sportivo Trinidense
🔄
81'
Gustavo Aguilar ↔ Rodrigo Acuña Vera
Libertad Asuncion
🟨
86'
Hugo Fernandez
Libertad Asuncion

Sportivo Trinidense vs Libertad Asuncion Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 53.1%
Odds 2.26
BTTS
Yes
Probability 82.5%
Odds 1.83
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 66.7%
Odds 2.05
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
53.1%
2.26 ▥
BTTS Yes
82.5%
1.83 ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
66.7%
2.05 ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
1.83 ▥
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
6.00 ▥
Correct Score 1-2
-
9.50 ▥
Probability Distribution
Sportivo Trinidense Win 32.4%
Draw 14.5%
Libertad Asuncion Win 53.1%
Expected Goals (xG)
Sportivo Trinidense1.42
Libertad Asuncion1.29
Recent Form (Last 5)
Sportivo Trinidense Sportivo Trinidense
WWDLW
54 GF / 38 GA
Libertad Asuncion Libertad Asuncion
WLDWL
61 GF / 55 GA
Key Stats
1.5
Average Goals Scored
1.45
1.06
Average Goals Conceded
1.31
25
BTTS Yes
21
20
Over 2.5
21
4.31
Shots on Goal
4.5

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Sportivo Trinidense Sportivo Trinidense 36 matches
Libertad Asuncion Libertad Asuncion 42 matches
Sportivo Trinidense Statistic Libertad Asuncion
15 Wins 17
11 Draws 7
10 Losses 18
54 Goals For 61
38 Goals Against 55
1.5 Avg Goals Scored 1.45
1.06 Avg Goals Conceded 1.31
25 BTTS Yes 21
28 Over 1.5 28
20 Over 2.5 21
7 Over 3.5 12
8 Clean Sheets 10
6 Failed To Score 12
4.31 Shots On Goal 4.5
12.22 Total Shots 12.86
4.39 Corners 4.64
40.2% Ball Possession 52.9%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From a tactical perspective, this fixture features two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Sportivo Trinidense expected to line up in 4-1-4-1 and Libertad Asuncion in 4-4-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Libertad Asuncion having the stronger overall control. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Libertad Asuncion.

Sportivo Trinidense Analysis

Sportivo Trinidense come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 4 place with 24 points after 14 matches. With 7 wins, 3 draws, and 4 defeats plus a goal balance of 24:14, they continue to show good form over their recent run. Their attacking quality is driven by T. Rayer (3 goals), L. Abreu (3 goals), A. Morinigo (2 goals), with creative support from A. Morinigo (2 assists), N. Camacho (2 assists), N. Maná (2 assists), and at the back they have appeared very solid. At home, their record of 3 wins, 1 draws, and 3 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their overall playing style can be described as balanced attacking football.

Libertad Asuncion Analysis

Operating from 2 place with 26 points from 13 games, Libertad Asuncion bring one of the stronger season profiles into this match. With 8 wins, 2 draws, and 3 defeats plus a goal balance of 21:14, they continue to show good form over their recent run. Their attacking quality is driven by E. Vera (6 goals), M. Fernández (2 goals), A. Manzur (2 goals), with creative support from A. Benítez (2 assists), I. Ramirez (2 assists), Á. Campuzano (2 assists), and at the back they have appeared very solid. Away from home, their record of 4 wins, 1 draws, and 2 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their overall playing style can be described as balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Sportivo Trinidense won 3 times, Libertad Asuncion won 5 times, while 7 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 14:18 from Sportivo Trinidense's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 10 matches, with an average of 2.13 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (85.5%)
Predicted formations: Sportivo Trinidense 4-1-4-1 / Libertad Asuncion 4-4-2
H2H summary: Sportivo Trinidense wins 3, draws 7, Libertad Asuncion wins 5

Standings

Primera Division: Clausura
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 15 9 3 3 25:10 15 30
W D D W W
2 15 8 5 2 23:8 15 29
W W D D W
3 15 8 4 3 17:16 1 28
L W W D L
4 14 8 3 3 23:16 7 27
D W L D W
5 14 7 3 4 24:14 10 24
D W W L W
6 15 5 7 3 16:14 2 22
L D D W W
7 15 6 3 6 20:16 4 21
D W L L W
8 15 4 7 4 17:18 -1 19
D L L D D
9 14 4 1 9 14:27 -13 13
L L L W L
10 15 3 4 8 15:25 -10 13
L D W D L
11 15 3 2 10 15:27 -12 11
W L L D L
12 14 0 4 10 5:23 -18 4
D D D L L
Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Group Stage)