Atletico Nacional vs Deportes Tolima Prediction & Match Analysis
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
All Markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|
Probability Distribution
Atletico Nacional Win 0%
Draw 0%
Deportes Tolima Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Atletico Nacional1.53
Deportes Tolima1.13
Recent Form (Last 5)
Atletico Nacional
WWDLW
68 GF / 36 GA
Deportes Tolima
WLDWL
55 GF / 44 GA
Key Stats
1.89
Average Goals Scored
1.22
1
Average Goals Conceded
0.98
16
BTTS Yes
19
24
Over 2.5
18
6.24
Shots on Goal
4.69
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Atletico Nacional
36 matches
Deportes Tolima
45 matches
| Atletico Nacional | Statistic | Deportes Tolima |
|---|---|---|
| 24 | Wins | 19 |
| 1 | Draws | 11 |
| 11 | Losses | 15 |
| 68 | Goals For | 55 |
| 36 | Goals Against | 44 |
| 1.89 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.22 |
| 1 | Avg Goals Conceded | 0.98 |
| 16 | BTTS Yes | 19 |
| 28 | Over 1.5 | 29 |
| 24 | Over 2.5 | 18 |
| 8 | Over 3.5 | 9 |
| 11 | Clean Sheets | 16 |
| 10 | Failed To Score | 15 |
| 6.24 | Shots On Goal | 4.69 |
| 16.52 | Total Shots | 13.11 |
| 5.52 | Corners | 4.91 |
| 58.2% | Ball Possession | 56.9% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
H2H Analysis
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Atletico Nacional won 6 times, Deportes Tolima won 5 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 24:19 from Atletico Nacional's perspective. 8 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 9 matches, with an average of 2.87 goals per game.
Predicted formations: Atletico Nacional 4-2-3-1 / Deportes Tolima 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Atletico Nacional wins 6, draws 4, Deportes Tolima wins 5
Standings
Apertura
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Atletico Nacional
Home
|
19 | 13 | 1 | 5 | 35:15 | 20 | 40 |
L
W
W
W
W
|
| 2 | 19 | 11 | 2 | 6 | 31:24 | 7 | 35 |
W
L
D
D
L
|
|
| 3 | 19 | 10 | 4 | 5 | 29:25 | 4 | 34 |
W
W
D
L
D
|
|
| 4 | 19 | 10 | 3 | 6 | 25:15 | 10 | 33 |
D
L
W
D
W
|
|
| 5 | 19 | 8 | 9 | 2 | 31:22 | 9 | 33 |
L
W
L
L
W
|
|
| 6 |
Deportes Tolima
Away
|
19 | 8 | 7 | 4 | 27:17 | 10 | 31 |
D
L
L
W
W
|
| 7 | 19 | 7 | 8 | 4 | 29:22 | 7 | 29 |
W
W
D
W
D
|
|
| 8 | 19 | 7 | 7 | 5 | 26:26 | 0 | 28 |
L
L
W
D
D
|
|
| 9 | 19 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 20:16 | 4 | 27 |
W
W
D
D
L
|
|
| 10 | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 31:23 | 8 | 26 |
W
W
D
D
L
|
|
| 11 | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 26:24 | 2 | 26 |
W
D
L
W
W
|
|
| 12 | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 20:25 | -5 | 26 |
D
L
D
D
D
|
|
| 13 | 19 | 5 | 8 | 6 | 26:20 | 6 | 23 |
W
D
W
D
D
|
|
| 14 | 19 | 4 | 10 | 5 | 17:20 | -3 | 22 |
W
L
L
L
L
|
|
| 15 | 19 | 5 | 7 | 7 | 22:27 | -5 | 22 |
L
D
D
L
D
|
|
| 16 | 19 | 5 | 3 | 11 | 20:33 | -13 | 18 |
L
D
D
D
W
|
|
| 17 | 19 | 3 | 8 | 8 | 13:27 | -14 | 17 |
L
W
W
L
L
|
|
| 18 | 19 | 5 | 2 | 12 | 15:32 | -17 | 17 |
L
L
W
W
D
|
|
| 19 | 19 | 3 | 7 | 9 | 22:35 | -13 | 16 |
L
L
D
L
W
|
|
| 20 | 19 | 1 | 7 | 11 | 15:32 | -17 | 10 |
D
L
D
L
W
|
Post season qualification