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UGANDA › PREMIER LEAGUE
18.10.2026 13:00

UPDF vs BUL Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 57%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 61.5%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 73.6%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
57%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
61.5%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
73.6%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
- ▥
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
- ▥
Correct Score 1-2
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
UPDF Win 29.9%
Draw 13.2%
BUL Win 57%
Expected Goals (xG)
UPDF0.6
BUL1.85
Recent Form (Last 5)
UPDF UPDF
WWDLW
2 GF / 2 GA
BUL BUL
WLDWL
11 GF / 3 GA
Key Stats
0.5
Average Goals Scored
2.75
0.5
Average Goals Conceded
0.75
1
BTTS Yes
3
1
Over 2.5
3
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

UPDF UPDF 4 matches
BUL BUL 4 matches
UPDF Statistic BUL
1 Wins 4
2 Draws 0
1 Losses 0
2 Goals For 11
2 Goals Against 3
0.5 Avg Goals Scored 2.75
0.5 Avg Goals Conceded 0.75
1 BTTS Yes 3
1 Over 1.5 3
1 Over 2.5 3
0 Over 3.5 2
3 Clean Sheets 1
2 Failed To Score 0
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 5 head-to-head meetings, UPDF won 3 times, BUL won 2 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 10:6 from UPDF's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 3.2 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (86.8%)
H2H summary: UPDF wins 3, draws 0, BUL wins 2

Standings

Regular Season
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1
BUL Away
4 4 0 0 11:3 8 12
W W W W
2 5 3 2 0 8:2 6 11
D W W W D
3 4 3 1 0 9:2 7 10
W D W W
4 4 3 0 1 5:3 2 9
L W W W
5 4 2 1 1 3:1 2 7
W D L W
6 4 2 1 1 3:2 1 7
D L W W
7 5 2 0 3 8:6 2 6
W L L W L
8 5 2 0 3 4:9 -5 6
L L W L W
9 3 1 2 0 3:2 1 5
W D D
10
UPDF Home
4 1 2 1 2:2 0 5
W D L D
11 4 1 1 2 3:4 -1 4
D L W L
12 4 1 1 2 1:4 -3 4
W D L L
13 2 1 0 1 3:1 2 3
W L
14 3 1 0 2 3:6 -3 3
L L W
15 5 1 0 4 3:11 -8 3
W L L L L
16 4 0 2 2 0:2 -2 2
L D D L
17 4 0 2 2 2:6 -4 2
D L L D
18 4 0 1 3 1:6 -5 1
L L D L