09.08.2026 01:00
Estadio Miguel Grau
Referee: R. B. Perez
Sport Boys
Match Timeline
Alianza Lima
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
8'
L. Nequecaur
Sport Boys
🔄
10'
M. Huaman ↔ N. Diaz
Alianza Lima
28'
J. Alarcon · Assist: L. Urruti
Sport Boys
🟨
38'
H. Riojas
Sport Boys
VAR
47'
L. Urruti
Sport Boys
65'
F. Girotti · Assist: R. Garces
Alianza Lima
🔄
72'
J. Alarcon ↔ E. Gonzales
Sport Boys
🔄
72'
P. Erustes ↔ P. Liza
Sport Boys
🟨
79'
N. Diaz
Alianza Lima
🔄
88'
L. Nequecaur ↔ C. Cueva
Sport Boys
🔄
88'
L. Urruti ↔ C. Lopez
Sport Boys
🔄
89'
Paolo Guerrero ↔ A. Cantero
Alianza Lima

Sport Boys vs Alianza Lima Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 51.9%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 54.1%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 48.9%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
51.9%
-
BTTS Yes
54.1%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
48.9%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
-
Correct Score 1-2
-
-
Probability Distribution
Sport Boys Win 35%
Draw 13.1%
Alianza Lima Win 51.9%
Expected Goals (xG)
Sport Boys0.84
Alianza Lima1.45
Recent Form (Last 5)
Sport Boys Sport Boys
WWDLW
21 GF / 23 GA
Alianza Lima Alianza Lima
WLDWL
41 GF / 16 GA
Key Stats
0.95
Average Goals Scored
1.71
1.05
Average Goals Conceded
0.67
7
BTTS Yes
11
7
Over 2.5
10
4.1
Shots on Goal
5.18

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Sport Boys Sport Boys 22 matches
Alianza Lima Alianza Lima 24 matches
Sport Boys Statistic Alianza Lima
8 Wins 15
5 Draws 6
9 Losses 3
21 Goals For 41
23 Goals Against 16
0.95 Avg Goals Scored 1.71
1.05 Avg Goals Conceded 0.67
7 BTTS Yes 11
10 Over 1.5 16
7 Over 2.5 10
5 Over 3.5 4
11 Clean Sheets 10
7 Failed To Score 4
4.1 Shots On Goal 5.18
13.5 Total Shots 14.59
4.85 Corners 4.09
50.7% Ball Possession 53.4%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around Alianza Lima's more proactive style and Sport Boys's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Alianza Lima. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Alianza Lima carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 1 with 40 points while Sport Boys sit 11 on 20, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Sport Boys expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Alianza Lima in 4-1-3-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Alianza Lima having the stronger overall control. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected.

Sport Boys Analysis

Sport Boys sit 11 with 20 points after 17 league matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 5 wins, 5 draws, and 7 losses, while the 15:19 goal ratio supports the view of good form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on Luciano Nequecaur (3 goals), Hansell Riojas (2 goals), Luis Urruti (1 goals), with creative support from Jostin Alarcón (2 assists), Luciano Nequecaur (1 assists), Luis Urruti (1 assists), and defensively they have been very solid. At home, they have returned 4 wins, 4 draws, and 1 losses, a split that suggests a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.

Alianza Lima Analysis

Operating from 1 place with 40 points from 17 games, Alianza Lima bring one of the stronger season profiles into this match. With 12 wins, 4 draws, and 1 defeats plus a goal balance of 30:8, they continue to show good form over their recent run. Their attacking quality is driven by Eryc Castillo (11 goals), Jairo Vélez (2 goals), Fernando Gaibor (2 goals), with creative support from Eryc Castillo (3 assists), Marco Huamán (3 assists), Jairo Vélez (2 assists), and at the back they have appeared very solid. Away from home, their record of 5 wins, 3 draws, and 1 losses points to a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their overall playing style can be described as balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 14 head-to-head meetings, Sport Boys won 2 times, Alianza Lima won 8 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 7:19 from Sport Boys's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 4 matches, with an average of 1.86 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (86.9%)
Predicted formations: Sport Boys 4-2-3-1 / Alianza Lima 4-1-3-2
H2H summary: Sport Boys wins 2, draws 4, Alianza Lima wins 8

Standings

Primera Division: Tabla Anual
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 26 15 8 3 42:18 24 53
L D L D W
2 26 14 7 5 43:27 16 49
W D W W W
3 26 13 6 7 44:28 16 45
W W L D W
4 26 13 6 7 35:24 11 45
L W W W D
5 26 13 3 10 38:37 1 42
L W W L W
6 26 12 5 9 35:44 -9 41
L L L L L
7 25 12 4 9 44:37 7 40
W L L D L
8 25 10 7 8 37:31 6 37
W W W D W
9 26 10 7 9 28:25 3 37
W L W W D
10 26 10 5 11 45:39 6 35
W W L L W
11 26 9 5 12 34:42 -8 32
W W W L L
12 26 8 7 11 38:52 -14 31
W D W W L
13 26 7 9 10 34:36 -2 30
L D L W L
14 25 8 5 12 22:27 -5 29
L W W W D
15 26 7 6 13 40:50 -10 27
W L W L L
16 26 6 7 13 24:37 -13 25
L L L W D
17 25 5 7 13 27:39 -12 22
L L L D D
18 26 4 8 14 30:47 -17 15
L L L L L
Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Group Stage)
Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Qualification)
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Qualification)
Relegation - Liga 2