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17.10.2026 18:00
Republica de Italia Stadium

Sportivo Italiano vs Arsenal Sarandi Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 60.3%
Odds 2.60
BTTS
No
Probability 50.8%
Odds 1.67
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 51.1%
Odds 1.50
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
60.3%
2.60 ▥
BTTS No
50.8%
1.67 ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
51.1%
1.50 ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
4.33 ▥
Correct Score 2-0
-
12.00 ▥
Probability Distribution
Sportivo Italiano Win 60.3%
Draw 5.3%
Arsenal Sarandi Win 34.5%
Expected Goals (xG)
Sportivo Italiano0.99
Arsenal Sarandi1.11
Recent Form (Last 5)
Sportivo Italiano Sportivo Italiano
WWDLW
47 GF / 29 GA
Arsenal Sarandi Arsenal Sarandi
WLDWL
53 GF / 26 GA
Key Stats
1.21
Average Goals Scored
1.36
0.74
Average Goals Conceded
0.67
17
BTTS Yes
15
15
Over 2.5
14
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Sportivo Italiano Sportivo Italiano 39 matches
Arsenal Sarandi Arsenal Sarandi 39 matches
Sportivo Italiano Statistic Arsenal Sarandi
19 Wins 20
11 Draws 12
9 Losses 7
47 Goals For 53
29 Goals Against 26
1.21 Avg Goals Scored 1.36
0.74 Avg Goals Conceded 0.67
17 BTTS Yes 15
24 Over 1.5 24
15 Over 2.5 14
5 Over 3.5 6
16 Clean Sheets 19
13 Failed To Score 11
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This contest looks finely balanced, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity suggesting a close tactical battle. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Arsenal Sarandi having the stronger overall control. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Arsenal Sarandi. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This game has the potential to be open, with both sides capable of creating several scoring chances. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

Sportivo Italiano Analysis

Operating from 4 place with 65 points from 38 games, Sportivo Italiano bring one of the stronger season profiles into this match. With 18 wins, 11 draws, and 9 defeats plus a goal balance of 45:28, they continue to show good form over their recent run. Their attacking quality is driven by their main attacking players, and at the back they have appeared fairly stable. At home, the split of 8 wins, 7 draws, and 4 losses supports the view of a very strong split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their football identity still points toward balanced attacking football.

Arsenal Sarandi Analysis

Arsenal Sarandi approach this game with the confidence of a side sitting 2 on 69 points after 38 outings. With 19 wins, 12 draws, and 7 defeats plus a goal balance of 50:25, they continue to show good form over their recent run. Their attacking quality is driven by their main attacking players, and at the back they have appeared very solid. Away from home, they have managed 7 wins, 8 draws, and 4 losses, which underlines a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In stylistic terms they continue to show balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 1 head-to-head meetings, Sportivo Italiano won 1 times, Arsenal Sarandi won 0 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 3:1 from Sportivo Italiano's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 matches, with an average of 4 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (94.7%)
H2H summary: Sportivo Italiano wins 1, draws 0, Arsenal Sarandi wins 0

Standings

Prim B Metro
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 39 23 8 8 63:30 33 77
W L W W W
2 39 20 12 7 53:26 27 72
W L W L W
3 39 19 11 9 47:29 18 68
W W W D L
4 39 19 11 9 41:24 17 68
D L W D L
5 39 17 14 8 39:24 15 65
D L D W L
6 39 17 13 9 44:30 14 64
D L L L L
7 39 17 10 12 42:38 4 61
D W W W W
8 39 17 10 12 42:39 3 61
L W L W W
9 39 14 14 11 39:34 5 56
D D D W D
10 39 13 13 13 47:51 -4 52
D W L L D
11 39 12 14 13 40:44 -4 50
L W L W W
12 39 11 14 14 40:43 -3 47
L L W D L
13 39 11 14 14 37:43 -6 47
L W W D D
14 39 10 15 14 37:52 -15 45
D D L W L
15 39 11 11 17 34:41 -7 44
L L L W L
16 39 9 17 13 32:39 -7 44
D D D D W
17 39 10 14 15 32:40 -8 44
D W L L W
18 39 9 15 15 25:37 -12 42
W D W D L
19 39 11 9 19 35:48 -13 42
W D L L W
20 39 9 14 16 33:40 -7 41
L D W L W
21 39 6 20 13 22:35 -13 38
W W D L L
22 39 1 13 25 27:64 -37 16
D L L L D
Promotion - Primera Nacional
Promotion - Primera B (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Primera C (Apertura)