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ENGLAND › NATIONAL LEAGUE
24.10.2026 14:00
Damson Park

Solihull Moors vs Carlisle Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 76.7%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 71%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 72%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
76.7%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
71%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
72%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
- ▥
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
- ▥
Correct Score 1-2
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Solihull Moors Win 17.1%
Draw 6.2%
Carlisle Win 76.7%
Expected Goals (xG)
Solihull Moors1.28
Carlisle2.07
Recent Form (Last 5)
Solihull Moors Solihull Moors
WWDLW
23 GF / 47 GA
Carlisle Carlisle
WLDWL
32 GF / 25 GA
Key Stats
1.15
Average Goals Scored
1.88
2.35
Average Goals Conceded
1.47
13
BTTS Yes
12
14
Over 2.5
10
5
Shots on Goal
10

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Solihull Moors Solihull Moors 20 matches
Carlisle Carlisle 17 matches
Solihull Moors Statistic Carlisle
4 Wins 7
3 Draws 5
13 Losses 5
23 Goals For 32
47 Goals Against 25
1.15 Avg Goals Scored 1.88
2.35 Avg Goals Conceded 1.47
13 BTTS Yes 12
19 Over 1.5 15
14 Over 2.5 10
8 Over 3.5 7
2 Clean Sheets 3
5 Failed To Score 3
5 Shots On Goal 10
13 Total Shots 22
5 Corners 11
53% Ball Possession 62%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around Carlisle's more proactive style and Solihull Moors's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Solihull Moors have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. Carlisle carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 14 with 17 points while Solihull Moors sit 23 on 7, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Given the broader gap between the sides, Away Win looks like the most logical direction, while the clean-sheet expectation leans toward Carlisle. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Carlisle having the stronger overall control.

Solihull Moors Analysis

With 7 points from 13 games and a place of 23, Solihull Moors still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. The overall return of 2 wins, 1 draws, and 10 defeats with a 13:35 goal balance points toward poor form with results showing a clear downward trend. Going forward they depend heavily on their main attacking players, while defensively they have looked fairly stable. At home, they have managed 1 wins, 0 draws, and 6 losses, a return that supports a weak split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

Carlisle Analysis

Carlisle approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 14 with 17 points from 13 matches. Across the season they have posted 4 wins, 5 draws, and 4 defeats, and the 23:20 goal record continues to suggest mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on their main attacking players, while at the back they have been very solid. Away from home, the split record of 2 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses points to a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 2 head-to-head meetings, Solihull Moors won 0 times, Carlisle won 0 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 4:4 from Solihull Moors's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 4 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (93.8%)
H2H summary: Solihull Moors wins 0, draws 2, Carlisle wins 0

Standings

Conference
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 13 11 2 0 34:13 21 35
W W W W W
2 13 9 1 3 29:17 12 28
W W W W L
3 13 8 3 2 31:19 12 27
W W D L W
4 13 7 4 2 32:15 17 25
W W D W W
5 13 7 3 3 27:18 9 24
W W D W W
6 13 8 0 5 20:19 1 24
W L W W W
7 13 7 2 4 24:18 6 23
W L L W L
8 13 6 3 4 22:16 6 21
W W W W W
9 13 7 0 6 15:19 -4 21
W L W L W
10 13 6 2 5 22:15 7 20
W W D L D
11 13 5 5 3 15:12 3 20
D D L L D
12 13 5 3 5 18:16 2 18
L L L W L
13 13 5 3 5 14:18 -4 18
L D L D D
14 13 4 5 4 23:20 3 17
D W W L L
15 13 4 3 6 20:20 0 15
L W L W D
16 12 4 3 5 19:22 -3 15
L D D L D
17 13 4 3 6 14:20 -6 15
L L D L W
18 13 4 2 7 21:30 -9 14
L W W L W
19 13 3 3 7 17:24 -7 12
L L D W L
20 13 4 0 9 12:19 -7 12
W L L L L
21 13 3 3 7 15:23 -8 12
L L D L W
22 12 3 1 8 15:21 -6 10
L L W L L
23 13 2 1 10 13:35 -22 7
L L W L L
24 13 1 1 11 8:31 -23 4
L L L L L
Promotion - League Two
Promotion - National League (Play Offs: Semi-finals)
Promotion - National League (Play Offs: Quarter-finals)
Relegation