18.09.2026 19:00
Estadio Martin Torres
Referee: Juan Gabriel Benitez
Sportivo Trinidense
Match Timeline
Club Guarani
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
VAR
17'
Luis Carlos Abreu Benegas
Sportivo Trinidense
🟥
17'
Luis Carlos Abreu Benegas
Sportivo Trinidense
🟨
35'
Clementino González
Sportivo Trinidense
🔄
45'
Carlos Arrua ↔ Fernando Fernandez
Club Guarani
🔄
59'
Tomás Ezequiel Rayer ↔ Joel Ramón Román Ojeda
Sportivo Trinidense
🔄
61'
Maximiliano Nahuel Añasco Dornells ↔ Victor·Cespedes
Club Guarani
🔄
61'
Juan Manuel García ↔ Jorge Recalde
Club Guarani
🔄
65'
Clementino González ↔ Néstor Camacho
Sportivo Trinidense
🔄
65'
Sergio Mendoza ↔ Diego Melgarejo
Sportivo Trinidense
🔄
72'
Alan Tobias Morinigo ↔ Deivis Faustino Barone Mora
Sportivo Trinidense
🔄
73'
Nelson Ariel Gauto Castillo ↔ Diego Lucas González
Sportivo Trinidense
🔄
73'
L. Martínez ↔ J. Llano
Club Guarani
🔄
77'
Diego·Fernandez ↔ P. Coronel
Club Guarani
81'
Fernando Fernandez · Assist: J. Llano
Club Guarani
🟨
90'
J. Llano
Club Guarani

Sportivo Trinidense vs Club Guarani Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home or Draw
Probability 68.7%
Odds 1.33
BTTS
Yes
Probability 67.1%
Odds 1.83
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 51.1%
Odds 1.70
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home or Draw
68.7%
1.33
BTTS Yes
67.1%
1.83
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
51.1%
1.70
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
1.41
HT / FT Draw / Draw
-
4.75
Correct Score 1-1
-
6.00
Probability Distribution
Sportivo Trinidense Win 45.8%
Draw 22.9%
Club Guarani Win 31.3%
Expected Goals (xG)
Sportivo Trinidense1.3
Club Guarani1.1
Recent Form (Last 5)
Sportivo Trinidense Sportivo Trinidense
WWDLW
48 GF / 33 GA
Club Guarani Club Guarani
WLDWL
39 GF / 34 GA
Key Stats
1.5
Average Goals Scored
1.15
1.03
Average Goals Conceded
1
22
BTTS Yes
17
18
Over 2.5
13
4.34
Shots on Goal
3.82

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Sportivo Trinidense Sportivo Trinidense 32 matches
Club Guarani Club Guarani 34 matches
Sportivo Trinidense Statistic Club Guarani
13 Wins 10
10 Draws 14
9 Losses 10
48 Goals For 39
33 Goals Against 34
1.5 Avg Goals Scored 1.15
1.03 Avg Goals Conceded 1
22 BTTS Yes 17
25 Over 1.5 22
18 Over 2.5 13
6 Over 3.5 7
8 Clean Sheets 13
5 Failed To Score 11
4.34 Shots On Goal 3.82
12.25 Total Shots 11
4.16 Corners 4.18
40.4% Ball Possession 46.1%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

There is very little separating these two teams on paper, and two sides with a fairly similar football identity points toward a competitive game. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Club Guarani. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Sportivo Trinidense expected to line up in 4-4-2 and Club Guarani in 4-1-4-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Club Guarani having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

Sportivo Trinidense Analysis

Sportivo Trinidense are currently 6 in the standings with 14 points from 9 matches. Their overall return of 4 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses with goals at 15:8 reflects poor form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by L. Abreu (3 goals), T. Rayer (2 goals), N. Maná (1 goals), with creative support from N. Maná (2 assists), A. Morinigo (2 assists), L. Abreu (1 assists), while defensively they have appeared very solid. At home, the record of 1 wins, 1 draws, and 2 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.

Club Guarani Analysis

So far, Club Guarani have built a campaign that leaves them 8 in the table on 13 points from 9 matches. Their overall return of 3 wins, 4 draws, and 2 losses with goals at 10:8 reflects poor form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by J. García (2 goals), M. López (1 goals), D. Fernández (1 goals), with creative support from M. López (1 assists), René Rodríguez (1 assists), M. Añasco (1 assists), while defensively they have appeared very solid. Away from home, the record of 1 wins, 3 draws, and 0 losses points toward a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Sportivo Trinidense won 6 times, Club Guarani won 2 times, while 7 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 16:8 from Sportivo Trinidense's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 1.6 goals per game.

1X2: Home or Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (77.1%)
Predicted formations: Sportivo Trinidense 4-4-2 / Club Guarani 4-1-4-1
H2H summary: Sportivo Trinidense wins 6, draws 7, Club Guarani wins 2

Standings

Primera Division: Clausura
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 11 7 2 2 19:12 7 23
D W W L D
2 11 7 1 3 20:9 11 22
W W W D W
3 11 6 3 2 18:6 12 21
W W L W W
4 11 6 3 2 12:11 1 21
L L W D W
5 11 5 2 4 18:10 8 17
L W L W L
6 11 4 5 2 12:9 3 17
W D W D D
7 11 4 5 2 13:12 1 17
D W W L D
8 11 5 2 4 14:10 4 17
W D W W D
9 11 4 1 6 12:20 -8 13
W L L D W
10 11 2 2 7 11:21 -10 8
L L L W L
11 11 2 1 8 13:24 -11 7
L L L L L
12 11 0 1 10 3:21 -18 1
L L L L L
Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Group Stage)