Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | No Draw |
83.2%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS Yes |
74.2%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
56.1%
|
- |
Sport Recife
Novorizontino
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Sport Recife
5 matches
Novorizontino
5 matches
| Sport Recife | Statistic | Novorizontino |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Wins | 2 |
| 4 | Draws | 2 |
| 0 | Losses | 1 |
| 5 | Goals For | 7 |
| 4 | Goals Against | 5 |
| 1 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.4 |
| 0.8 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1 |
| 3 | BTTS Yes | 3 |
| 3 | Over 1.5 | 4 |
| 2 | Over 2.5 | 3 |
| 1 | Over 3.5 | 1 |
| 2 | Clean Sheets | 2 |
| 2 | Failed To Score | 1 |
| 4.4 | Shots On Goal | 5.4 |
| 13.2 | Total Shots | 17.4 |
| 4.8 | Corners | 7.6 |
| 53.6% | Ball Possession | 49.4% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Sport Recife expected to line up in 4-3-3 and Novorizontino in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Novorizontino having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. Novorizontino carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 5 with 8 points while Sport Recife sit 14 on 7, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Novorizontino.
Sport Recife approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 14 with 7 points from 5 matches. The overall return of 1 wins, 4 draws, and 0 defeats with a 5:4 goal balance points toward poor form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on Chrystian Barletta (2 goals), Pedro Perotti (2 goals), de Pena Carlos (1 goals), with creative support from Augusto (1 assists), Felipinho (1 assists), Marlon Douglas (1 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. At home, the split record of 0 wins, 2 draws, and 0 losses points to a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests balanced attacking football.
Placed 5 with 8 points from 5 outings, Novorizontino continue to operate from a strong competitive position. Across the campaign, they have posted 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 losses, while the 5:4 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on Carlao (2 goals), Tavinho (2 goals), Diego Galo (1 goals), with creative support from Juninho (2 assists), Romulo (2 assists), Robson (1 assists), and defensively they have been very solid. Away from home, the record of 1 wins, 1 draws, and 0 losses points toward a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.
Across those 7 head-to-head meetings, Sport Recife won 4 times, Novorizontino won 1 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 7:3 from Sport Recife's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 1.43 goals per game.
Sport Recife
5
4
4
6
1
1
Lineups
Sport Recife
Goias
Sport Recife
Operario-PR
Sport Recife
Botafogo SP
Sport Recife
Criciuma
Sport Recife
Fortaleza EC
Sport Recife
Atletico Goianiense
Sport Recife
São Bernardo
Sport Recife
Athletic Club
Sport Recife
Nautico Recife
Sport Recife
Juventude
Sport Recife
CRB
Sport Recife
Ponte Preta
Sport Recife
Ceara
Sport Recife
America Mineiro
Sport Recife
Avai
Sport Recife
Londrina
Sport Recife
Vila Nova
Sport Recife
Cuiaba
Novorizontino
Criciuma
Novorizontino
Fortaleza EC
Novorizontino
Operario-PR
Novorizontino
Atletico Goianiense
Novorizontino
Vila Nova
Novorizontino
Ponte Preta
Novorizontino
Nautico Recife
Novorizontino
Goias
Novorizontino
São Bernardo
Novorizontino
Ceara
Novorizontino
Cuiaba
Novorizontino
Botafogo SP
Novorizontino
Avai
Novorizontino
Athletic Club
Novorizontino
America Mineiro
Novorizontino
CRB
Novorizontino
Juventude
Novorizontino
Londrina
Sport Recife
Operario-PR
Sport Recife
Botafogo SP
Sport Recife
Atletico Goianiense
Sport Recife
Athletic Club
Sport Recife
Nautico Recife
Sport Recife
CRB
Sport Recife
Ceara
Sport Recife
Avai
Sport Recife
Vila Nova
Novorizontino
Fortaleza EC
Novorizontino
Operario-PR
Novorizontino
Ponte Preta
Novorizontino
Goias
Novorizontino
São Bernardo
Novorizontino
Cuiaba
Novorizontino
Avai
Novorizontino
America Mineiro
Novorizontino
Juventude
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 19 | 11 | 6 | 2 | 23:12 | 11 | 39 |
W
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 2 | 19 | 10 | 5 | 4 | 27:22 | 5 | 35 |
W
D
W
W
W
|
|
| 3 | 19 | 10 | 4 | 5 | 27:22 | 5 | 34 |
W
L
L
W
L
|
|
| 4 | 19 | 9 | 5 | 5 | 21:12 | 9 | 32 |
L
W
W
D
W
|
|
| 5 | 19 | 9 | 4 | 6 | 22:19 | 3 | 31 |
L
W
L
W
W
|
|
| 6 |
Novorizontino
Away
|
19 | 8 | 6 | 5 | 28:18 | 10 | 30 |
L
L
L
W
W
|
| 7 | 19 | 8 | 5 | 6 | 21:25 | -4 | 29 |
D
W
D
W
W
|
|
| 8 | 19 | 7 | 7 | 5 | 20:19 | 1 | 28 |
W
D
W
L
W
|
|
| 9 |
Sport Recife
Home
|
19 | 6 | 10 | 3 | 24:18 | 6 | 28 |
D
D
D
L
L
|
| 10 | 19 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 25:19 | 6 | 27 |
L
D
D
L
L
|
|
| 11 | 19 | 6 | 9 | 4 | 18:17 | 1 | 27 |
W
D
D
L
W
|
|
| 12 | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 29:32 | -3 | 26 |
W
W
D
L
W
|
|
| 13 | 19 | 7 | 3 | 9 | 24:24 | 0 | 24 |
W
L
L
D
L
|
|
| 14 | 19 | 6 | 6 | 7 | 24:20 | 4 | 24 |
W
D
D
W
L
|
|
| 15 | 19 | 5 | 9 | 5 | 14:14 | 0 | 24 |
L
L
D
W
D
|
|
| 16 | 19 | 5 | 5 | 9 | 26:27 | -1 | 20 |
L
D
D
W
D
|
|
| 17 | 19 | 5 | 5 | 9 | 21:26 | -5 | 20 |
W
D
W
L
L
|
|
| 18 | 19 | 4 | 7 | 8 | 16:22 | -6 | 19 |
L
D
D
L
L
|
|
| 19 | 19 | 2 | 2 | 15 | 14:38 | -24 | 8 |
L
L
L
L
L
|
|
| 20 | 19 | 1 | 5 | 13 | 13:31 | -18 | 8 |
L
D
D
L
L
|