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ENGLAND › CHAMPIONSHIP
--.--.---- --:--
Southampton
FT
1 - 2
Stoke City
St. Mary's Stadium
Referee: J. Smith
Southampton
Match Timeline
Stoke City
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🔄
21'
Welington ↔ R. Manning
Southampton
🟨
25'
Junior Tchamadeu
Stoke City
🟨
28'
Divin Mubama
Stoke City
🟨
45+3'
Tatsuki Seko
Stoke City
🔄
46'
A. Armstrong ↔ D. Downs
Southampton
⚽
54'
L. Baker
Stoke City
🟨
57'
Nathan Wood
Southampton
🟨
59'
Divin Mubama
Stoke City
🟥
59'
Divin Mubama
Stoke City
🔄
68'
N. Wood ↔ R. Stewart
Southampton
🟨
71'
Viktor Johansson
Stoke City
🔄
71'
J. Bae ↔ E. Bocat
Stoke City
🔄
71'
T. Seko ↔ A. Phillips
Stoke City
⚽
76'
S. Thomas · Assist: V. Johansson
Stoke City
🔄
79'
S. Charles ↔ M. Roerslev Rasmussen
Southampton
🔄
79'
J. Robinson ↔ C. Archer
Southampton
⚽
79'
T. Harwood-Bellis · Assist: M. Fernandes
Southampton
🔄
81'
M. Manhoef ↔ R. Bozenik
Stoke City

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
Probability Distribution
Southampton Win 0%
Draw 0%
Stoke City Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Southampton1.1
Stoke City2.2
Recent Form (Last 5)
Southampton Southampton
WWDLW
3 GF / 2 GA
Stoke City Stoke City
WLDWL
6 GF / 1 GA
Key Stats
1.5
Average Goals Scored
3
1
Average Goals Conceded
0.5
2
BTTS Yes
1
1
Over 2.5
2
6.5
Shots on Goal
6.5

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Southampton Southampton 2 matches
Stoke City Stoke City 2 matches
Southampton Statistic Stoke City
1 Wins 2
1 Draws 0
0 Losses 0
3 Goals For 6
2 Goals Against 1
1.5 Avg Goals Scored 3
1 Avg Goals Conceded 0.5
2 BTTS Yes 1
2 Over 1.5 2
1 Over 2.5 2
0 Over 3.5 1
0 Clean Sheets 1
0 Failed To Score 0
6.5 Shots On Goal 6.5
19 Total Shots 12
6 Corners 7
62.5% Ball Possession 57%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Southampton won 6 times, Stoke City won 6 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 17:16 from Southampton's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 2.2 goals per game.

Predicted formations: Southampton 4-2-3-1 / Stoke City -
H2H summary: Southampton wins 6, draws 3, Stoke City wins 6
Stats
Southampton Southampton
Stoke City Stoke City
Shots on Goal
2
Shots on Goal
4
Shots off Goal
10
Shots off Goal
4
Blocked Shots
6
Blocked Shots
4
7 Corner Kicks 3
6 Fouls 12
2 Offsides 1
65% Ball Possession 35%
18 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Goal 4
10 Shots off Goal 4
6 Blocked Shots 4
13 Shots insidebox 7
5 Shots outsidebox 5
2 Goalkeeper Saves 1
457 Total passes 257
396 Passes accurate 189
2.59 expected_goals 1.50
🟨 1 Yellow Cards 5 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 1 🟥

Lineups

Stoke City
Formation
Southampton
V. Johansson
🎯
V. Johansson
J. Tchamadeu
J. Tchamadeu
B. Lawal
B. Lawal
B. Wilmot
B. Wilmot
A. Cresswell
A. Cresswell
T. Seko
↓
T. Seko
L. Baker
⚽
L. Baker
M. Manhoef
↓
M. Manhoef
J. Bae
↓
J. Bae
S. Thomas
⚽
S. Thomas
D. Mubama
D. Mubama
G. Bazunu
G. Bazunu
T. Harwood-Bellis
⚽
T. Harwood-Bellis
N. Wood
↓
N. Wood
J. Stephens
J. Stephens
R. Fraser
R. Fraser
F. Downes
F. Downes
S. Charles
↓
S. Charles
Welington
↓
Welington
M. Fernandes
🎯
M. Fernandes
J. Robinson
↓
J. Robinson
A. Armstrong
↓
A. Armstrong
Stoke City 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
1
V. Johansson
🎯 76' 🟨 71'
G
22
J. Tchamadeu
🟨 25'
D
18
B. Lawal
16
B. Wilmot
D
3
A. Cresswell
D
12
T. Seko
↓ 71' 🟨 45+3'
M
8
L. Baker
⚽ 54'
M
42
M. Manhoef
↓ 81'
M
10
J. Bae
↓ 71'
M
7
S. Thomas
⚽ 76'
M
9
D. Mubama
🟨 28' 🟨 59' 🟥 59'
F
Substitutes
13
J. Bonham
G
17
E. Bocat
↑ 71'
D
57
J. Mears
D
26
A. Phillips
↑ 71'
D
14
J. Donley
M
4
B. Pearson
M
46
W. Smith
M
11
R. Bozenik
↑ 81'
F
56
F. Fawunmi
F
Southampton 3-4-3 (estimated)
Starting XI
31
G. Bazunu
G
6
T. Harwood-Bellis
⚽ 79'
D
15
N. Wood
↓ 68' 🟨 57'
D
5
J. Stephens
D
26
R. Fraser
M
4
F. Downes
M
24
S. Charles
↓ 79'
M
34
Welington
↓ 21'
M
18
M. Fernandes
🎯 79'
F
46
J. Robinson
↓ 79'
F
9
A. Armstrong
↓ 46'
F
Substitutes
1
A. McCarthy
G
12
R. Edwards
D
3
R. Manning
↑ 21'
D
17
J. Quarshie
D
2
M. Roerslev Rasmussen
↑ 79'
D
27
K. Matsuki
M
19
C. Archer
↑ 79'
F
42
D. Downs
↑ 46'
F
11
R. Stewart
↑ 68'
F
Last matches: Southampton
16.08.26
Cha
Southampton
Watford
1
2
L
01.08.26
Fri
Southampton
Preußen Münster
2
1
W
24.07.26
Fri
Southampton
Eintracht Braunschweig
1
0
W
18.07.26
Fri
Southampton
Eastleigh
3
1
W
12.05.26
Cha
Southampton
Middlesbrough
2
1
W
09.05.26
Cha
Southampton
Middlesbrough
0
0
D
02.05.26
Cha
Southampton
Preston
3
1
W
28.04.26
Cha
Southampton
Ipswich
2
2
D
25.04.26
FA
Southampton
Manchester City
1
2
L
21.04.26
Cha
Southampton
Bristol City
2
2
D
18.04.26
Cha
Southampton
Swansea
2
1
W
14.04.26
Cha
Southampton
Blackburn
3
0
W
11.04.26
Cha
Southampton
Derby
2
1
W
07.04.26
Cha
Southampton
Wrexham
5
1
W
04.04.26
FA
Southampton
Arsenal
2
1
W
21.03.26
Cha
Southampton
Oxford United
2
0
W
18.03.26
Cha
Southampton
Norwich
1
0
W
14.03.26
Cha
Southampton
Coventry
2
1
W
11.03.26
Cha
Southampton
West Brom
1
1
D
08.03.26
FA
Southampton
Fulham
1
0
W
Last matches: Stoke City
15.08.26
Cha
Stoke City
Swansea
1
2
L
01.08.26
Fri
Stoke City
Valencia
1
1
D
28.07.26
Fri
Stoke City
Everton
1
0
W
18.07.26
Fri
Stoke City
Crewe
1
1
D
10.07.26
Fri
Stoke City
SC Braga
0
1
L
02.05.26
Cha
Stoke City
Bristol City
0
2
L
25.04.26
Cha
Stoke City
Portsmouth
1
3
L
21.04.26
Cha
Stoke City
Millwall
1
3
L
18.04.26
Cha
Stoke City
Wrexham
0
2
L
11.04.26
Cha
Stoke City
Blackburn
1
1
D
06.04.26
Cha
Stoke City
Derby
0
2
L
03.04.26
Cha
Stoke City
Sheffield Wednesday
2
0
W
20.03.26
Cha
Stoke City
Preston
1
3
L
14.03.26
Cha
Stoke City
Watford
3
1
W
10.03.26
Cha
Stoke City
Ipswich
3
3
D
07.03.26
Cha
Stoke City
Swansea
0
2
L
28.02.26
Cha
Stoke City
Coventry
1
2
L
25.02.26
Cha
Stoke City
Oxford United
2
1
W
21.02.26
Cha
Stoke City
Leicester
2
2
D
15.02.26
FA
Stoke City
Fulham
1
2
L
H2H: Southampton vs Stoke City
31.01.26
H2H
Stoke City
Southampton
0
2
W
23.08.25
H2H
Southampton
Stoke City
1
2
L
29.10.24
H2H
Southampton
Stoke City
3
2
W
27.04.24
H2H
Southampton
Stoke City
0
1
L
03.10.23
H2H
Stoke City
Southampton
0
1
W
03.03.18
H2H
Southampton
Stoke City
0
0
D
30.09.17
H2H
Stoke City
Southampton
2
1
L
21.05.17
H2H
Southampton
Stoke City
0
1
L
14.12.16
H2H
Stoke City
Southampton
0
0
D
12.03.16
H2H
Stoke City
Southampton
1
2
W
21.11.15
H2H
Southampton
Stoke City
0
1
L
18.04.15
H2H
Stoke City
Southampton
2
1
L
29.10.14
H2H
Stoke City
Southampton
2
3
W
25.10.14
H2H
Southampton
Stoke City
1
0
W
08.02.14
H2H
Southampton
Stoke City
2
2
D
Last matches: Southampton
12.05.26
Cha
Southampton
Middlesbrough
2
1
W
28.04.26
Cha
Southampton
Ipswich
2
2
D
21.04.26
Cha
Southampton
Bristol City
2
2
D
14.04.26
Cha
Southampton
Blackburn
3
0
W
11.04.26
Cha
Southampton
Derby
2
1
W
04.04.26
FA
Southampton
Arsenal
2
1
W
21.03.26
Cha
Southampton
Oxford United
2
0
W
18.03.26
Cha
Southampton
Norwich
1
0
W
24.02.26
Cha
Southampton
QPR
5
0
W
21.02.26
Cha
Southampton
Charlton
1
1
D
14.02.26
FA
Southampton
Leicester
2
1
W
07.02.26
Cha
Southampton
Watford
1
0
W
21.01.26
Cha
Southampton
Sheffield Utd
1
0
W
17.01.26
Cha
Southampton
Hull City
1
2
L
01.01.26
Cha
Southampton
Millwall
0
0
D
20.12.25
Cha
Southampton
Coventry
1
1
D
09.12.25
Cha
Southampton
West Brom
3
2
W
06.12.25
Cha
Southampton
Birmingham
3
1
W
25.11.25
Cha
Southampton
Leicester
3
0
W
08.11.25
Cha
Southampton
Sheffield Wednesday
3
1
W
H2H at home: Southampton
23.08.25
H2H
Southampton
Stoke City
1
2
L
29.10.24
H2H
Southampton
Stoke City
3
2
W
27.04.24
H2H
Southampton
Stoke City
0
1
L
03.03.18
H2H
Southampton
Stoke City
0
0
D
21.05.17
H2H
Southampton
Stoke City
0
1
L
21.11.15
H2H
Southampton
Stoke City
0
1
L
25.10.14
H2H
Southampton
Stoke City
1
0
W
08.02.14
H2H
Southampton
Stoke City
2
2
D
Last matches: Stoke City
18.07.26
Fri
Stoke City
Crewe
1
1
D
02.05.26
Cha
Stoke City
Bristol City
0
2
L
18.04.26
Cha
Stoke City
Wrexham
0
2
L
06.04.26
Cha
Stoke City
Derby
0
2
L
20.03.26
Cha
Stoke City
Preston
1
3
L
07.03.26
Cha
Stoke City
Swansea
0
2
L
28.02.26
Cha
Stoke City
Coventry
1
2
L
11.02.26
Cha
Stoke City
Charlton
0
1
L
07.02.26
Cha
Stoke City
West Brom
0
0
D
24.01.26
Cha
Stoke City
Birmingham
1
1
D
04.01.26
Cha
Stoke City
Norwich
2
0
W
01.01.26
Cha
Stoke City
Hull City
1
0
W
20.12.25
Cha
Stoke City
Watford
0
1
L
10.12.25
Cha
Stoke City
Ipswich
0
1
L
06.12.25
Cha
Stoke City
Sheffield Utd
0
4
L
22.11.25
Cha
Stoke City
Leicester
1
2
L
04.11.25
Cha
Stoke City
Oxford United
3
0
W
25.10.25
Cha
Stoke City
Portsmouth
1
0
W
21.10.25
Cha
Stoke City
Millwall
0
2
L
04.10.25
Cha
Stoke City
Blackburn
1
1
D
H2H away: Stoke City
23.08.25
H2H
Southampton
Stoke City
1
2
W
29.10.24
H2H
Southampton
Stoke City
3
2
L
27.04.24
H2H
Southampton
Stoke City
0
1
W
03.03.18
H2H
Southampton
Stoke City
0
0
D
21.05.17
H2H
Southampton
Stoke City
0
1
W
21.11.15
H2H
Southampton
Stoke City
0
1
W
25.10.14
H2H
Southampton
Stoke City
1
0
L
08.02.14
H2H
Southampton
Stoke City
2
2
D

Standings

Championship
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1
Coventry
46 28 11 7 97:45 52 95
W W W D D
2
Ipswich
46 23 15 8 80:47 33 84
W D D W D
3
Millwall
46 24 11 11 64:49 15 83
L D W D W
4
Southampton Home
46 22 14 10 82:56 26 80
W D W D D
5
Middlesbrough
46 22 14 10 72:47 25 80
L L D D W
6
Hull City
46 21 10 15 70:66 4 73
W W D W L
7
Wrexham
46 19 14 13 69:65 4 71
D L W W L
8
Derby
46 20 9 17 67:59 8 69
L W L W L
9
Norwich
46 19 8 19 63:56 7 65
L D W W L
10
Birmingham
46 17 13 16 57:56 1 64
D W W D W
11
Swansea
46 18 10 18 57:59 -2 64
W D W L W
12
Bristol City
46 17 11 18 59:59 0 62
W L D L D
13
Sheffield Utd
46 18 6 22 66:66 0 60
W L L W W
14
Preston
46 15 15 16 55:62 -7 60
L W L L W
15
QPR
46 16 10 20 61:73 -12 58
L L L L D
16
Watford
46 14 15 17 53:65 -12 57
L L L L L
17
Stoke City Away
46 15 10 21 51:56 -5 55
L L L L D
18
Portsmouth
46 14 13 19 49:64 -15 55
D W L W W
19
Charlton
46 13 14 19 44:58 -14 53
L W L D L
20
Blackburn
46 13 13 20 42:56 -14 52
L W D L D
21
West Brom
46 13 14 19 48:58 -10 51
L D W W D
22
Oxford United
46 11 14 21 45:59 -14 47
L W L L W
23
Leicester
46 12 16 18 58:68 -10 46
W D D L L
24
Sheffield Wednesday
46 2 12 32 29:89 -60 0
W L L D D
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