ECUADOR LIGA PRO
02.09.2026 00:00
Estadio Rodrigo Paz Delgado
Referee: Y. Zambrano
LDU de Quito
Match Timeline
Mushuc Runa SC
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
14'
J. Carabali
LDU de Quito
🟨
18'
M. Weigandt
LDU de Quito
🟨
28'
A. Zambrano
Mushuc Runa SC
🟨
34'
C. Angulo
Mushuc Runa SC
🔄
46'
M. Weigandt ↔ J. W. Cuero Mercado
LDU de Quito
🔄
46'
G. Villamil ↔ L. Rodriguez
LDU de Quito
🔄
79'
N. Bazan ↔ E. Caicedo
Mushuc Runa SC
🟨
81'
J. W. Cuero Mercado
LDU de Quito
🔄
81'
S. Gonzalez Baquero ↔ A. Alvarado
LDU de Quito
🟨
83'
R. Formento
Mushuc Runa SC
🔄
85'
M. Perea ↔ F. Mina
Mushuc Runa SC
🔄
88'
C. Angulo ↔ K. Peralta
Mushuc Runa SC
🔄
88'
R. Ibarra ↔ B. Corozo
Mushuc Runa SC
🟨
89'
B. Corozo
Mushuc Runa SC
🟨
90+5'
J. W. Cuero Mercado
LDU de Quito
🟥
90+5'
J. W. Cuero Mercado
LDU de Quito

LDU de Quito vs Mushuc Runa SC Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 42.9%
Odds 1.74
BTTS
No
Probability 65.8%
Odds 1.83
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 72.8%
Odds 1.83
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
42.9%
1.74
BTTS No
65.8%
1.83
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
72.8%
1.83
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
83.9%
1.17
HT / FT Home / Home
-
2.75
Correct Score 1-0
-
7.00
Probability Distribution
LDU de Quito Win 42.9%
Draw 15.7%
Mushuc Runa SC Win 41.4%
Expected Goals (xG)
LDU de Quito1.15
Mushuc Runa SC1.06
Recent Form (Last 5)
LDU de Quito LDU de Quito
WWDLW
41 GF / 31 GA
Mushuc Runa SC Mushuc Runa SC
WLDWL
33 GF / 34 GA
Key Stats
1.08
Average Goals Scored
1.22
0.82
Average Goals Conceded
1.26
13
BTTS Yes
15
9
Over 2.5
14
3.43
Shots on Goal
3.7

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

LDU de Quito LDU de Quito 38 matches
Mushuc Runa SC Mushuc Runa SC 27 matches
LDU de Quito Statistic Mushuc Runa SC
17 Wins 9
9 Draws 9
12 Losses 9
41 Goals For 33
31 Goals Against 34
1.08 Avg Goals Scored 1.22
0.82 Avg Goals Conceded 1.26
13 BTTS Yes 15
23 Over 1.5 18
9 Over 2.5 14
3 Over 3.5 9
15 Clean Sheets 10
14 Failed To Score 7
3.43 Shots On Goal 3.7
13.83 Total Shots 12.52
5.34 Corners 4.78
48.9% Ball Possession 48.9%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match looks like a contest between LDU de Quito's more proactive style and Mushuc Runa SC's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with LDU de Quito expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Mushuc Runa SC in 4-4-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Mushuc Runa SC having the stronger overall control. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Mushuc Runa SC. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. LDU de Quito come in with stronger recent momentum, which could help them control the rhythm for longer periods.

LDU de Quito Analysis

LDU de Quito come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 5 place with 41 points after 26 matches. The return of 12 wins, 5 draws, and 9 defeats, together with goals at 26:20, reflects very strong form with results showing strong momentum. Much of their attacking edge comes through Michael Estrada (5 goals), Deyverson (4 goals), Rodney Redes (2 goals), with creative support from Deyverson (2 assists), Yerlin Quinonez (2 assists), Michael Estrada (1 assists), while their defending has remained very solid. At home, they have managed 6 wins, 3 draws, and 4 losses, which underlines a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In stylistic terms they continue to show balanced attacking football.

Mushuc Runa SC Analysis

Mushuc Runa SC sit 9 with 33 points after 26 league matches. Their overall return of 8 wins, 9 draws, and 9 losses with goals at 32:34 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by Ronie Carrillo (6 goals), Renato Ibarra (4 goals), Cristopher Angulo (3 goals), with creative support from Nicolás Dávila (3 assists), Renato Ibarra (2 assists), Kevin Velasco (2 assists), while defensively they have appeared fairly stable. Away from home, their split return of 3 wins, 4 draws, and 6 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, LDU de Quito won 10 times, Mushuc Runa SC won 1 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 27:13 from LDU de Quito's perspective. 8 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 10 matches, with an average of 2.67 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (84.4%)
Predicted formations: LDU de Quito 4-2-3-1 / Mushuc Runa SC 4-4-2
H2H summary: LDU de Quito wins 10, draws 4, Mushuc Runa SC wins 1

Standings

Liga Pro
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 29 23 2 4 70:31 39 71
W L D W W
2 29 14 7 8 33:28 5 49
D D W W L
3 29 13 9 7 49:26 23 48
W D D W D
4 29 14 6 9 40:33 7 48
L W W L D
5 29 13 6 10 30:23 7 45
W D L W W
6 29 11 10 8 31:24 7 43
D W L W D
7 29 11 8 10 31:31 0 41
W D L W D
8 29 10 9 10 31:31 0 39
D W L L W
9 29 9 11 9 34:35 -1 38
D D W D D
10 29 9 9 11 30:35 -5 36
L L W W D
11 29 10 9 10 25:33 -8 36
W D W L W
12 29 10 5 14 24:36 -12 35
L W L D L
13 29 9 6 14 35:45 -10 33
W L L L W
14 29 9 2 18 27:42 -15 29
L L W L L
15 29 7 6 16 18:30 -12 27
L W L L L
16 29 5 5 19 17:42 -25 20
L L W L L
Play-offs
Relegation Playoffs