Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away Win |
51.9%
|
- | |
| BTTS | Yes |
54.1%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
48.9%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
92%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Draw / Away |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 1-2 |
-
|
- |
Sport Boys
Alianza Lima
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Sport Boys
22 matches
Alianza Lima
24 matches
| Sport Boys | Statistic | Alianza Lima |
|---|---|---|
| 8 | Wins | 15 |
| 5 | Draws | 6 |
| 9 | Losses | 3 |
| 21 | Goals For | 41 |
| 23 | Goals Against | 16 |
| 0.95 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.71 |
| 1.05 | Avg Goals Conceded | 0.67 |
| 7 | BTTS Yes | 11 |
| 10 | Over 1.5 | 16 |
| 7 | Over 2.5 | 10 |
| 5 | Over 3.5 | 4 |
| 11 | Clean Sheets | 10 |
| 7 | Failed To Score | 4 |
| 4.1 | Shots On Goal | 5.18 |
| 13.5 | Total Shots | 14.64 |
| 4.85 | Corners | 4.09 |
| 50.7% | Ball Possession | 53.4% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around Alianza Lima's more proactive style and Sport Boys's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Alianza Lima. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Alianza Lima carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 1 with 40 points while Sport Boys sit 11 on 20, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Sport Boys expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Alianza Lima in 4-1-3-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Alianza Lima having the stronger overall control. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected.
Sport Boys sit 11 with 20 points after 17 league matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 5 wins, 5 draws, and 7 losses, while the 15:19 goal ratio supports the view of good form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on Luciano Nequecaur (3 goals), Hansell Riojas (2 goals), Luis Urruti (1 goals), with creative support from Jostin Alarcón (2 assists), Luciano Nequecaur (1 assists), Luis Urruti (1 assists), and defensively they have been very solid. At home, they have returned 4 wins, 4 draws, and 1 losses, a split that suggests a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.
Operating from 1 place with 40 points from 17 games, Alianza Lima bring one of the stronger season profiles into this match. With 12 wins, 4 draws, and 1 defeats plus a goal balance of 30:8, they continue to show good form over their recent run. Their attacking quality is driven by Eryc Castillo (11 goals), Jairo Vélez (2 goals), Fernando Gaibor (2 goals), with creative support from Eryc Castillo (3 assists), Marco Huamán (3 assists), Jairo Vélez (2 assists), and at the back they have appeared very solid. Away from home, their record of 5 wins, 3 draws, and 1 losses points to a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their overall playing style can be described as balanced attacking football.
Across those 14 head-to-head meetings, Sport Boys won 2 times, Alianza Lima won 8 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 7:19 from Sport Boys's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 4 matches, with an average of 1.86 goals per game.
Sport Boys
2
2
3
7
2
2
Lineups
Sport Boys
UCV Moquegua
Sport Boys
Atletico Grau
Sport Boys
ADT
Sport Boys
Club Deportivo Los Chankas
Sport Boys
Comerciantes Unidos
Sport Boys
UTC Cajamarca
Sport Boys
Cusco
Sport Boys
Universitario
Sport Boys
FC Cajamarca
Sport Boys
Juan Pablo II College
Sport Boys
Alianza Atletico
Sport Boys
FBC Melgar
Sport Boys
Deportivo Garcilaso
Sport Boys
Sport Huancayo
Sport Boys
Sporting Cristal
Sport Boys
Cienciano
Sport Boys
UCV Moquegua
Sport Boys
Alianza Lima
Sport Boys
Atletico Grau
Sport Boys
ADT
Alianza Lima
UTC Cajamarca
Alianza Lima
Alianza Atletico
Alianza Lima
Comerciantes Unidos
Alianza Lima
Sport Huancayo
Alianza Lima
Deportivo Cali
Alianza Lima
FC Cajamarca
Alianza Lima
Club Deportivo Los Chankas
Alianza Lima
Cienciano
Alianza Lima
Sporting Cristal
Alianza Lima
UCV Moquegua
Alianza Lima
Atletico Grau
Alianza Lima
Cusco
Alianza Lima
ADT
Alianza Lima
Universitario
Alianza Lima
Juan Pablo II College
Alianza Lima
Deportivo Garcilaso
Alianza Lima
FBC Melgar
Alianza Lima
UTC Cajamarca
Alianza Lima
Sport Boys
Alianza Lima
Alianza Atletico
Sport Boys
ADT
Sport Boys
Comerciantes Unidos
Sport Boys
Cusco
Sport Boys
Universitario
Sport Boys
Juan Pablo II College
Sport Boys
FBC Melgar
Sport Boys
Sport Huancayo
Sport Boys
UCV Moquegua
Sport Boys
Atletico Grau
Sport Boys
Club Deportivo Los Chankas
Sport Boys
Everton de Vina
Alianza Lima
Comerciantes Unidos
Alianza Lima
FC Cajamarca
Alianza Lima
Cienciano
Alianza Lima
Atletico Grau
Alianza Lima
ADT
Alianza Lima
Universitario
Alianza Lima
Deportivo Garcilaso
Alianza Lima
UTC Cajamarca
Alianza Lima
Alianza Atletico
Alianza Lima
2 de Mayo
Alianza Lima
Sport Huancayo
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Alianza Lima
Away
|
17 | 12 | 4 | 1 | 30:8 | 22 | 40 |
D
W
W
D
W
|
| 2 | 17 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 25:21 | 4 | 34 |
D
L
W
D
L
|
|
| 3 | 17 | 10 | 3 | 4 | 34:22 | 12 | 33 |
W
D
L
W
W
|
|
| 4 | 17 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 24:15 | 9 | 29 |
W
D
L
D
W
|
|
| 5 | 17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 29:20 | 9 | 28 |
W
D
W
D
W
|
|
| 6 | 17 | 8 | 3 | 6 | 21:24 | -3 | 27 |
W
W
L
D
D
|
|
| 7 | 17 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 21:18 | 3 | 26 |
W
D
W
W
W
|
|
| 8 | 17 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 20:18 | 2 | 21 |
L
D
W
L
W
|
|
| 9 | 17 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 18:20 | -2 | 21 |
L
D
L
D
L
|
|
| 10 | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 22:21 | 1 | 20 |
L
L
W
D
W
|
|
| 11 |
Sport Boys
Home
|
17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 15:19 | -4 | 20 |
W
D
W
D
L
|
| 12 | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 28:30 | -2 | 19 |
L
W
L
D
D
|
|
| 13 | 17 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 21:26 | -5 | 18 |
D
D
L
L
L
|
|
| 14 | 17 | 5 | 3 | 9 | 17:24 | -7 | 18 |
L
D
L
D
L
|
|
| 15 | 17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 23:28 | -5 | 17 |
D
D
W
W
W
|
|
| 16 | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 12:18 | -6 | 16 |
W
L
W
L
L
|
|
| 17 | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 21:31 | -10 | 16 |
L
D
L
W
L
|
|
| 18 | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 22:40 | -18 | 16 |
L
D
L
L
L
|