BRAZIL SERIE B
--.--.---- --:--
Estadio Adelmar da Costa Carvalho
Referee: B. Machado
Sport Recife
Match Timeline
Nautico Recife
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
21'
Yago Felipe
Sport Recife
🟨
23'
Victor Andrade
Nautico Recife
🟨
26'
Luiz Felipe
Nautico Recife
28'
Chrystian Barletta
Sport Recife
🟨
35'
Zé Marcos
Sport Recife
🔄
45'
Clayson ↔ Iury Castilho
Sport Recife
🟨
49'
Zé Lucas
Sport Recife
🟨
52'
Paulo Sérgio
Nautico Recife
🔄
62'
Yago Felipe ↔ Pedro Martins
Sport Recife
🟨
64'
Iury Castilho
Sport Recife
🔄
67'
Reginaldo ↔ Arnaldo
Nautico Recife
🔄
67'
Paulo Sergio ↔ Junior Todinho
Nautico Recife
🔄
67'
Betao ↔ Yuri
Nautico Recife
🔄
76'
Leonai Souza ↔ Vitinho
Nautico Recife
🔄
79'
Ze Lucas ↔ de Pena Carlos
Sport Recife
🔄
79'
Pedro Perotti ↔ Fabio Matheus
Sport Recife
🔄
79'
Biel Fonseca ↔ Ze Gabriel
Sport Recife
83'
Chrystian Barletta · Assist: de Pena Carlos
Sport Recife
🔄
84'
Victor Andrade ↔ Derek
Nautico Recife
🟨
86'
Chrystian Barletta
Sport Recife

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 84.2%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 54.7%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 60.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
84.2%
-
BTTS BTTS Yes
54.7%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
60.2%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
82.5%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Sport Recife Win 34.5%
Draw 15.9%
Nautico Recife Win 49.7%
Expected Goals (xG)
Sport Recife1.14
Nautico Recife1.24
Recent Form (Last 5)
Sport Recife Sport Recife
WWDLW
13 GF / 7 GA
Nautico Recife Nautico Recife
WLDWL
16 GF / 9 GA
Key Stats
1.3
Average Goals Scored
1.6
0.7
Average Goals Conceded
0.9
5
BTTS Yes
3
4
Over 2.5
4
4.1
Shots on Goal
3.5

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Sport Recife Sport Recife 10 matches
Nautico Recife Nautico Recife 10 matches
Sport Recife Statistic Nautico Recife
5 Wins 6
4 Draws 1
1 Losses 3
13 Goals For 16
7 Goals Against 9
1.3 Avg Goals Scored 1.6
0.7 Avg Goals Conceded 0.9
5 BTTS Yes 3
6 Over 1.5 5
4 Over 2.5 4
2 Over 3.5 2
5 Clean Sheets 4
2 Failed To Score 3
4.1 Shots On Goal 3.5
12.5 Total Shots 14
4.3 Corners 5.3
52.4% Ball Possession 58.2%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This contest looks finely balanced, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity suggesting a close tactical battle. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Nautico Recife look sharper on recent form, and that momentum could be important in key phases of the match. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Nautico Recife.

Sport Recife Analysis

Sport Recife approach this game with the confidence of a side sitting 3 on 16 points after 9 outings. The return of 4 wins, 4 draws, and 1 defeats, together with goals at 12:7, reflects good form over their recent run. Much of their attacking edge comes through Pedro Perotti (5 goals), Chrystian Barletta (4 goals), Felipinho (1 goals), with creative support from Chrystian Barletta (2 assists), Marlon Douglas (2 assists), Felipinho (1 assists), while their defending has remained very solid. At home, the split of 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 losses supports the view of a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their football identity still points toward balanced attacking football.

Nautico Recife Analysis

Operating from 1 place with 19 points from 10 games, Nautico Recife bring one of the stronger season profiles into this match. The return of 6 wins, 1 draws, and 3 defeats, together with goals at 16:9, reflects very strong form and are on a winning streak. Much of their attacking edge comes through Vinícius (5 goals), Dodo (3 goals), Junior Todinho (2 goals), with creative support from Vinícius (2 assists), Dodo (2 assists), Wenderson (2 assists), while their defending has remained very solid. Away from home, their record of 3 wins, 1 draws, and 1 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their overall playing style can be described as balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Sport Recife won 7 times, Nautico Recife won 3 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 25:19 from Sport Recife's perspective. 9 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 2.93 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (84.2%)
Predicted formations: Sport Recife 4-2-3-1 / Nautico Recife 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Sport Recife wins 7, draws 5, Nautico Recife wins 3
Stats
Sport Recife Sport Recife
Nautico Recife Nautico Recife
Shots on Goal
5
Shots on Goal
6
Shots off Goal
2
Shots off Goal
8
Blocked Shots
1
Blocked Shots
5
1 Corner Kicks 8
18 Fouls 18
3 Offsides 1
40% Ball Possession 60%
8 Total Shots 19
5 Shots on Goal 6
2 Shots off Goal 8
1 Blocked Shots 5
5 Shots insidebox 11
3 Shots outsidebox 8
6 Goalkeeper Saves 3
252 Total passes 369
177 Passes accurate 289
2.19 expected_goals 1.17
🟨 5 Yellow Cards 3 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Sport Recife
Formation
Nautico Recife
Thiago Couto
Thiago Couto
Madson
Madson
Benevenuto
Benevenuto
Ze Marcos
Ze Marcos
Edson Lucas
Edson Lucas
Biel Fonseca
Biel Fonseca
Ze Lucas
Ze Lucas
Chrystian Barletta
⚽ 2
Chrystian Barletta
Yago Felipe
Yago Felipe
Clayson
Clayson
Pedro Perotti
Pedro Perotti
Muriel Becker
Muriel Becker
Reginaldo
Reginaldo
Mateus Silva
Mateus Silva
Betao
Betao
Igor Fernandes
Igor Fernandes
Luiz Felipe
Luiz Felipe
Leonai Souza
Leonai Souza
Vinicius
Vinicius
Dodo
Dodo
Victor Andrade
Victor Andrade
Paulo Sergio
Paulo Sergio
Sport Recife 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
26
Thiago Couto
G
13
Madson
D
5
Benevenuto
D
4
Ze Marcos
🟨 35'
D
96
Edson Lucas
D
6
Biel Fonseca
↓ 79'
M
58
Ze Lucas
↓ 79' 🟨 49'
M
30
Chrystian Barletta
⚽ 28' ⚽ 83' 🟨 86'
M
7
Yago Felipe
↓ 62' 🟨 21'
M
25
Clayson
↓ 45'
M
9
Pedro Perotti
↓ 79'
F
Substitutes
1
Halls
G
10
de Pena Carlos
🎯 83' ↑ 79'
M
95
Iury Castilho
↑ 45' 🟨 64'
F
48
Pedro Martins
↑ 62'
M
3
Marcelo Ajul
D
47
Fabio Matheus
↑ 79'
M
11
Gustavo Maia
F
23
Ze Gabriel
↑ 79'
M
8
Max Alves
M
28
Habraao
D
77
Micael
F
68
Augusto
D
Nautico Recife 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
1
Muriel Becker
G
93
Reginaldo
↓ 67'
D
25
Mateus Silva
D
3
Betao
↓ 67'
D
23
Igor Fernandes
D
27
Luiz Felipe
🟨 26'
M
19
Leonai Souza
↓ 76'
M
7
Vinicius
M
10
Dodo
M
11
Victor Andrade
↓ 84' 🟨 23'
M
9
Paulo Sergio
↓ 67' 🟨 52'
F
Substitutes
55
G. Guruceaga
G
5
Auremir
M
34
Wanderson
D
30
Felipe Cardoso
M
41
Samuel Felix
M
2
Arnaldo
↑ 67'
D
14
Matheus Ribeiro
D
29
Junior Todinho
↑ 67'
F
6
Yuri
↑ 67'
D
72
Derek
↑ 84'
F
40
Ramon
M
22
Vitinho
↑ 76'
M
Last matches: Sport Recife
08.08.26
Ser
Sport Recife
Vila Nova
1
0
W
27.07.26
Ser
Sport Recife
Cuiaba
1
1
D
22.07.26
Ser
Sport Recife
Goias
1
1
D
18.07.26
Ser
Sport Recife
Operario-PR
2
2
D
10.07.26
Ser
Sport Recife
Botafogo SP
3
3
D
04.07.26
Ser
Sport Recife
Criciuma
0
1
L
28.06.26
Ser
Sport Recife
Fortaleza EC
1
2
L
19.06.26
Ser
Sport Recife
Atletico Goianiense
1
1
D
14.06.26
Ser
Sport Recife
São Bernardo
0
0
D
11.06.26
Ser
Sport Recife
Athletic Club
1
1
D
23.05.26
Ser
Sport Recife
Juventude
1
0
W
17.05.26
Ser
Sport Recife
CRB
1
2
L
09.05.26
Ser
Sport Recife
Ponte Preta
3
1
W
03.05.26
Ser
Sport Recife
Ceara
2
0
W
25.04.26
Ser
Sport Recife
Novorizontino
1
0
W
18.04.26
Ser
Sport Recife
America Mineiro
0
0
D
11.04.26
Ser
Sport Recife
Avai
2
2
D
04.04.26
Ser
Sport Recife
Londrina
2
1
W
01.04.26
Ser
Sport Recife
Vila Nova
1
1
D
21.03.26
Ser
Sport Recife
Cuiaba
0
0
D
Last matches: Nautico Recife
09.08.26
Ser
Nautico Recife
Atletico Goianiense
1
1
D
26.07.26
Ser
Nautico Recife
Criciuma
0
0
D
23.07.26
Ser
Nautico Recife
Londrina
2
1
W
16.07.26
Ser
Nautico Recife
CRB
1
2
L
12.07.26
Ser
Nautico Recife
Avai
0
2
L
05.07.26
Ser
Nautico Recife
Juventude
0
0
D
28.06.26
Ser
Nautico Recife
Goias
0
1
L
20.06.26
Ser
Nautico Recife
Vila Nova
3
4
L
14.06.26
Ser
Nautico Recife
Novorizontino
2
2
D
09.06.26
Ser
Nautico Recife
Fortaleza EC
0
1
L
22.05.26
Ser
Nautico Recife
Cuiaba
1
0
W
16.05.26
Ser
Nautico Recife
Operario-PR
6
2
W
10.05.26
Ser
Nautico Recife
America Mineiro
4
0
W
02.05.26
Ser
Nautico Recife
Botafogo SP
1
1
D
27.04.26
Ser
Nautico Recife
Athletic Club
1
0
W
18.04.26
Ser
Nautico Recife
São Bernardo
0
3
L
11.04.26
Ser
Nautico Recife
Ceara
0
1
L
04.04.26
Ser
Nautico Recife
Ponte Preta
1
0
W
01.04.26
Ser
Nautico Recife
Atletico Goianiense
2
1
W
22.03.26
Ser
Nautico Recife
Criciuma
0
1
L
H2H: Sport Recife vs Nautico Recife
30.05.26
H2H
Sport Recife
Nautico Recife
2
0
W
08.03.26
H2H
Nautico Recife
Sport Recife
0
3
W
01.03.26
H2H
Sport Recife
Nautico Recife
3
3
D
18.01.26
H2H
Nautico Recife
Sport Recife
4
0
L
15.02.25
H2H
Sport Recife
Nautico Recife
1
2
L
06.04.24
H2H
Sport Recife
Nautico Recife
0
0
D
30.03.24
H2H
Nautico Recife
Sport Recife
0
2
W
21.03.24
H2H
Sport Recife
Nautico Recife
2
2
D
24.02.24
H2H
Nautico Recife
Sport Recife
1
0
L
04.03.23
H2H
Nautico Recife
Sport Recife
0
2
W
11.02.23
H2H
Nautico Recife
Sport Recife
2
2
D
29.09.22
H2H
Sport Recife
Nautico Recife
2
1
W
18.06.22
H2H
Nautico Recife
Sport Recife
1
1
D
12.03.22
H2H
Nautico Recife
Sport Recife
1
2
W
29.01.22
H2H
Sport Recife
Nautico Recife
3
2
W
Last matches: Sport Recife
27.07.26
Ser
Sport Recife
Cuiaba
1
1
D
18.07.26
Ser
Sport Recife
Operario-PR
2
2
D
10.07.26
Ser
Sport Recife
Botafogo SP
3
3
D
19.06.26
Ser
Sport Recife
Atletico Goianiense
1
1
D
11.06.26
Ser
Sport Recife
Athletic Club
1
1
D
17.05.26
Ser
Sport Recife
CRB
1
2
L
03.05.26
Ser
Sport Recife
Ceara
2
0
W
25.04.26
Ser
Sport Recife
Novorizontino
1
0
W
11.04.26
Ser
Sport Recife
Avai
2
2
D
01.04.26
Ser
Sport Recife
Vila Nova
1
1
D
H2H at home: Sport Recife
30.05.26
H2H
Sport Recife
Nautico Recife
2
0
W
01.03.26
H2H
Sport Recife
Nautico Recife
3
3
D
15.02.25
H2H
Sport Recife
Nautico Recife
1
2
L
06.04.24
H2H
Sport Recife
Nautico Recife
0
0
D
21.03.24
H2H
Sport Recife
Nautico Recife
2
2
D
29.09.22
H2H
Sport Recife
Nautico Recife
2
1
W
29.01.22
H2H
Sport Recife
Nautico Recife
3
2
W
Last matches: Nautico Recife
26.07.26
Ser
Nautico Recife
Criciuma
0
0
D
16.07.26
Ser
Nautico Recife
CRB
1
2
L
12.07.26
Ser
Nautico Recife
Avai
0
2
L
20.06.26
Ser
Nautico Recife
Vila Nova
3
4
L
14.06.26
Ser
Nautico Recife
Novorizontino
2
2
D
16.05.26
Ser
Nautico Recife
Operario-PR
6
2
W
02.05.26
Ser
Nautico Recife
Botafogo SP
1
1
D
27.04.26
Ser
Nautico Recife
Athletic Club
1
0
W
11.04.26
Ser
Nautico Recife
Ceara
0
1
L
01.04.26
Ser
Nautico Recife
Atletico Goianiense
2
1
W
H2H away: Nautico Recife
30.05.26
H2H
Sport Recife
Nautico Recife
2
0
L
01.03.26
H2H
Sport Recife
Nautico Recife
3
3
D
15.02.25
H2H
Sport Recife
Nautico Recife
1
2
W
06.04.24
H2H
Sport Recife
Nautico Recife
0
0
D
21.03.24
H2H
Sport Recife
Nautico Recife
2
2
D
29.09.22
H2H
Sport Recife
Nautico Recife
2
1
L
29.01.22
H2H
Sport Recife
Nautico Recife
3
2
L

Standings

Serie B
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 21 11 7 3 23:14 9 40
L D W W W
2 21 11 5 5 23:12 11 38
W W L W W
3 21 10 5 6 24:20 4 35
D W L W L
4 21 10 5 6 29:28 1 35
L L W D W
5 21 10 4 7 27:25 2 34
L L W L L
6 21 9 6 6 32:20 12 33
L W L L L
7 21 9 5 7 22:26 -4 32
W L D W D
8 21 8 8 5 24:21 3 32
D W W D W
9 21 7 11 3 26:19 7 32
W D D D D
10 21 7 10 4 21:18 3 31
W D W D D
11 21 8 6 7 31:24 7 30
W L L D D
12 20 8 5 7 31:32 -1 29
W W W D L
13 21 7 6 8 26:22 4 27
W L W D D
14 21 7 5 9 25:25 0 26
D D W L L
15 21 5 11 5 16:16 0 26
D D L L D
16 21 6 7 8 22:25 -3 25
W W L D D
17 21 5 5 11 27:32 -5 20
L L L D D
18 20 5 5 10 21:27 -6 20
L W D W L
19 21 2 5 14 15:33 -18 11
L W L D D
20 21 2 3 16 15:41 -26 9
L D L L L
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