SENEGAL LIGUE 1
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Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 61.9%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 50.9%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 39.8%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
61.9%
-
BTTS BTTS No
50.9%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
39.8%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
-
Correct Score 0-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Sonacos Win 23.8%
Draw 14.3%
Pikine Win 61.9%
Expected Goals (xG)
Sonacos0.63
Pikine1
Recent Form (Last 5)
Sonacos Sonacos
WWDLW
16 GF / 33 GA
Pikine Pikine
WLDWL
18 GF / 14 GA
Key Stats
0.67
Average Goals Scored
0.75
1.38
Average Goals Conceded
0.58
9
BTTS Yes
4
9
Over 2.5
4
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Sonacos Sonacos 24 matches
Pikine Pikine 24 matches
Sonacos Statistic Pikine
4 Wins 7
9 Draws 10
11 Losses 7
16 Goals For 18
33 Goals Against 14
0.67 Avg Goals Scored 0.75
1.38 Avg Goals Conceded 0.58
9 BTTS Yes 4
15 Over 1.5 10
9 Over 2.5 4
3 Over 3.5 2
7 Clean Sheets 14
13 Failed To Score 14
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match looks like a contest between Pikine's more proactive style and Sonacos's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Pikine. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Sonacos have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Pikine having the stronger overall control. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected.

Sonacos Analysis

Sonacos approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 14 with 21 points from 24 matches. The overall return of 4 wins, 9 draws, and 11 defeats with a 16:33 goal balance points toward poor form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on their main attacking players, while defensively they have looked fairly stable. At home, they have managed 2 wins, 7 draws, and 3 losses, a return that supports a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

Pikine Analysis

Pikine sit 9 with 31 points after 24 league matches. The record of 7 wins, 10 draws, and 7 defeats, together with a 18:14 goal balance, points toward good form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through their main attacking players, while at the back they have looked very solid. Away from home, their split return of 3 wins, 5 draws, and 4 losses fits a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 10 head-to-head meetings, Sonacos won 3 times, Pikine won 3 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 8:9 from Sonacos's perspective. 3 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 4 matches, with an average of 1.7 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (85.7%)
H2H summary: Sonacos wins 3, draws 4, Pikine wins 3
Last matches: Sonacos
04.06.26
Lig
Sonacos
Ouakam
1
2
L
22.05.26
Lig
Sonacos
HLM
0
0
D
17.05.26
Lig
Sonacos
AS Camberene
1
1
D
13.05.26
Lig
Sonacos
Casa Sport
0
3
L
10.05.26
Lig
Sonacos
Jaraaf
0
0
D
26.04.26
Lig
Sonacos
DSC
1
1
D
18.04.26
Lig
Sonacos
Génération Foot
0
1
L
12.04.26
Lig
Sonacos
La Linguère
2
0
W
30.03.26
Lig
Sonacos
Gorée
1
2
L
26.03.26
Lig
Sonacos
Guédiawaye
0
3
L
15.03.26
Lig
Sonacos
Teungueth
2
2
D
08.03.26
Lig
Sonacos
Stade de Mbour
0
2
L
01.03.26
Lig
Sonacos
Wally Daan
1
2
L
21.02.26
Lig
Sonacos
AJEL
0
1
L
16.02.26
Lig
Sonacos
Ouakam
0
0
D
09.02.26
Lig
Sonacos
HLM
0
0
D
02.02.26
Lig
Sonacos
AS Camberene
1
1
D
25.01.26
Lig
Sonacos
Casa Sport
0
3
L
11.01.26
Lig
Sonacos
Jaraaf
0
0
D
07.01.26
Lig
Sonacos
Pikine
0
2
L
Last matches: Pikine
04.06.26
Lig
Pikine
HLM
1
2
L
22.05.26
Lig
Pikine
AS Camberene
1
2
L
17.05.26
Lig
Pikine
Casa Sport
0
1
L
13.05.26
Lig
Pikine
Jaraaf
0
0
D
10.05.26
Lig
Pikine
DSC
0
0
D
26.04.26
Lig
Pikine
Génération Foot
1
0
W
19.04.26
Lig
Pikine
La Linguère
4
0
W
12.04.26
Lig
Pikine
Gorée
0
1
L
29.03.26
Lig
Pikine
Guédiawaye
3
1
W
25.03.26
Lig
Pikine
Teungueth
0
2
L
15.03.26
Lig
Pikine
Stade de Mbour
0
0
D
07.03.26
Lig
Pikine
Wally Daan
0
2
L
01.03.26
Lig
Pikine
AJEL
0
2
L
22.02.26
Lig
Pikine
Ouakam
1
2
L
15.02.26
Lig
Pikine
HLM
0
0
D
08.02.26
Lig
Pikine
AS Camberene
0
1
L
01.02.26
Lig
Pikine
Casa Sport
1
1
D
25.01.26
Lig
Pikine
Jaraaf
1
0
W
11.01.26
Lig
Pikine
DSC
1
1
D
07.01.26
Lig
Pikine
Sonacos
2
0
W
H2H: Sonacos vs Pikine
03.05.26
H2H
Sonacos
Pikine
0
0
D
07.01.26
H2H
Pikine
Sonacos
2
0
L
22.06.25
H2H
Sonacos
Pikine
2
1
W
02.02.25
H2H
Pikine
Sonacos
1
0
L
14.04.24
H2H
Sonacos
Pikine
0
0
D
10.12.23
H2H
Pikine
Sonacos
1
0
L
16.07.23
H2H
Pikine
Sonacos
1
2
W
30.12.22
H2H
Sonacos
Pikine
1
0
W
14.04.19
H2H
Pikine
Sonacos
1
1
D
30.12.18
H2H
Sonacos
Pikine
2
2
D
Last matches: Sonacos
22.05.26
Lig
Sonacos
HLM
0
0
D
13.05.26
Lig
Sonacos
Casa Sport
0
3
L
26.04.26
Lig
Sonacos
DSC
1
1
D
12.04.26
Lig
Sonacos
La Linguère
2
0
W
26.03.26
Lig
Sonacos
Guédiawaye
0
3
L
08.03.26
Lig
Sonacos
Stade de Mbour
0
2
L
16.02.26
Lig
Sonacos
Ouakam
0
0
D
02.02.26
Lig
Sonacos
AS Camberene
1
1
D
11.01.26
Lig
Sonacos
Jaraaf
0
0
D
21.12.25
Lig
Sonacos
Génération Foot
0
4
L
07.12.25
Lig
Sonacos
Gorée
0
0
D
23.11.25
Lig
Sonacos
Teungueth
0
0
D
09.11.25
Lig
Sonacos
Wally Daan
2
1
W
02.11.25
Lig
Sonacos
AJEL
1
1
D
H2H at home: Sonacos
03.05.26
H2H
Sonacos
Pikine
0
0
D
22.06.25
H2H
Sonacos
Pikine
2
1
W
14.04.24
H2H
Sonacos
Pikine
0
0
D
30.12.22
H2H
Sonacos
Pikine
1
0
W
30.12.18
H2H
Sonacos
Pikine
2
2
D
Last matches: Pikine
04.06.26
Lig
Pikine
HLM
1
2
L
17.05.26
Lig
Pikine
Casa Sport
0
1
L
19.04.26
Lig
Pikine
La Linguère
4
0
W
29.03.26
Lig
Pikine
Guédiawaye
3
1
W
15.03.26
Lig
Pikine
Stade de Mbour
0
0
D
07.03.26
Lig
Pikine
Wally Daan
0
2
L
22.02.26
Lig
Pikine
Ouakam
1
2
L
08.02.26
Lig
Pikine
AS Camberene
0
1
L
25.01.26
Lig
Pikine
Jaraaf
1
0
W
11.01.26
Lig
Pikine
DSC
1
1
D
29.12.25
Lig
Pikine
Génération Foot
0
0
D
14.12.25
Lig
Pikine
Gorée
0
0
D
30.11.25
Lig
Pikine
Teungueth
0
0
D
08.11.25
Lig
Pikine
AJEL
0
1
L
H2H away: Pikine
03.05.26
H2H
Sonacos
Pikine
0
0
D
22.06.25
H2H
Sonacos
Pikine
2
1
L
14.04.24
H2H
Sonacos
Pikine
0
0
D
30.12.22
H2H
Sonacos
Pikine
1
0
L
30.12.18
H2H
Sonacos
Pikine
2
2
D