LDU de Quito vs Mushuc Runa SC Prediction & Match Analysis
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
42.9%
|
1.74 | |
| BTTS | No |
65.8%
|
1.83 | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
72.8%
|
1.83 | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
83.9%
|
1.17 | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
2.75 | |
| Correct Score | 1-0 |
-
|
7.00 |
LDU de Quito
Mushuc Runa SC
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
LDU de Quito
38 matches
Mushuc Runa SC
27 matches
| LDU de Quito | Statistic | Mushuc Runa SC |
|---|---|---|
| 17 | Wins | 9 |
| 9 | Draws | 9 |
| 12 | Losses | 9 |
| 41 | Goals For | 33 |
| 31 | Goals Against | 34 |
| 1.08 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.22 |
| 0.82 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.26 |
| 13 | BTTS Yes | 15 |
| 23 | Over 1.5 | 18 |
| 9 | Over 2.5 | 14 |
| 3 | Over 3.5 | 9 |
| 15 | Clean Sheets | 10 |
| 14 | Failed To Score | 7 |
| 3.43 | Shots On Goal | 3.7 |
| 13.83 | Total Shots | 12.52 |
| 5.34 | Corners | 4.78 |
| 48.9% | Ball Possession | 48.9% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
This match looks like a contest between LDU de Quito's more proactive style and Mushuc Runa SC's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with LDU de Quito expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Mushuc Runa SC in 4-4-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Mushuc Runa SC having the stronger overall control. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Mushuc Runa SC. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. LDU de Quito come in with stronger recent momentum, which could help them control the rhythm for longer periods.
LDU de Quito come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 5 place with 41 points after 26 matches. The return of 12 wins, 5 draws, and 9 defeats, together with goals at 26:20, reflects very strong form with results showing strong momentum. Much of their attacking edge comes through Michael Estrada (5 goals), Deyverson (4 goals), Rodney Redes (2 goals), with creative support from Deyverson (2 assists), Yerlin Quinonez (2 assists), Michael Estrada (1 assists), while their defending has remained very solid. At home, they have managed 6 wins, 3 draws, and 4 losses, which underlines a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In stylistic terms they continue to show balanced attacking football.
Mushuc Runa SC sit 9 with 33 points after 26 league matches. Their overall return of 8 wins, 9 draws, and 9 losses with goals at 32:34 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by Ronie Carrillo (6 goals), Renato Ibarra (4 goals), Cristopher Angulo (3 goals), with creative support from Nicolás Dávila (3 assists), Renato Ibarra (2 assists), Kevin Velasco (2 assists), while defensively they have appeared fairly stable. Away from home, their split return of 3 wins, 4 draws, and 6 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, LDU de Quito won 10 times, Mushuc Runa SC won 1 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 27:13 from LDU de Quito's perspective. 8 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 10 matches, with an average of 2.67 goals per game.
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 30 | 24 | 2 | 4 | 73:33 | 40 | 74 |
W
W
L
D
W
|
|
| 2 | 30 | 14 | 9 | 7 | 51:27 | 24 | 51 |
L
W
W
D
D
|
|
| 3 | 30 | 15 | 6 | 9 | 41:33 | 8 | 51 |
W
W
L
W
W
|
|
| 4 | 30 | 14 | 8 | 8 | 33:28 | 5 | 50 |
L
D
D
D
W
|
|
| 5 |
LDU de Quito
Home
|
30 | 13 | 7 | 10 | 31:24 | 7 | 46 |
W
D
W
D
L
|
| 6 | 30 | 11 | 11 | 8 | 32:25 | 7 | 44 |
D
D
W
L
W
|
|
| 7 | 30 | 11 | 8 | 11 | 33:34 | -1 | 41 |
W
L
W
D
L
|
|
| 8 | 30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | 31:32 | -1 | 39 |
D
L
D
W
L
|
|
| 9 | 30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | 33:36 | -3 | 39 |
D
W
L
L
W
|
|
| 10 |
Mushuc Runa SC
Away
|
30 | 9 | 11 | 10 | 35:38 | -3 | 38 |
D
L
D
D
W
|
| 11 | 30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | 25:34 | -9 | 36 |
L
L
W
D
W
|
|
| 12 | 30 | 10 | 6 | 14 | 25:37 | -12 | 36 |
D
D
L
W
L
|
|
| 13 | 30 | 9 | 6 | 15 | 36:47 | -11 | 33 |
L
W
L
L
L
|
|
| 14 | 30 | 10 | 2 | 18 | 28:42 | -14 | 32 |
D
W
L
L
W
|
|
| 15 | 30 | 7 | 7 | 16 | 19:31 | -12 | 28 |
D
D
L
W
L
|
|
| 16 | 30 | 5 | 6 | 19 | 17:42 | -25 | 21 |
D
L
L
W
L
|