05.09.2026 18:00
Republica de Italia Stadium
Sportivo Italiano
Match Timeline
Flandria
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
16'
R. De La Riva
Flandria
🟨
27'
J. Mendoza
Flandria
🟨
29'
M. Lopez
Flandria
🟨
45+2'
F. Real
Flandria
45'
J. Rivero
Sportivo Italiano
🔄
46'
A. Dulon ↔ N. Diosquez
Flandria
53'
K. Gimenez
Sportivo Italiano
🔄
64'
F. Real ↔ M. Correa
Flandria
🔄
64'
M. Lopez ↔ G. Calabria
Flandria
🔄
70'
L. Laborda ↔ R. Fortino
Sportivo Italiano
🔄
70'
K. Gimenez ↔ T. Hirigoyen
Sportivo Italiano
🟨
71'
Sportivo Italiano
Sportivo Italiano
🔄
79'
L. Fantino ↔ A. Daivez
Sportivo Italiano
🔄
79'
F. Molina ↔ P. Caceres
Sportivo Italiano
🔄
86'
F. Centurion ↔ J. De Cuadro
Sportivo Italiano
🔄
86'
D. Spitale ↔ A. Prokop
Flandria
🔄
86'
R. De La Riva ↔ A. Casal
Flandria
🟨
90'
Sportivo Italiano
Sportivo Italiano
90'
J. De Cuadro
Sportivo Italiano

Sportivo Italiano vs Flandria Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 79.7%
Odds 2.17
BTTS
Yes
Probability 62.8%
Odds 2.20
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 58.6%
Odds 2.72
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
79.7%
2.17
BTTS Yes
62.8%
2.20
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
58.6%
2.72
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
3.75
Correct Score 2-1
-
11.00
Probability Distribution
Sportivo Italiano Win 79.7%
Draw 5.4%
Flandria Win 14.9%
Expected Goals (xG)
Sportivo Italiano1.16
Flandria0.81
Recent Form (Last 5)
Sportivo Italiano Sportivo Italiano
WWDLW
38 GF / 25 GA
Flandria Flandria
WLDWL
28 GF / 39 GA
Key Stats
1.15
Average Goals Scored
0.85
0.76
Average Goals Conceded
1.18
14
BTTS Yes
13
12
Over 2.5
10
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Sportivo Italiano Sportivo Italiano 33 matches
Flandria Flandria 33 matches
Sportivo Italiano Statistic Flandria
15 Wins 9
10 Draws 8
8 Losses 16
38 Goals For 28
25 Goals Against 39
1.15 Avg Goals Scored 0.85
0.76 Avg Goals Conceded 1.18
14 BTTS Yes 13
20 Over 1.5 19
12 Over 2.5 10
4 Over 3.5 6
14 Clean Sheets 12
11 Failed To Score 13
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by Sportivo Italiano's more proactive style and Flandria's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Sportivo Italiano arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 6 with 52 points compared to Flandria in 19 on 32, which underlines the gap in season consistency. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Flandria. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Flandria having the stronger overall control.

Sportivo Italiano Analysis

Sportivo Italiano sit 6 with 52 points after 32 league matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 14 wins, 10 draws, and 8 losses, while the 36:25 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on their main attacking players, and defensively they have been very solid. At home, they have returned 6 wins, 6 draws, and 4 losses, a split that suggests a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.

Flandria Analysis

With 32 points from 32 games and a place of 19, Flandria still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Across the season they have posted 8 wins, 8 draws, and 16 defeats, and the 26:39 goal record continues to suggest poor form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on their main attacking players, while at the back they have been fairly stable. Away from home, they have returned 2 wins, 4 draws, and 10 losses, which indicates a weak split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 9 head-to-head meetings, Sportivo Italiano won 0 times, Flandria won 4 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 2:8 from Sportivo Italiano's perspective. 0 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 1.11 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (94.6%)
H2H summary: Sportivo Italiano wins 0, draws 5, Flandria wins 4

Standings

Prim B Metro
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 36 21 8 7 56:29 27 71
W W W L W
2 36 18 12 6 48:24 24 66
L W W W W
3 36 18 10 8 37:19 18 64
D L W W D
4 36 17 12 7 42:24 18 63
L L W D W
5 36 17 12 7 38:21 17 63
W L L D D
6 36 16 11 9 41:27 14 59
D L W W L
7 36 16 10 10 40:35 5 58
W W L D W
8 36 15 9 12 38:38 0 54
W W D W L
9 36 14 11 11 38:33 5 53
W D W W L
10 36 12 12 12 43:47 -4 48
L D D D W
11 36 11 14 11 35:37 -2 47
W W D L W
12 36 10 14 12 38:38 0 44
D L L W W
13 36 11 11 14 32:36 -4 44
W L L D L
14 36 10 13 13 36:50 -14 43
W L D L L
15 36 9 14 13 35:39 -4 41
D D D L W
16 36 9 14 13 29:36 -7 41
D W L L L
17 36 9 13 14 30:37 -7 40
L W D D W
18 36 10 8 18 32:45 -13 38
L W L W L
19 36 8 13 15 31:38 -7 37
L W D D W
20 36 7 14 15 21:37 -16 35
D L D D L
21 36 4 19 13 18:33 -15 31
L L W L L
22 36 1 12 23 23:58 -35 15
L D L L L
Promotion - Primera Nacional
Promotion - Primera B (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Primera C (Apertura)