02.09.2026 19:00
Estadio Ameliano Villeta
Referee: Juan Gabriel Benitez, Paraguay
Sportivo Ameliano
Match Timeline
Sportivo Trinidense
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
22'
C. Gonzalez · Assist: N. Mana
Sportivo Trinidense
🟨
35'
Nicolás Maná
Sportivo Trinidense
🟨
51'
Axel Cañete
Sportivo Trinidense
🟥
54'
Marcelo Camargo
Sportivo Ameliano
🔄
56'
J. Gamarra ↔ A. Morinigo
Sportivo Trinidense
🔄
61'
V. Larralde ↔ E. Moreira
Sportivo Ameliano
🔄
61'
A. Contrera ↔ L. Ayala
Sportivo Ameliano
🔄
61'
P. Aranda ↔ R. Peralta
Sportivo Ameliano
62'
L. Abreu · Assist: A. Morinigo
Sportivo Trinidense
🔄
63'
A. Canete ↔ A. Ruiz Diaz
Sportivo Trinidense
🔄
63'
N. Mana ↔ T. Rayer
Sportivo Trinidense
🔄
68'
L. Ortiz ↔ C. Ocampos
Sportivo Ameliano
🔄
68'
B. Valdez ↔ D. Villalba
Sportivo Trinidense
🔄
68'
L. Abreu ↔ F. Barone
Sportivo Trinidense
78'
F. Barone
Sportivo Trinidense
🔄
79'
R. Torales ↔ E. Paez
Sportivo Ameliano
🟨
82'
Agustín da Silveira
Sportivo Trinidense

Sportivo Ameliano vs Sportivo Trinidense Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 50%
Odds 2.63
BTTS
Yes
Probability 75.1%
Odds 1.73
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 64.5%
Odds 2.18
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
50%
2.63
BTTS Yes
75.1%
1.73
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
64.5%
2.18
Corners O/U Under 10.5 Corners
92%
1.33
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
6.00
Correct Score 1-2
-
10.00
Probability Distribution
Sportivo Ameliano Win 36.1%
Draw 13.9%
Sportivo Trinidense Win 50%
Expected Goals (xG)
Sportivo Ameliano1.16
Sportivo Trinidense1.23
Recent Form (Last 5)
Sportivo Ameliano Sportivo Ameliano
WWDLW
36 GF / 28 GA
Sportivo Trinidense Sportivo Trinidense
WLDWL
41 GF / 30 GA
Key Stats
1.24
Average Goals Scored
1.41
0.97
Average Goals Conceded
1.03
19
BTTS Yes
20
10
Over 2.5
15
3.62
Shots on Goal
4.17

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Sportivo Ameliano Sportivo Ameliano 29 matches
Sportivo Trinidense Sportivo Trinidense 29 matches
Sportivo Ameliano Statistic Sportivo Trinidense
10 Wins 11
13 Draws 10
6 Losses 8
36 Goals For 41
28 Goals Against 30
1.24 Avg Goals Scored 1.41
0.97 Avg Goals Conceded 1.03
19 BTTS Yes 20
21 Over 1.5 22
10 Over 2.5 15
4 Over 3.5 5
6 Clean Sheets 7
5 Failed To Score 5
3.62 Shots On Goal 4.17
11.62 Total Shots 11.79
3.93 Corners 4.03
50.4% Ball Possession 39.8%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match looks like a contest between two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Sportivo Trinidense.

Sportivo Ameliano Analysis

So far, Sportivo Ameliano have built a campaign that leaves them 6 in the table on 9 points from 6 matches. Their overall return of 2 wins, 3 draws, and 1 losses with goals at 8:6 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by Estivel Moreira (2 goals), Raúl Cabral (1 goals), Richard Torales (1 goals), with creative support from Fabián Franco (1 assists), Carlos Favero (1 assists), Bruno López (1 assists), while defensively they have appeared very solid. At home, they have returned 2 wins, 2 draws, and 0 losses, a split that suggests a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.

Sportivo Trinidense Analysis

Sportivo Trinidense come into this match from a strong league position, sitting 3 with 11 points from 6 matches. The record of 3 wins, 2 draws, and 1 defeats, together with a 11:5 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through Luis Abreu (2 goals), Nicolás Maná (1 goals), Tomas Rayer (1 goals), with creative support from Luis Abreu (1 assists), Nicolás Maná (1 assists), Gustavo Viera (1 assists), while at the back they have looked very solid. Away from home, their split return of 2 wins, 1 draws, and 1 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Sportivo Ameliano won 4 times, Sportivo Trinidense won 9 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 10:21 from Sportivo Ameliano's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 2.07 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (86.1%)
Predicted formations: Sportivo Ameliano 4-1-4-1 / Sportivo Trinidense 4-1-4-1
H2H summary: Sportivo Ameliano wins 4, draws 2, Sportivo Trinidense wins 9

Standings

Primera Division: Clausura
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 9 6 3 0 12:6 6 21
W D W D W
2 9 6 1 2 16:11 5 19
W L D W W
3 9 5 1 3 14:9 5 16
W D W W W
4 9 4 3 2 14:6 8 15
L W W W D
5 9 4 2 3 15:8 7 14
L W L D D
6 9 3 4 2 11:11 0 13
W L D W L
7 9 3 4 2 10:8 2 13
W D D D L
8 9 4 1 4 12:9 3 13
W W D L W
9 9 3 1 5 11:17 -6 10
L D W L L
10 9 2 2 5 11:19 -8 8
L W L D W
11 9 2 1 6 12:20 -8 7
L L L L L
12 9 0 1 8 3:17 -14 1
L L L L L
Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Group Stage)