CZECH-REPUBLIC CZECH LIGA
18.04.2026 13:00
Stadion U Nisy
Referee: K. Roucek
Slovan Liberec
Match Timeline
Mlada Boleslav
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
19'
Aziz Kayondo
Slovan Liberec
🟨
31'
Soliu Afolabi
Slovan Liberec
🟨
38'
Christophe Kabongo
Mlada Boleslav
🔄
61'
M. Sevcik ↔ D. Langhamer
Mlada Boleslav
🔄
65'
A. Soliu ↔ L. Masek
Slovan Liberec
🔄
73'
P. Hodous ↔ D. Rus
Slovan Liberec
🔄
73'
M. Lexa ↔ E. Mahmic
Slovan Liberec
🔄
75'
M. Subert ↔ J. Kolarik
Mlada Boleslav
🔄
75'
C. Kabongo ↔ M. Krulich
Mlada Boleslav
🔄
82'
J. Kozeluh ↔ J. Mikula
Slovan Liberec
🔄
87'
S. John ↔ D. Mares
Mlada Boleslav
🔄
87'
D. Kozel ↔ J. Zika
Mlada Boleslav
🟨
90+4'
Roman Macek
Mlada Boleslav

Slovan Liberec vs Mlada Boleslav Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 86.8%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 74.2%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 70%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
86.8%
-
BTTS BTTS Yes
74.2%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
70%
-
Probability Distribution
Slovan Liberec Win 51.1%
Draw 13.2%
Mlada Boleslav Win 35.7%
Expected Goals (xG)
Slovan Liberec1.62
Mlada Boleslav1.29
Recent Form (Last 5)
Slovan Liberec Slovan Liberec
WWDLW
41 GF / 29 GA
Mlada Boleslav Mlada Boleslav
WLDWL
41 GF / 52 GA
Key Stats
1.46
Average Goals Scored
1.46
1.04
Average Goals Conceded
1.86
13
BTTS Yes
19
11
Over 2.5
18
4.86
Shots on Goal
4.57

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Slovan Liberec Slovan Liberec 28 matches
Mlada Boleslav Mlada Boleslav 28 matches
Slovan Liberec Statistic Mlada Boleslav
11 Wins 7
9 Draws 10
8 Losses 11
41 Goals For 41
29 Goals Against 52
1.46 Avg Goals Scored 1.46
1.04 Avg Goals Conceded 1.86
13 BTTS Yes 19
21 Over 1.5 24
11 Over 2.5 18
7 Over 3.5 14
10 Clean Sheets 6
7 Failed To Score 6
4.86 Shots On Goal 4.57
13.96 Total Shots 12.32
4.93 Corners 4.71
48.4% Ball Possession 54.3%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

Looking at the broader profile of both teams, this encounter highlights Slovan Liberec's more proactive style and Mlada Boleslav's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Slovan Liberec expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Mlada Boleslav in 3-4-3, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Mlada Boleslav having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Mlada Boleslav. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day.

Slovan Liberec Analysis

So far, Slovan Liberec have built a campaign that leaves them 6 in the table on 42 points from 28 matches. Their overall return of 11 wins, 9 draws, and 8 losses with goals at 41:29 reflects poor form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by L. Masek (7 goals), R. Krollis (7 goals), Ermin Mahmic (6 goals), with creative support from M. Hlavaty (4 assists), Ermin Mahmic (3 assists), Abubakar Ghali (3 assists), while defensively they have appeared fairly stable. At home, their split return of 7 wins, 4 draws, and 3 losses fits a very strong split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.

Mlada Boleslav Analysis

From their first 28 matches, Mlada Boleslav have collected 31 points and now occupy 10 place in the table. Across the campaign, they have posted 7 wins, 10 draws, and 11 losses, while the 41:52 goal ratio supports the view of good form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on M. Sevcik (8 goals), M. Vojta (7 goals), S. John (5 goals), with creative support from M. Vojta (4 assists), D. Marecek (3 assists), R. Macek (3 assists), and defensively they have been quite vulnerable. Away from home, they have returned 3 wins, 4 draws, and 6 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Slovan Liberec won 6 times, Mlada Boleslav won 4 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 24:23 from Slovan Liberec's perspective. 10 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 3.13 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (86.8%)
Predicted formations: Slovan Liberec 4-2-3-1 / Mlada Boleslav 3-4-3
H2H summary: Slovan Liberec wins 6, draws 5, Mlada Boleslav wins 4

Standings

1. Liga , Championship Round
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 35 24 8 3 74:31 43 80
W L W W W
2 35 23 7 6 69:34 35 76
W W D W L
3 35 18 9 8 60:38 22 63
L W D W W
4 35 16 8 11 50:41 9 56
L W W D L
5 35 16 7 12 45:47 -2 55
W L L D L
6 35 12 10 13 45:39 6 46
L L L L L
Champions League
Champions League Qualification
UEFA Europa League Qualification
Conference League Qualification