BRAZIL SERIE B
--.--.---- --:--
Estadio Adelmar da Costa Carvalho
Referee: L. Guimaraes
Sport Recife
Match Timeline
Novorizontino
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
16'
Tavinho
Novorizontino
🔄
46'
Clayson ↔ de Pena Carlos
Sport Recife
🔄
46'
Ze Gabriel ↔ Iury Castilho
Sport Recife
🔄
46'
Tavinho ↔ Vinicius Paiva
Novorizontino
52'
Pedro Perotti · Assist: de Pena Carlos
Sport Recife
🟨
55'
Juninho
Novorizontino
🔄
59'
Madson ↔ Augusto
Sport Recife
🔄
60'
Juninho ↔ Romulo
Novorizontino
🔄
60'
Ivan Alvarino ↔ Kauan Alemao
Novorizontino
🟨
63'
Carlos De Pena
Sport Recife
🔄
67'
Habraao ↔ Patrick
Sport Recife
🔄
75'
Diego Galo ↔ Helio Borges
Novorizontino
🔄
77'
Biel Fonseca ↔ Yago Felipe
Sport Recife
🟨
81'
Luís Oyama
Novorizontino
🔄
81'
Luis Oyama ↔ C. Ortiz
Novorizontino
🟨
90+6'
Felipinho
Sport Recife
🟨
90+5'
Perotti
Sport Recife
🟨
90+1'
Iury Castilho
Sport Recife
🟨
90+6'
Hélio Borges
Novorizontino
🟨
90+2'
Patrick
Novorizontino

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 83.2%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 74.2%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 56.1%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
83.2%
-
BTTS BTTS Yes
74.2%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
56.1%
-
Probability Distribution
Sport Recife Win 31.5%
Draw 16.8%
Novorizontino Win 51.7%
Expected Goals (xG)
Sport Recife1
Novorizontino1.16
Recent Form (Last 5)
Sport Recife Sport Recife
WWDLW
5 GF / 4 GA
Novorizontino Novorizontino
WLDWL
7 GF / 5 GA
Key Stats
1
Average Goals Scored
1.4
0.8
Average Goals Conceded
1
3
BTTS Yes
3
2
Over 2.5
3
4.4
Shots on Goal
5.4

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Sport Recife Sport Recife 5 matches
Novorizontino Novorizontino 5 matches
Sport Recife Statistic Novorizontino
1 Wins 2
4 Draws 2
0 Losses 1
5 Goals For 7
4 Goals Against 5
1 Avg Goals Scored 1.4
0.8 Avg Goals Conceded 1
3 BTTS Yes 3
3 Over 1.5 4
2 Over 2.5 3
1 Over 3.5 1
2 Clean Sheets 2
2 Failed To Score 1
4.4 Shots On Goal 5.4
13.2 Total Shots 17.4
4.8 Corners 7.6
53.6% Ball Possession 49.4%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Sport Recife expected to line up in 4-3-3 and Novorizontino in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Novorizontino having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. Novorizontino carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 5 with 8 points while Sport Recife sit 14 on 7, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Novorizontino.

Sport Recife Analysis

Sport Recife approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 14 with 7 points from 5 matches. The overall return of 1 wins, 4 draws, and 0 defeats with a 5:4 goal balance points toward poor form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on Chrystian Barletta (2 goals), Pedro Perotti (2 goals), de Pena Carlos (1 goals), with creative support from Augusto (1 assists), Felipinho (1 assists), Marlon Douglas (1 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. At home, the split record of 0 wins, 2 draws, and 0 losses points to a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests balanced attacking football.

Novorizontino Analysis

Placed 5 with 8 points from 5 outings, Novorizontino continue to operate from a strong competitive position. Across the campaign, they have posted 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 losses, while the 5:4 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on Carlao (2 goals), Tavinho (2 goals), Diego Galo (1 goals), with creative support from Juninho (2 assists), Romulo (2 assists), Robson (1 assists), and defensively they have been very solid. Away from home, the record of 1 wins, 1 draws, and 0 losses points toward a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 7 head-to-head meetings, Sport Recife won 4 times, Novorizontino won 1 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 7:3 from Sport Recife's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 1.43 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (83.2%)
Predicted formations: Sport Recife 4-3-3 / Novorizontino 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Sport Recife wins 4, draws 2, Novorizontino wins 1
Stats
Sport Recife Sport Recife
Novorizontino Novorizontino
Shots on Goal
5
Shots on Goal
4
Shots off Goal
4
Shots off Goal
6
Blocked Shots
1
Blocked Shots
1
3 Corner Kicks 5
13 Fouls 21
2 Offsides 1
56% Ball Possession 44%
10 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Goal 4
4 Shots off Goal 6
1 Blocked Shots 1
8 Shots insidebox 4
2 Shots outsidebox 6
4 Goalkeeper Saves 3
402 Total passes 302
338 Passes accurate 239
1.50 expected_goals 0.65
🟨 4 Yellow Cards 5 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Sport Recife
Formation
Novorizontino
Thiago Couto
Thiago Couto
Madson
Madson
Benevenuto
Benevenuto
Habraao
Habraao
Felipinho
Felipinho
Ze Gabriel
Ze Gabriel
Biel Fonseca
Biel Fonseca
Chrystian Barletta
Chrystian Barletta
Ze Lucas
Ze Lucas
Clayson
Clayson
Pedro Perotti
Pedro Perotti
Cesar Augusto
Cesar Augusto
Ivan Alvarino
Ivan Alvarino
Dantas
Dantas
Patrick
Patrick
Maykon Jesus
Maykon Jesus
Tavinho
Tavinho
Matheus Bianqui
Matheus Bianqui
Luis Oyama
Luis Oyama
Diego Galo
Diego Galo
Robson
Robson
Juninho
Juninho
Sport Recife 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
26
Thiago Couto
G
13
Madson
↓ 59'
D
5
Benevenuto
D
28
Habraao
↓ 67'
D
60
Felipinho
🟨 90+6'
D
23
Ze Gabriel
↓ 46'
M
6
Biel Fonseca
↓ 77'
M
30
Chrystian Barletta
M
58
Ze Lucas
M
25
Clayson
↓ 46'
M
9
Pedro Perotti
⚽ 52' 🟨 90+5'
F
Substitutes
1
Halls
G
10
de Pena Carlos
🎯 52' ↑ 46' 🟨 63'
M
7
Yago Felipe
↑ 77'
M
95
Iury Castilho
↑ 46' 🟨 90+1'
F
48
Pedro Martins
M
63
Patrick
↑ 67'
D
31
Marlon Douglas
F
11
Gustavo Maia
F
8
Max Alves
M
96
Edson Lucas
D
65
Dede
F
68
Augusto
↑ 59'
D
Novorizontino 4-4-2
Starting XI
31
Cesar Augusto
G
22
Ivan Alvarino
↓ 60'
D
25
Dantas
D
4
Patrick
🟨 90+2'
D
66
Maykon Jesus
D
15
Tavinho
↓ 46' 🟨 16'
M
17
Matheus Bianqui
M
6
Luis Oyama
↓ 81' 🟨 81'
M
19
Diego Galo
↓ 75'
M
11
Robson
F
50
Juninho
↓ 60' 🟨 55'
F
Substitutes
29
Paulo Henrique
G
10
Romulo
↑ 60'
M
18
Leo Naldi
M
21
Kauan Alemao
↑ 60'
D
8
C. Ortiz
↑ 81'
F
77
Helio Borges
↑ 75' 🟨 90+6'
F
16
Vinicius Paiva
↑ 46'
F
24
J. Lora
D
9
Carlao
F
3
Carlinhos
D
7
Ronald Barcellos
F
Last matches: Sport Recife
22.07.26
Ser
Sport Recife
Goias
1
1
D
18.07.26
Ser
Sport Recife
Operario-PR
2
2
D
10.07.26
Ser
Sport Recife
Botafogo SP
3
3
D
04.07.26
Ser
Sport Recife
Criciuma
0
1
L
28.06.26
Ser
Sport Recife
Fortaleza EC
1
2
L
19.06.26
Ser
Sport Recife
Atletico Goianiense
1
1
D
14.06.26
Ser
Sport Recife
São Bernardo
0
0
D
11.06.26
Ser
Sport Recife
Athletic Club
1
1
D
30.05.26
Ser
Sport Recife
Nautico Recife
2
0
W
23.05.26
Ser
Sport Recife
Juventude
1
0
W
17.05.26
Ser
Sport Recife
CRB
1
2
L
09.05.26
Ser
Sport Recife
Ponte Preta
3
1
W
03.05.26
Ser
Sport Recife
Ceara
2
0
W
18.04.26
Ser
Sport Recife
America Mineiro
0
0
D
11.04.26
Ser
Sport Recife
Avai
2
2
D
04.04.26
Ser
Sport Recife
Londrina
2
1
W
01.04.26
Ser
Sport Recife
Vila Nova
1
1
D
21.03.26
Ser
Sport Recife
Cuiaba
0
0
D
Last matches: Novorizontino
21.07.26
Ser
Novorizontino
Criciuma
0
1
L
18.07.26
Ser
Novorizontino
Fortaleza EC
0
1
L
12.07.26
Ser
Novorizontino
Operario-PR
1
2
L
04.07.26
Ser
Novorizontino
Atletico Goianiense
3
0
W
26.06.26
Ser
Novorizontino
Vila Nova
2
1
W
22.06.26
Ser
Novorizontino
Ponte Preta
2
0
W
14.06.26
Ser
Novorizontino
Nautico Recife
2
2
D
10.06.26
Ser
Novorizontino
Goias
4
0
W
31.05.26
Ser
Novorizontino
São Bernardo
1
1
D
23.05.26
Ser
Novorizontino
Ceara
2
1
W
16.05.26
Ser
Novorizontino
Cuiaba
0
0
D
10.05.26
Ser
Novorizontino
Botafogo SP
1
0
W
03.05.26
Ser
Novorizontino
Avai
3
3
D
19.04.26
Ser
Novorizontino
Athletic Club
2
1
W
12.04.26
Ser
Novorizontino
America Mineiro
3
0
W
05.04.26
Ser
Novorizontino
CRB
1
1
D
31.03.26
Ser
Novorizontino
Juventude
0
0
D
22.03.26
Ser
Novorizontino
Londrina
1
3
L
H2H: Sport Recife vs Novorizontino
25.04.26
H2H
Sport Recife
Novorizontino
1
0
W
11.10.24
H2H
Novorizontino
Sport Recife
1
3
W
25.06.24
H2H
Sport Recife
Novorizontino
1
2
L
05.08.23
H2H
Sport Recife
Novorizontino
1
0
W
30.04.23
H2H
Novorizontino
Sport Recife
0
0
D
30.08.22
H2H
Sport Recife
Novorizontino
1
0
W
18.05.22
H2H
Novorizontino
Sport Recife
0
0
D
Last matches: Sport Recife
18.07.26
Ser
Sport Recife
Operario-PR
2
2
D
10.07.26
Ser
Sport Recife
Botafogo SP
3
3
D
19.06.26
Ser
Sport Recife
Atletico Goianiense
1
1
D
11.06.26
Ser
Sport Recife
Athletic Club
1
1
D
30.05.26
Ser
Sport Recife
Nautico Recife
2
0
W
17.05.26
Ser
Sport Recife
CRB
1
2
L
03.05.26
Ser
Sport Recife
Ceara
2
0
W
11.04.26
Ser
Sport Recife
Avai
2
2
D
01.04.26
Ser
Sport Recife
Vila Nova
1
1
D
H2H at home: Sport Recife
25.04.26
H2H
Sport Recife
Novorizontino
1
0
W
25.06.24
H2H
Sport Recife
Novorizontino
1
2
L
05.08.23
H2H
Sport Recife
Novorizontino
1
0
W
30.08.22
H2H
Sport Recife
Novorizontino
1
0
W
Last matches: Novorizontino
18.07.26
Ser
Novorizontino
Fortaleza EC
0
1
L
12.07.26
Ser
Novorizontino
Operario-PR
1
2
L
22.06.26
Ser
Novorizontino
Ponte Preta
2
0
W
10.06.26
Ser
Novorizontino
Goias
4
0
W
31.05.26
Ser
Novorizontino
São Bernardo
1
1
D
16.05.26
Ser
Novorizontino
Cuiaba
0
0
D
03.05.26
Ser
Novorizontino
Avai
3
3
D
12.04.26
Ser
Novorizontino
America Mineiro
3
0
W
31.03.26
Ser
Novorizontino
Juventude
0
0
D
H2H away: Novorizontino
25.04.26
H2H
Sport Recife
Novorizontino
1
0
L
25.06.24
H2H
Sport Recife
Novorizontino
1
2
W
05.08.23
H2H
Sport Recife
Novorizontino
1
0
L
30.08.22
H2H
Sport Recife
Novorizontino
1
0
L

Standings

Serie B
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 19 11 6 2 23:12 11 39
W W W W W
2 19 10 5 4 27:22 5 35
W D W W W
3 19 10 4 5 27:22 5 34
W L L W L
4 19 9 5 5 21:12 9 32
L W W D W
5 19 9 4 6 22:19 3 31
L W L W W
6 19 8 6 5 28:18 10 30
L L L W W
7 19 8 5 6 21:25 -4 29
D W D W W
8 19 7 7 5 20:19 1 28
W D W L W
9 19 6 10 3 24:18 6 28
D D D L L
10 19 7 6 6 25:19 6 27
L D D L L
11 19 6 9 4 18:17 1 27
W D D L W
12 19 7 5 7 29:32 -3 26
W W D L W
13 19 7 3 9 24:24 0 24
W L L D L
14 19 6 6 7 24:20 4 24
W D D W L
15 19 5 9 5 14:14 0 24
L L D W D
16 19 5 5 9 26:27 -1 20
L D D W D
17 19 5 5 9 21:26 -5 20
W D W L L
18 19 4 7 8 16:22 -6 19
L D D L L
19 19 2 2 15 14:38 -24 8
L L L L L
20 19 1 5 13 13:31 -18 8
L D D L L
Promotion
Promotion Play-offs
Relegation