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ENGLAND › CHAMPIONSHIP
23.08.2025 14:00
St. Mary's Stadium
Referee: J. Smith
Southampton
Match Timeline
Stoke City
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🔄
21'
Welington ↔ R. Manning
Southampton
🟨
25'
Junior Tchamadeu
Stoke City
🟨
28'
Divin Mubama
Stoke City
🟨
45+3'
Tatsuki Seko
Stoke City
🔄
46'
A. Armstrong ↔ D. Downs
Southampton
⚽
54'
L. Baker
Stoke City
🟨
57'
Nathan Wood
Southampton
🟨
59'
Divin Mubama
Stoke City
🟥
59'
Divin Mubama
Stoke City
🔄
68'
N. Wood ↔ R. Stewart
Southampton
🟨
71'
Viktor Johansson
Stoke City
🔄
71'
J. Bae ↔ E. Bocat
Stoke City
🔄
71'
T. Seko ↔ A. Phillips
Stoke City
⚽
76'
S. Thomas · Assist: V. Johansson
Stoke City
🔄
79'
S. Charles ↔ M. Roerslev Rasmussen
Southampton
🔄
79'
J. Robinson ↔ C. Archer
Southampton
⚽
79'
T. Harwood-Bellis · Assist: M. Fernandes
Southampton
🔄
81'
M. Manhoef ↔ R. Bozenik
Stoke City

Southampton vs Stoke City Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
Probability Distribution
Southampton Win 0%
Draw 0%
Stoke City Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Southampton1.1
Stoke City2.2
Recent Form (Last 5)
Southampton Southampton
WWDLW
3 GF / 2 GA
Stoke City Stoke City
WLDWL
6 GF / 1 GA
Key Stats
1.5
Average Goals Scored
3
1
Average Goals Conceded
0.5
2
BTTS Yes
1
1
Over 2.5
2
6.5
Shots on Goal
6.5

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Southampton Southampton 2 matches
Stoke City Stoke City 2 matches
Southampton Statistic Stoke City
1 Wins 2
1 Draws 0
0 Losses 0
3 Goals For 6
2 Goals Against 1
1.5 Avg Goals Scored 3
1 Avg Goals Conceded 0.5
2 BTTS Yes 1
2 Over 1.5 2
1 Over 2.5 2
0 Over 3.5 1
0 Clean Sheets 1
0 Failed To Score 0
6.5 Shots On Goal 6.5
19 Total Shots 12
6 Corners 7
62.5% Ball Possession 57%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Southampton won 7 times, Stoke City won 6 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 18:15 from Southampton's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 2.2 goals per game.

Predicted formations: Southampton 4-2-3-1 / Stoke City 3-5-2
H2H summary: Southampton wins 7, draws 2, Stoke City wins 6

Standings

Championship
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 46 28 11 7 97:45 52 95
W W W D D
2 46 23 15 8 80:47 33 84
W D D W D
3 46 24 11 11 64:49 15 83
L D W D W
4 46 22 14 10 82:56 26 80
W D W D D
5 46 22 14 10 72:47 25 80
L L D D W
6 46 21 10 15 70:66 4 73
W W D W L
7 46 19 14 13 69:65 4 71
D L W W L
8 46 20 9 17 67:59 8 69
L W L W L
9 46 19 8 19 63:56 7 65
L D W W L
10 46 17 13 16 57:56 1 64
D W W D W
11 46 18 10 18 57:59 -2 64
W D W L W
12 46 17 11 18 59:59 0 62
W L D L D
13 46 18 6 22 66:66 0 60
W L L W W
14 46 15 15 16 55:62 -7 60
L W L L W
15 46 16 10 20 61:73 -12 58
L L L L D
16 46 14 15 17 53:65 -12 57
L L L L L
17 46 15 10 21 51:56 -5 55
L L L L D
18 46 14 13 19 49:64 -15 55
D W L W W
19 46 13 14 19 44:58 -14 53
L W L D L
20 46 13 13 20 42:56 -14 52
L W D L D
21 46 13 14 19 48:58 -10 51
L D W W D
22 46 11 14 21 45:59 -14 47
L W L L W
23 46 12 16 18 58:68 -10 46
W D D L L
24 46 2 12 32 29:89 -60 0
W L L D D
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