08.08.2026 19:00
Sportivo Ameliano
Match Timeline
Cerro Porteno
Sportivo Ameliano vs Cerro Porteno Prediction & Match Analysis
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
1X2
Home or Draw
BTTS
Yes
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
All Markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home or Draw |
63.6%
|
- | |
| BTTS | Yes |
63.2%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
58.6%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
71.8%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 2-1 |
-
|
- |
Probability Distribution
Sportivo Ameliano Win 38.2%
Draw 25.4%
Cerro Porteno Win 36.4%
Expected Goals (xG)
Sportivo Ameliano1.05
Cerro Porteno1.21
Recent Form (Last 5)
Sportivo Ameliano
WWDLW
30 GF / 24 GA
Cerro Porteno
WLDWL
41 GF / 25 GA
Key Stats
1.2
Average Goals Scored
1.37
0.96
Average Goals Conceded
0.83
16
BTTS Yes
11
8
Over 2.5
10
3.52
Shots on Goal
4.67
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Sportivo Ameliano
25 matches
Cerro Porteno
30 matches
| Sportivo Ameliano | Statistic | Cerro Porteno |
|---|---|---|
| 8 | Wins | 16 |
| 12 | Draws | 6 |
| 5 | Losses | 8 |
| 30 | Goals For | 41 |
| 24 | Goals Against | 25 |
| 1.2 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.37 |
| 0.96 | Avg Goals Conceded | 0.83 |
| 16 | BTTS Yes | 11 |
| 18 | Over 1.5 | 21 |
| 8 | Over 2.5 | 10 |
| 3 | Over 3.5 | 4 |
| 5 | Clean Sheets | 15 |
| 5 | Failed To Score | 7 |
| 3.52 | Shots On Goal | 4.67 |
| 11.48 | Total Shots | 12.53 |
| 4 | Corners | 4.43 |
| 51% | Ball Possession | 53.5% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
H2H Analysis
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Sportivo Ameliano won 2 times, Cerro Porteno won 11 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 9:23 from Sportivo Ameliano's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 2.13 goals per game.
1X2: Home or Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (74.6%)
Predicted formations: Sportivo Ameliano 4-1-4-1 / Cerro Porteno 4-1-4-1
H2H summary: Sportivo Ameliano wins 2, draws 2, Cerro Porteno wins 11
Standings
Primera Division: Clausura
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 19:12 | 7 | 23 |
D
W
W
L
D
|
|
| 2 | 11 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 20:9 | 11 | 22 |
W
W
W
D
W
|
|
| 3 | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 18:6 | 12 | 21 |
W
W
L
W
W
|
|
| 4 | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 12:11 | 1 | 21 |
L
L
W
D
W
|
|
| 5 | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 18:10 | 8 | 17 |
L
W
L
W
L
|
|
| 6 | 11 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 12:9 | 3 | 17 |
W
D
W
D
D
|
|
| 7 |
Sportivo Ameliano
Home
|
11 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 13:12 | 1 | 17 |
D
W
W
L
D
|
| 8 |
Cerro Porteno
Away
|
11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 14:10 | 4 | 17 |
W
D
W
W
D
|
| 9 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 11:20 | -9 | 10 |
L
L
D
W
L
|
|
| 10 | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 11:21 | -10 | 8 |
L
L
L
W
L
|
|
| 11 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 13:23 | -10 | 7 |
L
L
L
L
L
|
|
| 12 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 3:21 | -18 | 1 |
L
L
L
L
L
|
Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Group Stage)