CZECH-REPUBLIC CZECH LIGA
12.05.2026 18:00
epet ARENA
Referee: J. Benes
Sparta Praha
Match Timeline
Plzen
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🔄
60'
T. Ladra ↔ P. Adu
Plzen
🔄
60'
D. Visinsky ↔ C. Souare
Plzen
🔄
66'
M. Vojta ↔ F. Panak
Sparta Praha
🟨
68'
Santiago Eneme
Sparta Praha
🟨
68'
Lukáš Červ
Plzen
🔄
76'
J. Kuchta ↔ T. Schanelec
Sparta Praha
🔄
76'
A. Rrahmani ↔ L. Moudry
Sparta Praha
🔄
77'
M. Toure ↔ M. Vydra
Plzen
🔄
77'
A. Sojka ↔ K. Spacil
Plzen
🔄
90+1'
L. Cerv ↔ M. Valenta
Plzen

Sparta Praha vs Plzen Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 59.9%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 56.9%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 66.6%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
59.9%
-
BTTS BTTS No
56.9%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
66.6%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-0
-
-
Probability Distribution
Sparta Praha Win 59.9%
Draw 4.7%
Plzen Win 35.4%
Expected Goals (xG)
Sparta Praha1.55
Plzen1.34
Recent Form (Last 5)
Sparta Praha Sparta Praha
WWDLW
86 GF / 47 GA
Plzen Plzen
WLDWL
71 GF / 47 GA
Key Stats
1.91
Average Goals Scored
1.54
1.04
Average Goals Conceded
1.02
24
BTTS Yes
22
28
Over 2.5
22
4.6
Shots on Goal
5.65

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Sparta Praha Sparta Praha 45 matches
Plzen Plzen 46 matches
Sparta Praha Statistic Plzen
28 Wins 22
7 Draws 15
10 Losses 9
86 Goals For 71
47 Goals Against 47
1.91 Avg Goals Scored 1.54
1.04 Avg Goals Conceded 1.02
24 BTTS Yes 22
36 Over 1.5 34
28 Over 2.5 22
15 Over 3.5 10
17 Clean Sheets 17
7 Failed To Score 12
4.6 Shots On Goal 5.65
12.49 Total Shots 15.83
5.4 Corners 5.46
54.5% Ball Possession 52%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

Looking at the broader profile of both teams, this encounter highlights two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Plzen. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Sparta Praha expected to line up in 4-3-3 and Plzen in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Plzen having the stronger overall control. Sparta Praha come in with stronger recent momentum, which could help them control the rhythm for longer periods. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This game has the potential to be open, with both sides capable of creating several scoring chances. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day.

Sparta Praha Analysis

Operating from 2 place with 63 points from 30 games, Sparta Praha bring one of the stronger season profiles into this match. With 19 wins, 6 draws, and 5 defeats plus a goal balance of 60:33, they continue to show very strong form with results showing strong momentum. Their attacking quality is driven by J. Kuchta (12 goals), L. Haraslin (12 goals), A. Rrahmani (10 goals), with creative support from J. Kuchta (5 assists), L. Haraslin (5 assists), P. Vydra (5 assists), and at the back they have appeared fairly stable. At home, the split of 11 wins, 3 draws, and 1 losses supports the view of a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their football identity still points toward balanced attacking football.

Plzen Analysis

Operating from 3 place with 53 points from 30 games, Plzen bring one of the stronger season profiles into this match. They have recorded 15 wins, 8 draws, and 7 losses, with a 50:34 goal return and good form and are on a winning streak. In attack they lean heavily on D. Visinsky (7 goals), P. Adu (7 goals), R. Durosinmi (7 goals), with creative support from A. Memic (8 assists), T. Ladra (6 assists), C. Souare (5 assists), while defensively they have looked fairly stable. Away from home, the split of 8 wins, 3 draws, and 4 losses supports the view of a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their football identity still points toward balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Sparta Praha won 6 times, Plzen won 6 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 13:20 from Sparta Praha's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 2.2 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (95.3%)
Predicted formations: Sparta Praha 4-3-3 / Plzen 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Sparta Praha wins 6, draws 3, Plzen wins 6

Standings

1. Liga , Championship Round
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 35 24 8 3 74:31 43 80
W L W W W
2 35 23 7 6 69:34 35 76
W W D W L
3
Plzen Away
35 18 9 8 60:38 22 63
L W D W W
4 35 16 8 11 50:41 9 56
L W W D L
5 35 16 7 12 45:47 -2 55
W L L D L
6 35 12 10 13 45:39 6 46
L L L L L
Champions League
Champions League Qualification
UEFA Europa League Qualification
Conference League Qualification