SENEGAL › LIGUE 1
13.05.2026 17:00

Sonacos vs Casa Sport Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 77.7%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 77.8%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 84%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
77.7%
- ▥
BTTS BTTS No
77.8%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
84%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-0
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Sonacos Win 28.3%
Draw 22.3%
Casa Sport Win 49.4%
Expected Goals (xG)
Sonacos0.65
Casa Sport1.06
Recent Form (Last 5)
Sonacos Sonacos
WWDLW
16 GF / 33 GA
Casa Sport Casa Sport
WLDWL
24 GF / 18 GA
Key Stats
0.62
Average Goals Scored
0.92
1.27
Average Goals Conceded
0.69
9
BTTS Yes
12
9
Over 2.5
5
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Sonacos Sonacos 26 matches
Casa Sport Casa Sport 26 matches
Sonacos Statistic Casa Sport
4 Wins 5
11 Draws 18
11 Losses 3
16 Goals For 24
33 Goals Against 18
0.62 Avg Goals Scored 0.92
1.27 Avg Goals Conceded 0.69
9 BTTS Yes 12
15 Over 1.5 15
9 Over 2.5 5
3 Over 3.5 3
9 Clean Sheets 12
15 Failed To Score 10
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From a tactical perspective, this fixture features Casa Sport's more proactive style and Sonacos's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Casa Sport having the stronger overall control. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Casa Sport.

Sonacos Analysis

Sonacos approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 14 with 23 points from 26 matches. Across the season they have posted 4 wins, 11 draws, and 11 defeats, and the 16:33 goal record continues to suggest poor form and have been stuck in a sequence of draws. Their attacking burden often falls on their main attacking players, while at the back they have been fairly stable. At home, they have returned 2 wins, 8 draws, and 3 losses, which indicates a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

Casa Sport Analysis

Casa Sport sit 7 with 33 points after 26 league matches. The record of 5 wins, 18 draws, and 3 defeats, together with a 24:18 goal balance, points toward poor form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through their main attacking players, while at the back they have looked very solid. Away from home, their split return of 0 wins, 12 draws, and 1 losses fits a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 12 head-to-head meetings, Sonacos won 6 times, Casa Sport won 3 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 10:11 from Sonacos's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 4 matches, with an average of 1.75 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (77.7%)
H2H summary: Sonacos wins 6, draws 3, Casa Sport wins 3

Standings

Ligue 1
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 30 13 15 2 21:6 15 54
?
2 30 15 9 6 27:19 8 54
?
3 30 13 9 8 37:22 15 48
?
4 30 11 15 4 29:14 15 48
?
5 30 10 14 6 29:24 5 44
?
6 30 8 18 4 23:16 7 42
?
7 30 9 14 7 21:16 5 41
?
8 30 7 19 4 29:20 9 40
?
9 30 7 13 10 20:19 1 34
?
10 30 5 18 7 18:21 -3 33
?
11 30 5 18 7 18:24 -6 33
?
12 30 5 16 9 24:37 -13 31
?
13 30 7 8 15 29:34 -5 28
?
14 30 3 16 11 22:36 -14 25
?
15 30 4 13 13 18:39 -21 25
?
16 30 3 15 12 16:34 -18 24
?
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)
Relegation