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18.10.2026 14:00
FT
0 - 2
Nakivubo Stadium
UPDF
Match Timeline
BUL
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
58'
D. Batholomew
BUL
⚽
75'
D. Batholomew
BUL

UPDF vs BUL Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 57%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 61.5%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 73.6%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
57%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
61.5%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
73.6%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
- ▥
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
- ▥
Correct Score 1-2
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
UPDF Win 29.9%
Draw 13.2%
BUL Win 57%
Expected Goals (xG)
UPDF0.72
BUL1.56
Recent Form (Last 5)
UPDF UPDF
W W D L D
4 GF / 3 GA
BUL BUL
D W W W W
11 GF / 3 GA
Key Stats
0.8
Average Goals Scored
2.2
0.6
Average Goals Conceded
0.6
2
BTTS Yes
3
2
Over 2.5
3
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

UPDF UPDF 5 matches
BUL BUL 5 matches
UPDF Statistic BUL
2 Wins 4
2 Draws 1
1 Losses 0
4 Goals For 11
3 Goals Against 3
0.8 Avg Goals Scored 2.2
0.6 Avg Goals Conceded 0.6
2 BTTS Yes 3
2 Over 1.5 3
2 Over 2.5 3
0 Over 3.5 2
3 Clean Sheets 2
2 Failed To Score 1
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 5 head-to-head meetings, UPDF won 3 times, BUL won 2 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 10:6 from UPDF's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 3.2 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (86.8%)
H2H summary: UPDF wins 3, draws 0, BUL wins 2

Standings

Regular Season
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 7 2 1 19:5 14 23
W W W L W
2
BUL Away
9 7 2 0 18:6 12 23
W D W W D
3 10 6 3 1 19:6 13 21
L W D W W
4 10 5 4 1 11:4 7 19
W D D W D
5 9 6 1 2 12:6 6 19
W W W W W
6 10 5 2 3 19:5 14 17
W W L L D
7 10 4 3 3 10:13 -3 15
D W W D L
8 9 4 1 4 11:13 -2 13
W W W L D
9 10 4 1 5 11:15 -4 13
L L D W L
10 6 3 3 0 7:4 3 12
D W W W D
11 9 3 2 4 13:11 2 11
L D W D W
12 10 2 5 3 10:11 -1 11
W D D D L
13
UPDF Home
9 2 2 5 4:8 -4 8
L L L L W
14 9 2 2 5 5:10 -5 8
L L W L W
15 10 2 2 6 6:15 -9 8
L L L D D
16 9 1 1 7 5:17 -12 4
L W L L L
17 9 1 1 7 6:22 -16 4
L D L L W
18 10 0 3 7 10:25 -15 3
L L D L L