BULGARIA FIRST LEAGUE
10.05.2026 11:15
Stadion Spartak
Referee: V. Chinkov
Spartak Varna
Match Timeline
Slavia Sofia
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
8'
D. Krastev · Assist: Jota Lopes
Spartak Varna
🟨
12'
Roberto Raychev
Slavia Sofia
🟨
15'
Tsvetelin Chunchukov
Spartak Varna
22'
R. Raychev · Assist: E. Stoev
Slavia Sofia
🟨
34'
Tsvetoslav Marinov
Spartak Varna
🔄
38'
V. Kazaldzhiev ↔ E. Gogev
Slavia Sofia
🔄
46'
T. Marinov ↔ E. John
Spartak Varna
🟨
60'
Deyan Lozev
Spartak Varna
64'
T. Chunchukov · Assist: Xande
Spartak Varna
🔄
67'
T. Chunchukov ↔ Tailson
Spartak Varna
🔄
70'
I. Stefanov ↔ M. Miletic
Slavia Sofia
🔄
71'
L. Marin ↔ M. Lazarov
Slavia Sofia
🔄
79'
I. Minchev ↔ V. Yotov
Slavia Sofia
🔄
79'
E. Stoev ↔ V. Medved
Slavia Sofia
🟨
90'
Georg Stojanovski
Spartak Varna
🔄
90+3'
G. Stojanovski ↔ S. Moukachar
Spartak Varna
🔄
90+3'
Xande ↔ M. Georgiev
Spartak Varna

Spartak Varna vs Slavia Sofia Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 59.5%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 40%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 25.9%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
59.5%
-
BTTS BTTS No
40%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
25.9%
-
Corners O/U Under 9.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
-
Correct Score 0-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Spartak Varna Win 27.3%
Draw 13.2%
Slavia Sofia Win 59.5%
Expected Goals (xG)
Spartak Varna0.97
Slavia Sofia1.38
Recent Form (Last 5)
Spartak Varna Spartak Varna
WWDLW
28 GF / 55 GA
Slavia Sofia Slavia Sofia
WLDWL
39 GF / 38 GA
Key Stats
0.85
Average Goals Scored
1.18
1.67
Average Goals Conceded
1.15
19
BTTS Yes
16
16
Over 2.5
15
1.87
Shots on Goal
2.6

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Spartak Varna Spartak Varna 33 matches
Slavia Sofia Slavia Sofia 33 matches
Spartak Varna Statistic Slavia Sofia
5 Wins 11
13 Draws 10
15 Losses 12
28 Goals For 39
55 Goals Against 38
0.85 Avg Goals Scored 1.18
1.67 Avg Goals Conceded 1.15
19 BTTS Yes 16
25 Over 1.5 26
16 Over 2.5 15
9 Over 3.5 6
8 Clean Sheets 10
11 Failed To Score 10
1.87 Shots On Goal 2.6
6.29 Total Shots 7.4
2.39 Corners 3.07
29.5% Ball Possession 31%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

Looking at the broader profile of both teams, this encounter highlights two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Slavia Sofia. Spartak Varna have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself.

Spartak Varna Analysis

Spartak Varna sit 14 with 27 points after 32 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Their record of 5 wins, 12 draws, and 15 losses, together with goals at 27:54, reflects poor form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through Berna (6 goals), G. Stojanovski (4 goals), Xande (4 goals), with creative support from G. Stojanovski (3 assists), Xande (2 assists), Angel Granchov (2 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been quite vulnerable. At home, they have managed 4 wins, 4 draws, and 8 losses, a return that supports a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

Slavia Sofia Analysis

Slavia Sofia are currently 11 in the standings with 40 points from 32 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 10 wins, 10 draws, and 12 losses, while the 37:37 goal ratio supports the view of poor form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on Y. Guermouche (6 goals), Emil Stoev (4 goals), K. Balov (4 goals), with creative support from Ivan Minchev (8 assists), K. Balov (5 assists), Emil Stoev (4 assists), and defensively they have been fairly stable. Away from home, they have returned 4 wins, 5 draws, and 7 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 8 head-to-head meetings, Spartak Varna won 2 times, Slavia Sofia won 4 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 9:16 from Spartak Varna's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 3.13 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (86.8%)
Predicted formations: Spartak Varna 4-2-3-1 / Slavia Sofia 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Spartak Varna wins 2, draws 2, Slavia Sofia wins 4

Standings

A PFG: Regular season
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 30 22 4 4 64:22 42 70
D W D W W
2 30 17 9 4 57:20 37 60
L D W W W
3 30 18 5 7 50:31 19 59
W W L W W
4 30 16 8 6 43:23 20 56
D W W W L
5 30 11 13 6 30:33 -3 46
D D W W W
6 30 11 11 8 33:26 7 44
L D L L W
7 30 12 8 10 33:27 6 44
W L W W W
8 30 11 7 12 40:37 3 40
W D W W L
9 30 10 9 11 36:33 3 39
D L W L D
10 30 9 11 10 24:26 -2 38
W L D L W
11 30 9 10 11 40:39 1 37
L W L L W
12 30 5 12 13 25:50 -25 27
D W L L L
13 30 7 5 18 23:43 -20 26
L L D L L
14 30 7 5 18 25:58 -33 26
D W D L L
15 30 4 11 15 19:44 -25 23
D L L W L
16 30 3 8 19 15:45 -30 17
D L L L L
Promotion - efbet League (Championship Group)
Promotion - efbet League (Conference League Group)
efbet League (Relegation Group)