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BRAZIL › SERIE B
24.10.2026 00:00
Estadio Adelmar da Costa Carvalho

Sport Recife vs Criciuma Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 66.7%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 62.8%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 58.6%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
66.7%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
62.8%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
58.6%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Sport Recife Win 66.7%
Draw 5.2%
Criciuma Win 28.1%
Expected Goals (xG)
Sport Recife1.12
Criciuma1.05
Recent Form (Last 5)
Sport Recife Sport Recife
WWDLW
45 GF / 37 GA
Criciuma Criciuma
WLDWL
35 GF / 28 GA
Key Stats
1.32
Average Goals Scored
1.03
1.09
Average Goals Conceded
0.82
22
BTTS Yes
11
17
Over 2.5
7
4.18
Shots on Goal
3.62

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Sport Recife Sport Recife 34 matches
Criciuma Criciuma 34 matches
Sport Recife Statistic Criciuma
13 Wins 17
12 Draws 8
9 Losses 9
45 Goals For 35
37 Goals Against 28
1.32 Avg Goals Scored 1.03
1.09 Avg Goals Conceded 0.82
22 BTTS Yes 11
27 Over 1.5 20
17 Over 2.5 7
5 Over 3.5 3
10 Clean Sheets 16
5 Failed To Score 9
4.18 Shots On Goal 3.62
14.38 Total Shots 13.88
5.09 Corners 6.56
54% Ball Possession 53%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This contest looks finely balanced, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity suggesting a close tactical battle. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Sport Recife expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Criciuma in 4-3-3, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Criciuma having the stronger overall control. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Criciuma.

Sport Recife Analysis

So far, Sport Recife have built a campaign that leaves them 8 in the table on 51 points from 34 matches. Their overall return of 13 wins, 12 draws, and 9 losses with goals at 45:37 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by Chrystian Barletta (8 goals), Perotti (8 goals), Neto Pessoa (3 goals), with creative support from Chrystian Barletta (4 assists), Biel (3 assists), Madson (2 assists), while defensively they have appeared fairly stable. At home, their split return of 8 wins, 7 draws, and 2 losses fits a very strong split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.

Criciuma Analysis

Criciuma approach this game with the confidence of a side sitting 5 on 56 points after 33 outings. With 16 wins, 8 draws, and 9 defeats plus a goal balance of 34:28, they continue to show good form over their recent run. Their attacking quality is driven by Fellipe Mateus (4 goals), Willean Lepo (3 goals), R. Otero (2 goals), with creative support from R. Otero (5 assists), Romarinho (3 assists), Willean Lepo (1 assists), and at the back they have appeared fairly stable. Away from home, their record of 6 wins, 4 draws, and 6 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their overall playing style can be described as balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 9 head-to-head meetings, Sport Recife won 2 times, Criciuma won 3 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 10:10 from Sport Recife's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 4 matches, with an average of 2.22 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (94.8%)
Predicted formations: Sport Recife 4-2-3-1 / Criciuma 4-3-3
H2H summary: Sport Recife wins 2, draws 4, Criciuma wins 3

Standings

Serie B
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 34 18 8 8 48:33 15 62
D W D W W
2 34 17 10 7 61:30 31 61
D W W W D
3 34 17 10 7 41:23 18 61
D D W W W
4 34 16 12 6 41:29 12 60
W D W D D
5 34 17 8 9 35:28 7 59
W W L W W
6 34 14 12 8 42:32 10 54
D D L W W
7 34 15 7 12 51:48 3 52
L D W L W
8 34 13 12 9 45:37 8 51
L D W W L
9 33 14 6 13 34:40 -6 48
W W L L W
10 34 13 9 12 44:46 -2 48
L L L L D
11 33 11 14 8 32:26 6 47
L D W L W
12 34 12 10 12 46:37 9 46
L D L W D
13 34 12 8 14 38:38 0 44
W W W L W
14 34 10 14 10 40:39 1 44
D D L L D
15 34 11 10 13 37:42 -5 43
D L W W D
16 33 11 9 13 39:42 -3 42
L L D W L
17 34 10 7 17 33:43 -10 37
D W W L L
18 33 7 8 18 42:49 -7 29
D L L L L
19 34 5 5 24 22:54 -32 20
W L L L L
20 34 3 5 26 19:74 -55 14
D L L L L
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