SENEGAL LIGUE 1
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Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 74.3%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 55.8%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 77.9%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
74.3%
-
BTTS BTTS No
55.8%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
77.9%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
-
Correct Score 0-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Sonacos Win 30.9%
Draw 25.7%
HLM Win 43.4%
Expected Goals (xG)
Sonacos0.69
HLM0.87
Recent Form (Last 5)
Sonacos Sonacos
WWDLW
17 GF / 37 GA
HLM HLM
WLDWL
16 GF / 23 GA
Key Stats
0.61
Average Goals Scored
0.57
1.32
Average Goals Conceded
0.82
10
BTTS Yes
9
10
Over 2.5
6
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Sonacos Sonacos 28 matches
HLM HLM 28 matches
Sonacos Statistic HLM
4 Wins 4
12 Draws 17
12 Losses 7
17 Goals For 16
37 Goals Against 23
0.61 Avg Goals Scored 0.57
1.32 Avg Goals Conceded 0.82
10 BTTS Yes 9
17 Over 1.5 12
10 Over 2.5 6
3 Over 3.5 2
9 Clean Sheets 13
16 Failed To Score 16
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

Looking at the broader profile of both teams, this encounter highlights two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward HLM. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward HLM having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely.

Sonacos Analysis

Sonacos sit 15 with 24 points after 28 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Across the season they have posted 4 wins, 12 draws, and 12 defeats, and the 17:37 goal record continues to suggest poor form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on their main attacking players, while at the back they have been fairly stable. At home, they have managed 2 wins, 8 draws, and 4 losses, a return that supports a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

HLM Analysis

From their first 28 matches, HLM have collected 29 points and now occupy 11 place in the table. The record of 4 wins, 17 draws, and 7 defeats, together with a 16:23 goal balance, points toward poor form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through their main attacking players, while at the back they have looked very solid. Away from home, the record of 2 wins, 8 draws, and 4 losses points toward a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 4 head-to-head meetings, Sonacos won 1 times, HLM won 0 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 2:0 from Sonacos's perspective. 0 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 0 matches, with an average of 0.5 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (74.3%)
H2H summary: Sonacos wins 1, draws 3, HLM wins 0
Last matches: Sonacos
04.06.26
Lig
Sonacos
Ouakam
1
2
L
17.05.26
Lig
Sonacos
AS Camberene
1
1
D
13.05.26
Lig
Sonacos
Casa Sport
0
3
L
10.05.26
Lig
Sonacos
Jaraaf
0
0
D
03.05.26
Lig
Sonacos
Pikine
0
0
D
26.04.26
Lig
Sonacos
DSC
1
1
D
18.04.26
Lig
Sonacos
Génération Foot
0
1
L
12.04.26
Lig
Sonacos
La Linguère
2
0
W
30.03.26
Lig
Sonacos
Gorée
1
2
L
26.03.26
Lig
Sonacos
Guédiawaye
0
3
L
15.03.26
Lig
Sonacos
Teungueth
2
2
D
08.03.26
Lig
Sonacos
Stade de Mbour
0
2
L
01.03.26
Lig
Sonacos
Wally Daan
1
2
L
21.02.26
Lig
Sonacos
AJEL
0
1
L
16.02.26
Lig
Sonacos
Ouakam
0
0
D
09.02.26
Lig
Sonacos
HLM
0
0
D
02.02.26
Lig
Sonacos
AS Camberene
1
1
D
25.01.26
Lig
Sonacos
Casa Sport
0
3
L
11.01.26
Lig
Sonacos
Jaraaf
0
0
D
07.01.26
Lig
Sonacos
Pikine
0
2
L
Last matches: HLM
04.06.26
Lig
HLM
Pikine
2
1
W
17.05.26
Lig
HLM
Génération Foot
0
1
L
13.05.26
Lig
HLM
La Linguère
0
0
D
10.05.26
Lig
HLM
Gorée
1
1
D
03.05.26
Lig
HLM
Guédiawaye
2
1
W
25.04.26
Lig
HLM
Teungueth
0
1
L
20.04.26
Lig
HLM
Stade de Mbour
1
1
D
11.04.26
Lig
HLM
Wally Daan
1
2
L
29.03.26
Lig
HLM
AJEL
3
0
W
25.03.26
Lig
HLM
Ouakam
0
1
L
15.03.26
Lig
HLM
DSC
1
0
W
08.03.26
Lig
HLM
AS Camberene
1
1
D
01.03.26
Lig
HLM
Casa Sport
0
0
D
22.02.26
Lig
HLM
Jaraaf
0
0
D
15.02.26
Lig
HLM
Pikine
0
0
D
09.02.26
Lig
HLM
Sonacos
0
0
D
01.02.26
Lig
HLM
Génération Foot
0
3
L
25.01.26
Lig
HLM
La Linguère
0
0
D
11.01.26
Lig
HLM
Gorée
0
5
L
07.01.26
Lig
HLM
Guédiawaye
1
0
W
H2H: Sonacos vs HLM
22.05.26
H2H
Sonacos
HLM
0
0
D
09.02.26
H2H
HLM
Sonacos
0
0
D
23.04.25
H2H
HLM
Sonacos
0
0
D
23.11.24
H2H
Sonacos
HLM
2
0
W
Last matches: Sonacos
13.05.26
Lig
Sonacos
Casa Sport
0
3
L
03.05.26
Lig
Sonacos
Pikine
0
0
D
26.04.26
Lig
Sonacos
DSC
1
1
D
12.04.26
Lig
Sonacos
La Linguère
2
0
W
26.03.26
Lig
Sonacos
Guédiawaye
0
3
L
08.03.26
Lig
Sonacos
Stade de Mbour
0
2
L
16.02.26
Lig
Sonacos
Ouakam
0
0
D
02.02.26
Lig
Sonacos
AS Camberene
1
1
D
11.01.26
Lig
Sonacos
Jaraaf
0
0
D
21.12.25
Lig
Sonacos
Génération Foot
0
4
L
07.12.25
Lig
Sonacos
Gorée
0
0
D
23.11.25
Lig
Sonacos
Teungueth
0
0
D
09.11.25
Lig
Sonacos
Wally Daan
2
1
W
02.11.25
Lig
Sonacos
AJEL
1
1
D
H2H at home: Sonacos
22.05.26
H2H
Sonacos
HLM
0
0
D
23.11.24
H2H
Sonacos
HLM
2
0
W
Last matches: HLM
10.05.26
Lig
HLM
Gorée
1
1
D
25.04.26
Lig
HLM
Teungueth
0
1
L
11.04.26
Lig
HLM
Wally Daan
1
2
L
25.03.26
Lig
HLM
Ouakam
0
1
L
15.03.26
Lig
HLM
DSC
1
0
W
01.03.26
Lig
HLM
Casa Sport
0
0
D
15.02.26
Lig
HLM
Pikine
0
0
D
01.02.26
Lig
HLM
Génération Foot
0
3
L
25.01.26
Lig
HLM
La Linguère
0
0
D
07.01.26
Lig
HLM
Guédiawaye
1
0
W
21.12.25
Lig
HLM
Stade de Mbour
0
0
D
07.12.25
Lig
HLM
AJEL
1
1
D
16.11.25
Lig
HLM
AS Camberene
0
0
D
02.11.25
Lig
HLM
Jaraaf
1
1
D
H2H away: HLM
22.05.26
H2H
Sonacos
HLM
0
0
D
23.11.24
H2H
Sonacos
HLM
2
0
L