Spartak Varna vs Slavia Sofia Prediction & Match Analysis
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away Win |
59.5%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS No |
40%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
25.9%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Under 9.5 Corners |
92%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Draw / Away |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 0-1 |
-
|
- |
Spartak Varna
Slavia Sofia
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Spartak Varna
33 matches
Slavia Sofia
33 matches
| Spartak Varna | Statistic | Slavia Sofia |
|---|---|---|
| 5 | Wins | 11 |
| 13 | Draws | 10 |
| 15 | Losses | 12 |
| 28 | Goals For | 39 |
| 55 | Goals Against | 38 |
| 0.85 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.18 |
| 1.67 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.15 |
| 19 | BTTS Yes | 16 |
| 25 | Over 1.5 | 26 |
| 16 | Over 2.5 | 15 |
| 9 | Over 3.5 | 6 |
| 8 | Clean Sheets | 10 |
| 11 | Failed To Score | 10 |
| 1.87 | Shots On Goal | 2.6 |
| 6.29 | Total Shots | 7.4 |
| 2.39 | Corners | 3.07 |
| 29.5% | Ball Possession | 31% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
Looking at the broader profile of both teams, this encounter highlights two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Slavia Sofia. Spartak Varna have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself.
Spartak Varna sit 14 with 27 points after 32 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Their record of 5 wins, 12 draws, and 15 losses, together with goals at 27:54, reflects poor form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through Berna (6 goals), G. Stojanovski (4 goals), Xande (4 goals), with creative support from G. Stojanovski (3 assists), Xande (2 assists), Angel Granchov (2 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been quite vulnerable. At home, they have managed 4 wins, 4 draws, and 8 losses, a return that supports a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.
Slavia Sofia are currently 11 in the standings with 40 points from 32 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 10 wins, 10 draws, and 12 losses, while the 37:37 goal ratio supports the view of poor form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on Y. Guermouche (6 goals), Emil Stoev (4 goals), K. Balov (4 goals), with creative support from Ivan Minchev (8 assists), K. Balov (5 assists), Emil Stoev (4 assists), and defensively they have been fairly stable. Away from home, they have returned 4 wins, 5 draws, and 7 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.
Across those 8 head-to-head meetings, Spartak Varna won 2 times, Slavia Sofia won 4 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 9:16 from Spartak Varna's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 3.13 goals per game.
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 30 | 22 | 4 | 4 | 64:22 | 42 | 70 |
D
W
D
W
W
|
|
| 2 | 30 | 17 | 9 | 4 | 57:20 | 37 | 60 |
L
D
W
W
W
|
|
| 3 | 30 | 18 | 5 | 7 | 50:31 | 19 | 59 |
W
W
L
W
W
|
|
| 4 | 30 | 16 | 8 | 6 | 43:23 | 20 | 56 |
D
W
W
W
L
|
|
| 5 | 30 | 11 | 13 | 6 | 30:33 | -3 | 46 |
D
D
W
W
W
|
|
| 6 | 30 | 11 | 11 | 8 | 33:26 | 7 | 44 |
L
D
L
L
W
|
|
| 7 | 30 | 12 | 8 | 10 | 33:27 | 6 | 44 |
W
L
W
W
W
|
|
| 8 | 30 | 11 | 7 | 12 | 40:37 | 3 | 40 |
W
D
W
W
L
|
|
| 9 |
Slavia Sofia
Away
|
30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | 36:33 | 3 | 39 |
D
L
W
L
D
|
| 10 | 30 | 9 | 11 | 10 | 24:26 | -2 | 38 |
W
L
D
L
W
|
|
| 11 | 30 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 40:39 | 1 | 37 |
L
W
L
L
W
|
|
| 12 |
Spartak Varna
Home
|
30 | 5 | 12 | 13 | 25:50 | -25 | 27 |
D
W
L
L
L
|
| 13 | 30 | 7 | 5 | 18 | 23:43 | -20 | 26 |
L
L
D
L
L
|
|
| 14 | 30 | 7 | 5 | 18 | 25:58 | -33 | 26 |
D
W
D
L
L
|
|
| 15 | 30 | 4 | 11 | 15 | 19:44 | -25 | 23 |
D
L
L
W
L
|
|
| 16 | 30 | 3 | 8 | 19 | 15:45 | -30 | 17 |
D
L
L
L
L
|